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[Up/Down] Wild Card Group 2013 GSL Season 1 - Page 14

Forum Index > StarCraft 2 Tournaments
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Valikyr
Profile Joined June 2010
Sweden2653 Posts
January 11 2013 09:43 GMT
#261
This Jaedong dude seems pretty popular
Shellshock
Profile Blog Joined March 2011
United States97276 Posts
January 11 2013 09:44 GMT
#262
GSL S1 2013 Up & Down Matches Wildcard
Center (0-1) vs Symbol (1-0)
Map: Abyssal City

0:00
Center spawns to the right
Symbol spawns to the left
Moderatorhttp://i.imgur.com/U4xwqmD.png
TL+ Member
TheBB
Profile Blog Joined July 2009
Switzerland5133 Posts
January 11 2013 09:44 GMT
#263
Wildcard Group

Symbol
      Expected score: 2.91-1.09 (sets: 2.91-1.09)
      Probability of achieving top 2: 77.93%
      Most likely place: 2nd (44.00%)

Jaedong
      Expected score: 3.05-0.95 (sets: 3.05-0.95)
      Probability of achieving top 2: 76.58%
      Most likely place: 1st (52.85%)

Byun
      Expected score: 1.72-2.28 (sets: 1.72-2.28)
      Probability of achieving top 2: 24.18%
      Most likely place: 4th (40.44%)

Shine
      Expected score: 1.59-2.41 (sets: 1.59-2.41)
      Probability of achieving top 2: 14.14%
      Most likely place: 3rd (38.10%)

Center
      Expected score: 0.73-3.27 (sets: 0.73-3.27)
      Probability of achieving top 2: 7.17%
      Most likely place: 5th (66.78%)

details, data source, code

+ Show Spoiler [Details] +
Detailed placement probabilities

5th 4th 3rd 2nd 1st
Shine: 20.23% 27.53% 38.10% 10.10% 4.04%
Symbol: 2.06% 7.30% 12.72% 44.00% 33.93%
Byun: 8.15% 40.44% 27.23% 16.51% 7.68%
Center: 66.78% 16.31% 9.74% 5.66% 1.51%
Jaedong: 2.78% 8.42% 12.21% 23.74% 52.85%

Match score

0-4 1-3 2-2 3-1 4-0
Shine: 7.27% 35.84% 47.91% 8.99%
Symbol: 2.91% 23.67% 53.20% 20.21%
Byun: 43.61% 41.95% 13.10% 1.34%
Center: 43.02% 42.14% 13.43% 1.40%
Jaedong: 0.29% 3.92% 19.62% 42.57% 33.61%

Set score

-4 -3 -2 -1 0 1 2 3 4
Shine: 7.27% 35.84% 47.91% 8.99%
Symbol: 2.91% 23.67% 53.20% 20.21%
Byun: 43.61% 41.95% 13.10% 1.34%
Center: 43.02% 42.14% 13.43% 1.40%
Jaedong: 0.29% 3.92% 19.62% 42.57% 33.61%


Symbol vs. Center

Symbol wins (79.05%):
      1-0: 79.05%

Center wins (20.95%):
      1-0: 20.95%

Most likely winner: Symbol (79.05%)
Median outcome: Symbol 1-0 Center

[image loading]

details, data source, code
http://aligulac.com || Barcraft Switzerland! || Zerg best race. || Stats-poster extraordinaire.
Seeker *
Profile Blog Joined April 2005
Where dat snitch at?37065 Posts
January 11 2013 09:44 GMT
#264
Lol @ delay oh JD
ModeratorPeople ask me, "Seeker, what are you seeking?" My answer? "Sleep, damn it! Always sleep!"
TL+ Member
Tobblish
Profile Joined August 2011
Sweden6404 Posts
January 11 2013 09:45 GMT
#265
Oh stream if you are going to lag you can just go away
The curse is real
Immutant
Profile Joined November 2010
Singapore201 Posts
January 11 2013 09:45 GMT
#266
Wait, where is JD? Shouldn't it be Shine vs JD right now?
Fragile51
Profile Joined October 2011
Netherlands15767 Posts
January 11 2013 09:45 GMT
#267
zomg shellshock why didn't you update the op i report u
00Visor
Profile Blog Joined February 2011
4337 Posts
January 11 2013 09:45 GMT
#268
On January 11 2013 18:43 vthree wrote:
Show nested quote +
On January 11 2013 18:41 00Visor wrote:
On January 11 2013 18:37 vthree wrote:
On January 11 2013 18:35 00Visor wrote:
On January 11 2013 18:32 Shellshock1122 wrote:
it makes sense that everyone is cheesing. no time to prepare


Actually a cheese is a special build you would prepare for the right opponent.
Else you just play standard.


No necessarily. A cheese could also be a coin-flip type deal. Basically it is like "if he does 'these' builds, I win, if he does 'those' builds, I lose."

Well you basically say that the coinflip depends on your opponents build.
Which suggests some preparation.


But by your definition, it means you can't cheese on ladder because you don't really know your opponent (unless you are in GM and you play the same players day in day out. Which is obviously not true.

No.
In ladder your opponent doesnt know you as well.
You can do the same cheese every time. Not true for GSL.
Pandemona *
Profile Blog Joined March 2011
Charlie Sheens House51493 Posts
Last Edited: 2013-01-11 09:47:14
January 11 2013 09:46 GMT
#269
14CC nice.

ROFL
Center - Ultimate mind games
ModeratorTeam Liquid Football Thread Guru! - Chelsea FC ♥
Seeker *
Profile Blog Joined April 2005
Where dat snitch at?37065 Posts
January 11 2013 09:46 GMT
#270
On January 11 2013 18:45 Fragile51 wrote:
zomg shellshock why didn't you update the op i report u

Too late cause I already did
ModeratorPeople ask me, "Seeker, what are you seeking?" My answer? "Sleep, damn it! Always sleep!"
TL+ Member
tshi
Profile Joined September 2012
United States2495 Posts
January 11 2013 09:46 GMT
#271
On January 11 2013 18:44 Seeker wrote:
Lol @ delay oh JD

Probably taking a nap 8D.
scrub - inexperienced player with relatively little skill and excessive arrogance
Swiipii
Profile Joined January 2012
2195 Posts
January 11 2013 09:47 GMT
#272
Lol 8 glings + spine + drone pull . Worth it !
L3g3nd_
Profile Joined July 2010
New Zealand10461 Posts
January 11 2013 09:47 GMT
#273
damn shine is being SO safe
https://twitter.com/#!/IrisAnother
Fragile51
Profile Joined October 2011
Netherlands15767 Posts
January 11 2013 09:47 GMT
#274
On January 11 2013 18:46 Seeker wrote:
Show nested quote +
On January 11 2013 18:45 Fragile51 wrote:
zomg shellshock why didn't you update the op i report u

Too late cause I already did


damnit rekees, your troll-fu is too strong.
Pandemona *
Profile Blog Joined March 2011
Charlie Sheens House51493 Posts
January 11 2013 09:47 GMT
#275
12 lings! Oh my Center! You sexy Terran you xD
ModeratorTeam Liquid Football Thread Guru! - Chelsea FC ♥
playnice
Profile Joined October 2011
Malaysia302 Posts
January 11 2013 09:48 GMT
#276
Don't players get some sort of penalty when they are late?
Tobblish
Profile Joined August 2011
Sweden6404 Posts
January 11 2013 09:48 GMT
#277
Khaldor... WHY DID YOU HAVE TO LIE!
The curse is real
Shellshock
Profile Blog Joined March 2011
United States97276 Posts
January 11 2013 09:48 GMT
#278
On January 11 2013 18:44 Shellshock1122 wrote:
GSL S1 2013 Up & Down Matches Wildcard
Center (0-1) vs Symbol (1-0)
Map: Abyssal City

0:00
Center spawns to the right
Symbol spawns to the left

1:40
rax for Center started to the far left side of his base on the edge

2:00
Hatch first for Symbol
quick drone scout from Symbol
pool for Symbol
Symbol doesnt see the rax before his drone leaves

3:00
CC for Center on the low ground
gas for Center
2 drones on the map scouting for proxies
2nd gas for Center
spine started for Symbol
Symbol moves almost all his drones down to his natural and is chasing the scv scout of Center

4:00
Symbol making 10 lings for defense
Center repositions his rax to wall off his main ramp
factory started for Center
reactor for Center
Jaedong is in the studio now
lings start chipping away at Center's natural OC

5:00
Center has to lift his natural OC after it finishes morphing
Starport started for Center
reactored marine production for Center and single hellion production
Moderatorhttp://i.imgur.com/U4xwqmD.png
TL+ Member
prophetGMS
Profile Joined November 2012
France129 Posts
January 11 2013 09:49 GMT
#279
What happened?? again fangirls?
Korea is definitly a nice country except if you are a korean guy who don't play SC
BroodWar for ever
Seeker *
Profile Blog Joined April 2005
Where dat snitch at?37065 Posts
January 11 2013 09:50 GMT
#280
Symbol beat Center gogo!
ModeratorPeople ask me, "Seeker, what are you seeking?" My answer? "Sleep, damn it! Always sleep!"
TL+ Member
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