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Iron Squid II Group C - Page 3

Forum Index > StarCraft 2 Tournaments
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TheDougler
Profile Joined April 2010
Canada8323 Posts
December 12 2012 16:16 GMT
#41
Gonna say

MKP 2-1 Scarlett
Taeja 2-0 Brown
MKP 2-1 Taeja
Scarlett 2-0 Brown
Scarlett 2-1 Taeja
I root for Euro Zergs, NA Protoss* and Korean Terrans. (Any North American who has beat a Korean Pro as Protoss counts as NA Toss)
TheBB
Profile Blog Joined July 2009
Switzerland5133 Posts
December 12 2012 16:18 GMT
#42
Group of death?

Note: Scarlett's so unfavoured primarily because of her very low vT rating.

Group C

      MarineKing: 78.78%
      TaeJa: 65.42%
      Brown: 44.05%
      Scarlett: 11.75%

Detailed placement probabilities

4th 3rd 2nd 1st
TaeJa: 7.31% 27.27% 36.86% 28.56%
Brown: 25.60% 30.34% 26.54% 17.51%
Scarlett: 59.36% 28.90% 6.44% 5.31%
MarineKing: 7.73% 13.49% 30.16% 48.62%

Probability of each pair advancing

TaeJa Brown Scarlet MarineK
TaeJa: 4.41% 4.28% 19.87%
Brown: 8.30% 0.77% 8.44%
Scarlett: 1.44% 2.03% 1.84%
MarineKing: 27.12% 20.11% 1.39%


TaeJa vs. Brown

TaeJa wins (48.62%):
      2-0: 24.09%
      2-1: 24.53%

Brown wins (51.38%):
      2-0: 25.93%
      2-1: 25.45%

Most likely winner: Brown (51.38%)
Median outcome: TaeJa 1-2 Brown

[image loading]


Scarlett vs. MarineKing

Scarlett wins (19.10%):
      2-0: 7.83%
      2-1: 11.27%

MarineKing wins (80.90%):
      2-0: 51.88%
      2-1: 29.02%

Most likely winner: MarineKing (80.90%)
Median outcome: Scarlett 0-2 MarineKing

[image loading]

details, data source, code
http://aligulac.com || Barcraft Switzerland! || Zerg best race. || Stats-poster extraordinaire.
TheDougler
Profile Joined April 2010
Canada8323 Posts
Last Edited: 2012-12-12 16:27:05
December 12 2012 16:26 GMT
#43
On December 13 2012 01:18 TheBB wrote:
Group of death?

awesomeness



These stats just get more and more cool as they build on eachother. Thanks again BB.
I root for Euro Zergs, NA Protoss* and Korean Terrans. (Any North American who has beat a Korean Pro as Protoss counts as NA Toss)
Rhaegar_tar
Profile Joined February 2012
France847 Posts
Last Edited: 2012-12-12 16:40:29
December 12 2012 16:39 GMT
#44
Taeja and MKP to advance, eventhough MKP and Taeja aren't in the best shape, they're still leagues better than Scarlett(+recent patch has helped Terran a bit), i don't think Brown can upset here.
1.MKP
2.Taeja
3.Brown
4Scarlett
a_flayer
Profile Blog Joined April 2010
Netherlands2826 Posts
December 12 2012 17:09 GMT
#45
Where do you get the statistics for Scarletts poor ZvT?

The only source I could find the website was http://www.sc2charts.net/en/edb/players/1607, and that indicates a 73% winrate vs Terran (although maybe not enough games, since it doesnt indicate favored maps or whatever).

Just wondering, cause Scarletts ZvT seems to be better than 11% at least.
When you came along so righteous with a new national hate, so convincing is the ardor of war and of men, it's harder to breathe than to believe you're a friend. The wars at home, the wars abroad, all soaked in blood and lies and fraud.
Sephinor
Profile Joined August 2011
83 Posts
December 12 2012 17:31 GMT
#46
On a side note, it seems that the venue for the finals in Paris has just been sold out!
Varian84
Profile Joined April 2012
35 Posts
Last Edited: 2012-12-12 17:35:04
December 12 2012 17:34 GMT
#47
On December 13 2012 01:16 Hiea wrote:
Show nested quote +
On December 13 2012 01:10 Dekkers wrote:
Games are casted from replays so the "can't play because i'm too young" rule does not apply.

Games are casted from replays, because it would be silly to make koreans wake up at 5am to play the matches.

Also none of these players are under 16.


1/8 and 1/4 finals are live so they will have to wake up at 5am :D
TheDougler
Profile Joined April 2010
Canada8323 Posts
Last Edited: 2012-12-12 17:52:38
December 12 2012 17:52 GMT
#48
On December 13 2012 02:31 Sephinor wrote:
On a side note, it seems that the venue for the finals in Paris has just been sold out!


That was fast. Well done french guys!

Heh, never thought I'd say that sentence.
I root for Euro Zergs, NA Protoss* and Korean Terrans. (Any North American who has beat a Korean Pro as Protoss counts as NA Toss)
Shellshock
Profile Blog Joined March 2011
United States97277 Posts
December 12 2012 17:56 GMT
#49
On December 13 2012 02:31 Sephinor wrote:
On a side note, it seems that the venue for the finals in Paris has just been sold out!

Impossible! I thought sc2 was dead!!

congrats Iron Squid guys. Hopefully it'll be another awesome live event
Moderatorhttp://i.imgur.com/U4xwqmD.png
TL+ Member
SChlafmann
Profile Joined September 2011
France725 Posts
December 12 2012 17:58 GMT
#50
On December 13 2012 02:52 TheDougler wrote:
Show nested quote +
On December 13 2012 02:31 Sephinor wrote:
On a side note, it seems that the venue for the finals in Paris has just been sold out!


That was fast. Well done french guys!

Heh, never thought I'd say that sentence.


Wow, indeed it seems to be sold out. 36€ for a basic entry, that wasn't cheap...Moreover the event take place in a pretty big hall, so they sold a lot.
"More GG, more skill" - Nope! Chuck Testa - #BISU2013
ELA
Profile Joined April 2010
Denmark4608 Posts
December 12 2012 18:00 GMT
#51
On December 13 2012 02:58 SChlafmann wrote:
Show nested quote +
On December 13 2012 02:52 TheDougler wrote:
On December 13 2012 02:31 Sephinor wrote:
On a side note, it seems that the venue for the finals in Paris has just been sold out!


That was fast. Well done french guys!

Heh, never thought I'd say that sentence.


Wow, indeed it seems to be sold out. 36€ for a basic entry, that wasn't cheap...Moreover the event take place in a pretty big hall, so they sold a lot.


Yeah, it's like a 4000-seat theater afaik Ô_Ô

Very impressive by the french community once again
The first link of chain forged, the first speech censured, the first thought forbidden, the first freedom denied, chains us all irrevocably.
LeLfe
Profile Joined February 2011
France3160 Posts
December 12 2012 18:04 GMT
#52
3500 seats were to be sold, I didn't ask so I'm not 100% sure it's sold out, but it should be close
Writer for Red bull (Fr) and Iron Squid (En/Fr) @ClemLeLfe on twitter
SChlafmann
Profile Joined September 2011
France725 Posts
December 12 2012 18:12 GMT
#53
On December 13 2012 03:04 LeLfe wrote:
3500 seats were to be sold, I didn't ask so I'm not 100% sure it's sold out, but it should be close


Well, as it is not possible to buy a seat anymore, I guess it is sold out.
Btw LeLfe, I just realized yesterday who you are
"More GG, more skill" - Nope! Chuck Testa - #BISU2013
KristofferAG
Profile Blog Joined April 2011
Norway25712 Posts
December 12 2012 18:13 GMT
#54
That's amazing. I mean, I knew it'd be sold out, but I thought there'd still be tickets available for another two weeks or so.
@KristofferAG | http://vestkyststoy.bandcamp.com | last.fm/user/KristofferAG
kafkaesque
Profile Blog Joined November 2011
Germany2006 Posts
December 12 2012 18:18 GMT
#55
Jesus arseface Christ, three of my favourite players playing today, I'm really excited about this.
| (• ◡•)|╯ ╰(❍ᴥ❍ʋ)
Thieving Magpie
Profile Blog Joined December 2012
United States6752 Posts
December 12 2012 18:19 GMT
#56
On December 12 2012 17:40 Zerg.Zilla wrote:
Scarlett & MKP Go Go Go!


What he said.
Hark, what baseball through yonder window breaks?
goswser
Profile Blog Joined May 2009
United States3548 Posts
December 12 2012 18:32 GMT
#57
I bet Scarlett will get first. Could see any of these three getting second but most likely one of the terran players.
say you were born into a jungle indian tribe where food was scarce...would you run around from teepee to teepee stealing meat scraps after a day lazying around doing nothing except warming urself by a fire that you didn't even make yourself? -rekrul
kafkaesque
Profile Blog Joined November 2011
Germany2006 Posts
December 12 2012 18:38 GMT
#58
Go Scarlett and MKP!
Or maybe Taeja and MKP?
Or maybe Taeja and Scarlett?

I don't care, at least one of my favourite players will make it through.
| (• ◡•)|╯ ╰(❍ᴥ❍ʋ)
IronSquid
Profile Joined January 2012
France487 Posts
December 12 2012 18:40 GMT
#59
I added the Music themes for tonight in the OP, you should check them out, they're pretty cool!
LeLfe
Profile Joined February 2011
France3160 Posts
December 12 2012 18:43 GMT
#60
On December 13 2012 03:12 SChlafmann wrote:
Show nested quote +
On December 13 2012 03:04 LeLfe wrote:
3500 seats were to be sold, I didn't ask so I'm not 100% sure it's sold out, but it should be close


Well, as it is not possible to buy a seat anymore, I guess it is sold out.
Btw LeLfe, I just realized yesterday who you are

What made you realize?
Writer for Red bull (Fr) and Iron Squid (En/Fr) @ClemLeLfe on twitter
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