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On August 06 2014 07:14 GlowingBear wrote:Show nested quote +On August 06 2014 07:11 Lord Tolkien wrote:
Everyone and their mother was pushing onto meatpudding. So...yeah no. Votecount 4 on meatpudding 3 on me so, yeah, "everybody". Check my reasons against meatpudding. I was the one who started his push aggressively. Are you mafia? Your "not caring" attitude is sounding like mafia.
At night, EVERYONE WAS PUSHING ONTO HIM. Jenny died and she was putting her up as a prime D2 lynch bandwagon, I did as well even if I didn't ultimately vote on him (since I liked his D2 posts BETTER THAN YOURS). I don't think there was a single person who DIDN'T list Meatpudding as a D2 lynch candidate.
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On August 06 2014 07:16 Lord Tolkien wrote:
Basically we should know tonight if lilwade IS ACTUALLY COP, so I see no reason to push onto him TODAY. If by some miracle he lives till LYLO, he becomes top scum candidate unless he gets a good check in (which is a 33-67% chance of happening), but until then, no.
It remains possible that cya is godfather, I'm not ruling that out. But honestly, I'm willing to risk it ATM since my gut has been telling me he's donkey town this entire game, and I have a cop check on him.
IN MY CURRENT TIER LIST OF PEOPLE TO LYNCH:
GB
Banks
Cya
lilwade (jumps to near first if he doesn't die tonight)
Mafia lets him live, draw attention to him day4, easy mislynch on LYLO.
Try harder.
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Now during D2, there were REASONS why some people (including me) felt you were more likely scum. Namely your refusal to entertain other possible bandwagons to tunnel onto meatpudding.
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On August 06 2014 07:20 Lord Tolkien wrote:
Now during D2, there were REASONS why some people (including me) felt you were more likely scum. Namely your refusal to entertain other possible bandwagons to tunnel onto meatpudding.
You think that is a mafia trait? Don't you think mafia would be more careful?
"Hmm, I'm not sure if I should vote meatpudding or another person..."
Come on, I was aggressive towards him since day one and everything pointed to him. Ultimately the vote count.
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Come on poof, if you're not mafia you know I'm right!!!!
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On August 06 2014 07:20 GlowingBear wrote:Show nested quote +On August 06 2014 07:16 Lord Tolkien wrote:
Basically we should know tonight if lilwade IS ACTUALLY COP, so I see no reason to push onto him TODAY. If by some miracle he lives till LYLO, he becomes top scum candidate unless he gets a good check in (which is a 33-67% chance of happening), but until then, no.
It remains possible that cya is godfather, I'm not ruling that out. But honestly, I'm willing to risk it ATM since my gut has been telling me he's donkey town this entire game, and I have a cop check on him.
IN MY CURRENT TIER LIST OF PEOPLE TO LYNCH:
GB
Banks
Cya
lilwade (jumps to near first if he doesn't die tonight) Mafia lets him live, draw attention to him day4, easy mislynch on LYLO. Try harder.
1) why the fuck would they let him live when he has a 66% chance of checking someone in LYLO, and making the game that much harder for mafia.
2) who else would they shoot exactly; the only one who's "confirmed" town is cya if the check is correct, and there are 3 unconfirmed towns. IF WE LYNCH CYA and he's not mafia (which I currently believe), what then? Argh.
I suppose they'll shoot me or Banks if one of us isn't lynched tonight, but eh. It's a significantly weaker play I would think.
3) I wouldn't lynch lilwade immediately. It just puts him as prime lynch candidate. opinions *le gasp* change,
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ZzZ. Goddamnit, you're making this really hard, but you're pushing yourself forward as town in your defense so for now.
#unvote GlowingBear
#vote TehPoofter
goddamnit
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On August 06 2014 07:26 Lord Tolkien wrote:Show nested quote +On August 06 2014 07:20 GlowingBear wrote:On August 06 2014 07:16 Lord Tolkien wrote:
Basically we should know tonight if lilwade IS ACTUALLY COP, so I see no reason to push onto him TODAY. If by some miracle he lives till LYLO, he becomes top scum candidate unless he gets a good check in (which is a 33-67% chance of happening), but until then, no.
It remains possible that cya is godfather, I'm not ruling that out. But honestly, I'm willing to risk it ATM since my gut has been telling me he's donkey town this entire game, and I have a cop check on him.
IN MY CURRENT TIER LIST OF PEOPLE TO LYNCH:
GB
Banks
Cya
lilwade (jumps to near first if he doesn't die tonight) Mafia lets him live, draw attention to him day4, easy mislynch on LYLO. Try harder. 1) why the fuck would they let him live when he has a 66% chance of checking someone in LYLO, and making the game that much harder for mafia. 2) who else would they shoot exactly; the only one who's "confirmed" town is cya if the check is correct, and there are 3 unconfirmed towns. IF WE LYNCH CYA and he's not mafia (which I currently believe), what then? Argh. I suppose they'll shoot me or Banks if one of us isn't lynched tonight, but eh. It's a significantly weaker play I would think. 3) I wouldn't lynch lilwade immediately. It just puts him as prime lynch candidate. opinions *le gasp* change,
Where are you taking that number from?
Night3 = 4 people
1 is lilwade, other one is cya
50% chance of him checking a mafia, IF there is no godfather, when there probably is one, it would be slightly unbalanced for mafia if there is no godfather. This takes the probability of checking mafia to the ground.
Much better to let lilwade survive and make him the last lynch.
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On August 06 2014 07:31 GlowingBear wrote:Show nested quote +On August 06 2014 07:26 Lord Tolkien wrote:On August 06 2014 07:20 GlowingBear wrote:On August 06 2014 07:16 Lord Tolkien wrote:
Basically we should know tonight if lilwade IS ACTUALLY COP, so I see no reason to push onto him TODAY. If by some miracle he lives till LYLO, he becomes top scum candidate unless he gets a good check in (which is a 33-67% chance of happening), but until then, no.
It remains possible that cya is godfather, I'm not ruling that out. But honestly, I'm willing to risk it ATM since my gut has been telling me he's donkey town this entire game, and I have a cop check on him.
IN MY CURRENT TIER LIST OF PEOPLE TO LYNCH:
GB
Banks
Cya
lilwade (jumps to near first if he doesn't die tonight) Mafia lets him live, draw attention to him day4, easy mislynch on LYLO. Try harder. 1) why the fuck would they let him live when he has a 66% chance of checking someone in LYLO, and making the game that much harder for mafia. 2) who else would they shoot exactly; the only one who's "confirmed" town is cya if the check is correct, and there are 3 unconfirmed towns. IF WE LYNCH CYA and he's not mafia (which I currently believe), what then? Argh. I suppose they'll shoot me or Banks if one of us isn't lynched tonight, but eh. It's a significantly weaker play I would think. 3) I wouldn't lynch lilwade immediately. It just puts him as prime lynch candidate. opinions *le gasp* change, Where are you taking that number from? Night3 = 4 people 1 is lilwade, other one is cya 50% chance of him checking a mafia, IF there is no godfather, when there probably is one, it would be slightly unbalanced for mafia if there is no godfather. This takes the probability of checking mafia to the ground. Much better to let lilwade survive and make him the last lynch.
You're right, I forgot to count cya as already checked. Or lilwade himself. how2numbers
Anyways, THE POINT IS letting him live gives an unacceptable chance of a copcheck on someone IN LYLO, which depending who's lynched is 50-66%. If cya still lives, then it doesn't matter anyways as it gives lilwade room to push onto the unconfirmed town even if he didn't check him correctly. If he gets a red check, great, town is much MUCH closer to winning LYLO. Combined with the fact that lilwade dying LYLO IS NOT GUARANTEED, and there is an unacceptable amount of risk for mafia.
Again, this assumes no godfather. If there is a godfather, then yes, they may just let lilwade live and hope they check him.
IN ANY EVENT, I am agreeing with lilwade's claim for now since It's too risk for mafia to make the claim the day BEFORE LYLO.
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Either cya dies or lilwade dies, regardless of who we lynch. So lynching them is not necessary. STICK WITH THE UNCONFIRMED TOWN (me, Banks, you).
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for today anyways, LYLO is no bars.
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Afternoon gents, I just caught up reading.
I highly doubt I live through the night but if I do I believe I have a plan of action
GB, I do not think it is unreasonable for the scenario in a 9 person game to be 1 cop 6 VT 2 goons. I do not think I live past tonight so the number tolkien referring to is the 2/3 scenario that we have if there is one mafia left.
Seeya and myself are confirmed town, that means if one mafia is alive we have 2 shots 1 right now and one next day phase to win.
Poof, I understand that you feel strongly about cya, but I think everyone here knows you are capable of pocketing town as any role. and your first 3 posts after I claimed did not feel right.
Tolkien, I shit you not if you are mafia so help me god, you are like jenny day 1 right now.
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Well, I don't care about getting shot anymore since I know you're gonna eat it~
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Tolkien, I've already agreed to not lynch lilwade, I'm just trying to tell you to NOT totally believe he is confirmed town.
I'm okay with lynching either cya or poof today but I believe the case I have on poof is WIFOMer than cya's.
Anyway, maybe you are right that we should, for now, believe in this and don't get too WIFOM. This game is hard, though.
I'm finishing some works and when I finish it, I'll bring my case on poof, then.
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On August 06 2014 06:30 Lord Tolkien wrote:Show nested quote +On August 06 2014 06:23 Tehpoofter wrote:On August 06 2014 05:29 Lord Tolkien wrote:
cya: VT
Me: VT
lilwade: cop I'm vigi. And you havent shot anyone yet? lelelelel Wait, are you being serious here? Because if you are, this changes EVERYTHING, everything, and means it's highly likely that the last scum is godfather, and for cya to be godfather. Which invalidates EVERYTHING. O_o
Final warning: this is a newbie game so I'll tolerate this (probably) accidental edit. Any more edit will lead to ban right away. No more excuses.
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On August 06 2014 07:09 Lord Tolkien wrote:Show nested quote +On August 06 2014 06:40 Tehpoofter wrote:On August 06 2014 06:32 Lord Tolkien wrote:
if you're fake claiming, I'm going to fucking hate you forever. I'm just vanilla town. I wish I was vigi I'd have shot seeya last night. Guess you'll have to hate me forever  At least we banged. fak you. I didn't believe it because vigi wouldnt' have waited so long to shoot, but fak you.
there isn't a vigi in the main post... like we went through this two nights ago.
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On August 06 2014 07:29 Lord Tolkien wrote:
ZzZ. Goddamnit, you're making this really hard, but you're pushing yourself forward as town in your defense so for now.
#unvote GlowingBear
#vote TehPoofter
goddamnit
There is no way that I'm mafia. Just look at my filter. I was the one who went on RNG guy I started the wagon I pushed on it. I even reconsidered at one point where I COULD HAVE SWITCHED TO MEAT PUIDDDING and didn't late in day 1. Like I'll link my posts but there is absolutely zero change I'm mafia in this game. EVER. Remove your vote immediately. Its way more likely seeya is a godfather than I'm mafia.
I'm about to go on lunch. So like If this vote isn't moved by then I'll link to the posts that are better than lilwade's check.
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On August 06 2014 08:34 Tehpoofter wrote:Show nested quote +On August 06 2014 07:09 Lord Tolkien wrote:On August 06 2014 06:40 Tehpoofter wrote:On August 06 2014 06:32 Lord Tolkien wrote:
if you're fake claiming, I'm going to fucking hate you forever. I'm just vanilla town. I wish I was vigi I'd have shot seeya last night. Guess you'll have to hate me forever At least we banged. fak you. I didn't believe it because vigi wouldnt' have waited so long to shoot, but fak you. there isn't a vigi in the main post... like we went through this two nights ago.
I've said it many times in my filter regarding poof's plan and you completely ignored it. That's why I had a very weak scum read on you: you easily jumped on my wagon without carefully reading me.
But it is just a very weak read.
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EPT
