The PoE at this point is fairly obvious. rayn also agrees. I would post something very similar if i were mafia just because it's so obvious.

The thing is balla and bum can't be scum together because of an early interaction they had. Also why is grack a townread for you mocsta?

kushm4sta

United States8878 Posts

January 29 2014 06:36 GMT

#1418

Coagulation
bumatlarge
Grackaroni
Oatsmaster
Mocsta

one of them is town
possible BC nk shenanies but i doubt it.
I'm not sure who the safest lynch is.

kushm4sta

United States8878 Posts

January 29 2014 06:38 GMT

#1420

mocsta i can't read oats for shit

kushm4sta

United States8878 Posts

January 29 2014 06:40 GMT

#1422

well i dont think i can and also i dont want to read his filter

kushm4sta

United States8878 Posts

January 29 2014 06:41 GMT

#1424

i dind't even read you pm fully thawn. that's my level of yolo dont give a fuck righ tnow.

kushm4sta

United States8878 Posts

January 29 2014 06:43 GMT

#1426

whhy the fuck is everyone voting mocsta all of a sudden?

kushm4sta

United States8878 Posts

January 29 2014 06:49 GMT

#1429

is slam still a claimed blue?
we can lynch him after our blues claim if there are too many

kushm4sta

United States8878 Posts

January 29 2014 06:54 GMT

#1430

just realized mocsta/bum can't both be scum because of something mocsta said about pm convos with bum.

So actually I would lynch balla since
eitehr mocsta/balla are scum and bum is town
or bum is scum and mocsta/balla are town

the first seems more likely

kushm4sta

United States8878 Posts

January 29 2014 07:16 GMT

#1437

On January 29 2014 16:11 Mocsta wrote:

Show nested quote +

Elucidate me.

elucidate it to you
and no

kushm4sta

United States8878 Posts

January 29 2014 07:24 GMT

#1440

2 scenarios
mocsta/balla scum, bm town
bm scum, mocsta/balla town
It doesn't take rocket science to figure out why I think the first is more likely.

kushm4sta

United States8878 Posts

January 29 2014 07:32 GMT

#1444

an interaction between bum and balla leads me to believe that they cant both be mafia
something mocsta said about bum leads me to believe they can't both be mafia.

kushm4sta

United States8878 Posts

January 29 2014 07:36 GMT

#1445

i mean im more confident in my underlying logic that it's one or the other possibilities than which one is actually right.

kushm4sta

United States8878 Posts

January 29 2014 10:32 GMT

#1459

rayn then you have to revise your read of bum.

On January 26 2014 16:22 Balla24 wrote:

Show nested quote +

You said you wanted to put a lot of stock into who votes for who. My first thought is:

- He wants to deduce relationships between people.

So I then think, well relationships are useless between unflipped players, so he must be planning on lynching a mayoral candidate (someone who was garnering votes) to be able to see if there might be scum-scum votes or the like. I don't see how that's a strange thing to think about, so I asked you.

kushm4sta

United States8878 Posts

January 29 2014 10:57 GMT

#1462

rayn it can't be scum on scum because they would have had to fabricate a pm conversation very quickly then discuss its logic immediately in the thread. It is very unlikely.
Why hasn't bum discussed X?
Bum's activity has been so little that ofc he's not going to get to discuss everyone.

kushm4sta

United States8878 Posts

January 29 2014 11:08 GMT

#1465

bum's activity pattern looks pretty similar nmm ep 1.
I haven't seen the PMs but im sure they exist because they wouldn't be able to discuss the logic of the pms on such a high level if they didn't exist.

Keep in mind the context, which is hard for you because you weren't in game at the time.
Bum put forth a plan where everyone vote for mayor early. He pmed some people, me, balla, not sure who else,about how he was doing the plan because he wanted everyone to vote for mayor so he could analyze those votes.
Bum said he was really into analyzing votes atm.
Then Bum comes into the thread calling balla scummy because of logical leaps. Balla explains that what he said is not so much a logical leap as it is pointing out a flaw in bum's plan, the assumption of connections before someone has been flipped.
Anyway it's just impossible that they are both scum. I think scum balla could easily shit on bum's plan in this way though.

kushm4sta

United States8878 Posts

January 29 2014 11:10 GMT

#1467

mocsta do you agree bum and balla can't be scum together because of that early interaction?

kushm4sta

United States8878 Posts

January 29 2014 11:11 GMT

#1469

how is the argument debunked?

kushm4sta

United States8878 Posts

January 29 2014 11:17 GMT

#1471

there's no way they are having that discussion about a pm conversation that didn't exist.
Here is what Bum pmed me. He probably pmed the same thing or something similar to balla.

Original Message From bumatlarge:
the point is to get people voting, i don't actually think people running quickly is going to solve anything, but I want to see where votes go. I'm in a vote analysis kind of mentality right now, and I think I can get a solid person to lynch if there are alot of votes.