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TL Mafia XVIII - Page 3

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L
Profile Blog Joined January 2008
Canada4732 Posts
February 15 2010 03:21 GMT
#796
On February 15 2010 10:52 BloodyC0bbler wrote:
Well L, cause you asked me to. This is a rough outline of how I would link people on day 1 analysis. I don't think that much of it is spot on, but after viewing your bit on Emp, I strongly agree he fits insanely well for the Radiant being part.
Note: I did not use spellcheck on anything.


Clue Analysis: Day 1

Firstly, there are assumptions to this list. Each mafia has two family members involved with the killings (two for each family). There could easily be more. The links I will also be centering on will be around themes specific to each included killer. IE. Because it was mentioned that it was dark 8 times does not mean that it is a clue, just word choice.

Mafia A – The horsemen
“Sure enough, the two horsemen began slowly approaching the town. They did not rush across the field, but drifted in and out of the shadows, taking cover from the shadows cast by the clouds.”

“he horses neighed, and the first horseman charged dreamflower, spear aimed low at her gut. Dreamflower was blinded from the moonlight that reflected off the horseman, and was a little slow to react.”

“Noticing Qatol sneak quietly into the barn to his right, the horseman charged and leaped through the thin walls of the barn, landing straight on Qatol, who died instantly.”

“The house immediately combusted into flames as a torch flew through the window, igniting the oil-soaked residence. dreamflower’s last thoughts were confusion, for she thought that the torch flew through the window opposite the two horsemen.”

“But his path was suddenly blocked by one of the horsemen”
“He heard a scowl, as the horseman turned around and fled the other way, riding as if he were either blinded or drunk.”

Mafia B – The pyro, psychopath, and the radiant.
“The house immediately combusted into flames as a torch flew through the window, igniting the oil-soaked residence. dreamflower’s last thoughts were confusion, for she thought that the torch flew through the window opposite the two horsemen.”

“but they quickly retreated back to the safety of their homes once they heard gunshots and a hyena-like noise outside.”

“The crazed psychopathic noises approached swiftly, and Incognito had no time to react as a shadowy figure leapt from a roof above and ripped his head off, still laughing as it raced down another alley leading out of the town square.”

“However, at the end of the alleyway, he noticed a light getting brighter and brighter in magnitude. He heard a scowl, as the horseman turned around and fled the other way, riding as if he were either blinded or drunk. Kennigit emerged from behind the wine barrel, thinking that an angel had saved the town. Unfortunately, Kennigit did not find favor from the now radiant creature, and exploded into a shower of blue light. A few moments later, however, and the town was once again consumed with darkness.”


Analysis

Mafia A

I believe that there is possibly three members of this family used.

The first fits the theme of a charging horsemen who when struck with light at night can blind someone. Note. This person should be trained in the usage of a spear, or be wearing something reflective.

I believe CynanMachae fits that description from the picture he has in his profile found
http://www.teamliquid.net/userfiles/23719.jpg?1265785651

It also links to Ace as per L has stated based on his profile picture and Quote.
I believe Cynan better fits the description, as well, deathscythe uses a scythe not a spear. Seems like a mistake that wouldn’t be overlooked.

The second mafia member from this family I believe linked to, is the cackler. It is also who I believe killed qatol. He Cackles, which to me is an odd way to describe laughter, he observes qatol quickly, breaks through a thin wall, and kills him instantly.
This is someone who to me would be insane/mad and dangerous. I think the best fit for this is
Mystlord – He has a quotation made by the joker in his profile, and has someone who looks well, insane as a profile picture.

Madnessman – His name implies he is mad, as well as a profile picture that stresses having guts, and a quote saying “no pain no gain”. As he lept through a wall, I would say this covers pain for gain, and cackling for mad.

The third one I have linked is

Scamp – A horsemen blocked Kennigit randomly, much like his profile has a cat blocking a gutter.

Mafia B

Mystlord – He best fits to my quick look for the fire reference. I may have missed a profile relating to fire, but I believe his was the one that best stood out for it.
Second mafia I am unsure on, other than it was someone who uses guns, makes animal noises and was a shadowy figure. This last bit means he might not be human per se. If I had to guess I would go with Masterdana for having a dog in his profile and references to fps games.

The last one would be the radiant mafia. After looking at the information given, I will agree with L that this sounds a lot like empryean and could also link to zona for his fucked up picture, however empryean is a must stronger link.


I have issues with your analysis of the clues for Mafia A, as you've called them. The persona you've established, specifically the 'horseman who blinds with light" is inaccurate. Not only does the horseman blind, but he is blinded himself during paragraph 2. This double take on the same theme is massive, and is pretty much the EXACT same format that was used to introduce truthbringer's chaingun. Additionally, the clues aren't clear on who jumped through the wall, but from the flow of text, it seems that it is the first horseman who does; the other stays back and laughs. I could be wrong here on two counts; it isn't certain that the horseman in para 2 is the same as the first one, but it seems odd that blindness as a theme would be repeated, no?

That said, granted the ambiguous nature of which qualities are ascribed to which horseman, its entirely possible that you're 100% right regarding someone here and that Ace is the other horseman, which is something I worried about while initially looking at the clues. This uncertainty in attribution is why I think Emp is the more assured cluetell, but I'm still not really done thinking about the risk/reward profile of lynching him vs Ace granted the information disparity that we'd gain from killing one over the other

I don't entirely agree with your analysis of Mafia B either; Mystlord seems like a far better candidate for the rooftop killer granted the weapon and location of the picture. The link to fire is one of those perennially used ones that leads to herrings, so I wouldn't try to go fire-> someone without other links. If you read my link to Emp, you'd know there's a fire element there too. I'm pretty certain that most of the Mafia B clues need more fleshing out before we can be accurate with them, with the exception of the angel.


The number you have dialed is out of porkchops.
L
Profile Blog Joined January 2008
Canada4732 Posts
February 15 2010 03:48 GMT
#812
On February 15 2010 12:39 BloodyC0bbler wrote:
Show nested quote +
On February 15 2010 12:21 L wrote:
On February 15 2010 10:52 BloodyC0bbler wrote:
Well L, cause you asked me to. This is a rough outline of how I would link people on day 1 analysis. I don't think that much of it is spot on, but after viewing your bit on Emp, I strongly agree he fits insanely well for the Radiant being part.
Note: I did not use spellcheck on anything.


Clue Analysis: Day 1

Firstly, there are assumptions to this list. Each mafia has two family members involved with the killings (two for each family). There could easily be more. The links I will also be centering on will be around themes specific to each included killer. IE. Because it was mentioned that it was dark 8 times does not mean that it is a clue, just word choice.

Mafia A – The horsemen
“Sure enough, the two horsemen began slowly approaching the town. They did not rush across the field, but drifted in and out of the shadows, taking cover from the shadows cast by the clouds.”

“he horses neighed, and the first horseman charged dreamflower, spear aimed low at her gut. Dreamflower was blinded from the moonlight that reflected off the horseman, and was a little slow to react.”

“Noticing Qatol sneak quietly into the barn to his right, the horseman charged and leaped through the thin walls of the barn, landing straight on Qatol, who died instantly.”

“The house immediately combusted into flames as a torch flew through the window, igniting the oil-soaked residence. dreamflower’s last thoughts were confusion, for she thought that the torch flew through the window opposite the two horsemen.”

“But his path was suddenly blocked by one of the horsemen”
“He heard a scowl, as the horseman turned around and fled the other way, riding as if he were either blinded or drunk.”

Mafia B – The pyro, psychopath, and the radiant.
“The house immediately combusted into flames as a torch flew through the window, igniting the oil-soaked residence. dreamflower’s last thoughts were confusion, for she thought that the torch flew through the window opposite the two horsemen.”

“but they quickly retreated back to the safety of their homes once they heard gunshots and a hyena-like noise outside.”

“The crazed psychopathic noises approached swiftly, and Incognito had no time to react as a shadowy figure leapt from a roof above and ripped his head off, still laughing as it raced down another alley leading out of the town square.”

“However, at the end of the alleyway, he noticed a light getting brighter and brighter in magnitude. He heard a scowl, as the horseman turned around and fled the other way, riding as if he were either blinded or drunk. Kennigit emerged from behind the wine barrel, thinking that an angel had saved the town. Unfortunately, Kennigit did not find favor from the now radiant creature, and exploded into a shower of blue light. A few moments later, however, and the town was once again consumed with darkness.”


Analysis

Mafia A

I believe that there is possibly three members of this family used.

The first fits the theme of a charging horsemen who when struck with light at night can blind someone. Note. This person should be trained in the usage of a spear, or be wearing something reflective.

I believe CynanMachae fits that description from the picture he has in his profile found
http://www.teamliquid.net/userfiles/23719.jpg?1265785651

It also links to Ace as per L has stated based on his profile picture and Quote.
I believe Cynan better fits the description, as well, deathscythe uses a scythe not a spear. Seems like a mistake that wouldn’t be overlooked.

The second mafia member from this family I believe linked to, is the cackler. It is also who I believe killed qatol. He Cackles, which to me is an odd way to describe laughter, he observes qatol quickly, breaks through a thin wall, and kills him instantly.
This is someone who to me would be insane/mad and dangerous. I think the best fit for this is
Mystlord – He has a quotation made by the joker in his profile, and has someone who looks well, insane as a profile picture.

Madnessman – His name implies he is mad, as well as a profile picture that stresses having guts, and a quote saying “no pain no gain”. As he lept through a wall, I would say this covers pain for gain, and cackling for mad.

The third one I have linked is

Scamp – A horsemen blocked Kennigit randomly, much like his profile has a cat blocking a gutter.

Mafia B

Mystlord – He best fits to my quick look for the fire reference. I may have missed a profile relating to fire, but I believe his was the one that best stood out for it.
Second mafia I am unsure on, other than it was someone who uses guns, makes animal noises and was a shadowy figure. This last bit means he might not be human per se. If I had to guess I would go with Masterdana for having a dog in his profile and references to fps games.

The last one would be the radiant mafia. After looking at the information given, I will agree with L that this sounds a lot like empryean and could also link to zona for his fucked up picture, however empryean is a must stronger link.


I have issues with your analysis of the clues for Mafia A, as you've called them. The persona you've established, specifically the 'horseman who blinds with light" is inaccurate. Not only does the horseman blind, but he is blinded himself during paragraph 2. This double take on the same theme is massive, and is pretty much the EXACT same format that was used to introduce truthbringer's chaingun. Additionally, the clues aren't clear on who jumped through the wall, but from the flow of text, it seems that it is the first horseman who does; the other stays back and laughs. I could be wrong here on two counts; it isn't certain that the horseman in para 2 is the same as the first one, but it seems odd that blindness as a theme would be repeated, no?

That said, granted the ambiguous nature of which qualities are ascribed to which horseman, its entirely possible that you're 100% right regarding someone here and that Ace is the other horseman, which is something I worried about while initially looking at the clues. This uncertainty in attribution is why I think Emp is the more assured cluetell, but I'm still not really done thinking about the risk/reward profile of lynching him vs Ace granted the information disparity that we'd gain from killing one over the other

I don't entirely agree with your analysis of Mafia B either; Mystlord seems like a far better candidate for the rooftop killer granted the weapon and location of the picture. The link to fire is one of those perennially used ones that leads to herrings, so I wouldn't try to go fire-> someone without other links. If you read my link to Emp, you'd know there's a fire element there too. I'm pretty certain that most of the Mafia B clues need more fleshing out before we can be accurate with them, with the exception of the angel.





My issue with mystlord being used as the rooftop killer is that you hear the sounds of gunfire. As the woman from his profile picture has some form of blade, it seems to destroy that point. I could be horribly wrong, but its my own take on it. However mystlord does link in multiple locations.


I don't see how you rip someone's head off with a gun. Interesting observation, though. I didn't think the link between the noises and the hyena had to link directly to the rooftop killer, but they might.
The number you have dialed is out of porkchops.
L
Profile Blog Joined January 2008
Canada4732 Posts
February 15 2010 20:39 GMT
#1056
On February 16 2010 05:10 Caller wrote:
Seriously, what is the point of updating those things? Who cares about numbers, people can post as much or as little as they like. Obviously the mafia won't be stupid and have all their members be constantly active in case they slip up, nor would they all pretend to be inactive. They would likely be distributed throughout the activity spectrum, so just making lists of how many posts people made is ludicrous.

You could just summarize it as this:

Active posters -
DoctorHelvetica
BillMurray
Chezinu
Redtooth
Meeple
Ace
L
Iaaan
BC

I dunno some of the newer players very well so I can't pass judgement on their actions. Of course we would expect some of the "veteran" players to say lots of shit cuz that's how they roll.


People with wise things to say
Zato-1, Redtooth (just a lil') Foolishness (especially the part about people spamming shit),~Opz~ I think ~Opz~ always has valid points. I remember when I was running Red Army Mafia that he nailed a lot of people on clues, even if nobody listened to anything he had to say.

everyone else seems to be talking random shit if you ask me ~~~


You made an awfully large post about remarkably little. Especially when you have 4 total posts and you're normally a very active player who provides substantial content to the town.


With that said, I'm back.
=============================================================

First things first: Being stupid does not make you innocent. BM, redtooth, both of you have essentially said "trust me because I'm stupid". redtooth admitted he didn't even fucking look at the information he was discussing for a good 10+ pages. bm is spamming like a moron and staying dumb shit while doing so. Objectively speaking, neither of these are pro-town actions, so why would you say something like 'i'm obviously innocent'?

Second: redtooth thinks i'm suspicious, so he wants to give me pardoner over mayor? LOLWUT? Pardoner, like always, is a stronger role for a mafia player to have because of the fact that you can simply set the town back a day or negate an entire double lynch. I'm not even going to bother rehashing the argument regarding why he's more dangerous, or why a day 1 pardon is retarded.

Third: lynches aren't for killing annoying people, they're for killing mafia members.

Fourth: Since it looks like I'm going to be the mayor, I'm going to kill Emp unless SOMEONE decides to take a swipe at his clue set. Which won't happen. Because you're all lazy jerks.

And so in the attempt to get this ball rolling and strolling, I have PM'd Emp the following:

To: Empyrean [ Profile | Buddy ]
Subject: Hey
Date: 2/16/10 05:36
I'm going to kill you if i'm elected mayor unless you grow some balls and post in the thread. Also, i'm posting this pm. Toodles:

-L

Note how I said he should grow some balls: this message applies both to him and to the majority of people who decided to retract into abdomens across liquidia in fear of being killed in reprisal for doing work that the town needs to be done. If tomorrow I need to harrass half the town into looking at clues and do the majority of it myself, I'm going to, as they put it in the parlance of our times, trip balls.
The number you have dialed is out of porkchops.
L
Profile Blog Joined January 2008
Canada4732 Posts
February 15 2010 21:28 GMT
#1078
Nikoner, not killing someone day 1 is generally a box of dumb. Even if it makes me look bad, its better to have 100% confirmable information for the town to work with regarding associations and whatnot.

My only fear is that ZERO people have pushed back against my claim against emp, and a number of people have tagged along well after i took pains to make it clear i wasn't dropping the accusation. Either one of the mafia teams is using him as a sacrifice to get, say, ver, to look good by supporting my position, or emp is green/blue and afk like a moron. Given his vote, it would seem that he isn't afk, which leads me to believe that killing him will at least give me some information. I'm actually more worried about how much information regarding clue interpretation for this game I can glean from a red or green flip than anything else.

Like i said; Grow some fucking balls.
The number you have dialed is out of porkchops.
L
Profile Blog Joined January 2008
Canada4732 Posts
February 15 2010 22:05 GMT
#1099
Its not a wasted vote. I'd rather have someone who i'm pretty sure is a DT in office regardless of his posting mannerisms if the alternatives are just as stupid with far less potential for being blue.
The number you have dialed is out of porkchops.
L
Profile Blog Joined January 2008
Canada4732 Posts
February 15 2010 22:20 GMT
#1111
On February 16 2010 07:18 d3_crescentia wrote:
Show nested quote +
On February 16 2010 07:05 L wrote:
Its not a wasted vote. I'd rather have someone who i'm pretty sure is a DT in office regardless of his posting mannerisms if the alternatives are just as stupid with far less potential for being blue.

But with a little less than two hours left, do you think your vote can actually make a difference?

Instead of asking me incredibly stupid questions, why don't you think on your own for 3 seconds? Yeah, no shit I think it makes a difference, otherwise I wouldn't have voted.
The number you have dialed is out of porkchops.
L
Profile Blog Joined January 2008
Canada4732 Posts
February 15 2010 22:58 GMT
#1122
I still don't understand how playing poorly makes you seem innocent redtooth, or why people would want to give you pardoner over pretty much anyone else.

I went hard on emp for more than 1 reason. One reason was that I actually liked his clues more. The second was that I figured if I let up on Ace and you, you'd both do dumb shit.

looks like i was right!

Ace recently claimed that he hasn't done anything day 1 because he's been fearful for his life. This is disputed in 2 ways: First his defense wasn't a defense. It was a dismissal. He didn't even bother entertaining the argument on the merits. Second; since removing pressure on him, Ace hasn't 'stepped up' so to speak. No positive suggestions, nothing. I'm pretty sure other players have picked up on this too, especially when Ace's own argumentation predicts that path.

Redtooth, similarly, keeps overtly claiming his innocence and is now trying to make a play for the strongest elected role by virtue of being a half loser. Why are people voting for you in the first place? Because you made a banner and readily admit that you jumped into an argument without actually looking at what its about? You pretty much admit that you were going to enter a shitstorm, but have done interesting things since then:
1) First you claimed that clue analysis was useless without looking at the clues
2) Then you stated that you hadn't actually looked at the clues
3) Then you backed out of the argument stating that you were swayed by my positions
4) In the past few pages you've gone back to attempting to shit on clues.
So it seems like your initial acceptance of my argument was bullshit. Either way, you stink. You stink really, really hard.

I'm still going to kill Emp 100%, but you two aren't even remotely close to obviously innocent. Vote chez into pardoner; if he's lying about being a DT, we'll know when the results of his checks come back.
The number you have dialed is out of porkchops.
L
Profile Blog Joined January 2008
Canada4732 Posts
February 15 2010 23:21 GMT
#1133
On February 16 2010 08:19 redtooth wrote:
god damn it i said don't worry about chezinu L.

I'm not worried about him.

I'm worried about YOU.
The number you have dialed is out of porkchops.
L
Profile Blog Joined January 2008
Canada4732 Posts
February 15 2010 23:28 GMT
#1141
Leave it to Ace to trash up the thread so redtooth can dodge a massive criticism.
The number you have dialed is out of porkchops.
L
Profile Blog Joined January 2008
Canada4732 Posts
February 15 2010 23:47 GMT
#1171
Ace just shifted the pardoner role to Ver.

This is why I wanted Chez as pardoner instead of the Ace/Red clown duo deciding where the strongest role gets put.
The number you have dialed is out of porkchops.
L
Profile Blog Joined January 2008
Canada4732 Posts
February 15 2010 23:55 GMT
#1181
I'm pretty sure I'm going to have to kill someone because of what just happened.
The number you have dialed is out of porkchops.
L
Profile Blog Joined January 2008
Canada4732 Posts
February 15 2010 23:59 GMT
#1189
On February 16 2010 08:58 Ace wrote:
Show nested quote +
On February 16 2010 08:55 L wrote:
I'm pretty sure I'm going to have to kill someone because of what just happened.



How did I know you'd use that as an excuse? Paint yourself red more please.

Yeah, I dunno, throwing votes around, switching then switching back clearly isn't telltale mafia bullshit.

Seriously, stop up those leaky faucet eyes of yours.
The number you have dialed is out of porkchops.
L
Profile Blog Joined January 2008
Canada4732 Posts
February 16 2010 00:00 GMT
#1191
Oh, and welcome Empyrean. I'm glad you've decided to swing votes around instead of post more than once in the thread.
The number you have dialed is out of porkchops.
L
Profile Blog Joined January 2008
Canada4732 Posts
February 16 2010 00:06 GMT
#1208
The amount of concentrated stupid that some people are displaying is a bit too much to not have an element of mafia induced coincidence.
The number you have dialed is out of porkchops.
L
Profile Blog Joined January 2008
Canada4732 Posts
February 16 2010 00:08 GMT
#1215
On February 16 2010 09:07 Ace wrote:
Seeing L upset made me die during the day 2 lynch

Fixed.
The number you have dialed is out of porkchops.
L
Profile Blog Joined January 2008
Canada4732 Posts
February 16 2010 00:09 GMT
#1220
"i didn't think he'd get to mayor" isn't a valid defence. People knew what they were voting for when they voted.

A lot of you kids are in big trouble now.
The number you have dialed is out of porkchops.
L
Profile Blog Joined January 2008
Canada4732 Posts
February 16 2010 00:11 GMT
#1224
On February 16 2010 09:09 Ace wrote:
Show nested quote +
On February 16 2010 09:08 L wrote:
On February 16 2010 09:07 Ace wrote:
Seeing L upset made me die during the day 2 lynch

Fixed.


It's been established Pardoner is the more critical position this game. Calm yourself.

Yeah, but I wanted to kill you with my mayor lynch and have redtooth forced into the unenviable position of pming me about why he would or wouldn't pardon you.
The number you have dialed is out of porkchops.
L
Profile Blog Joined January 2008
Canada4732 Posts
February 16 2010 00:18 GMT
#1233
On February 16 2010 09:14 Ace wrote:
Show nested quote +
On February 16 2010 09:11 L wrote:
On February 16 2010 09:09 Ace wrote:
On February 16 2010 09:08 L wrote:
On February 16 2010 09:07 Ace wrote:
Seeing L upset made me die during the day 2 lynch

Fixed.


It's been established Pardoner is the more critical position this game. Calm yourself.

Yeah, but I wanted to kill you with my mayor lynch and have redtooth forced into the unenviable position of pming me about why he would or wouldn't pardon you.



Except if you killed me when I flip green you'd have to explain yourself since you said you'd kill Empyrean. But of course I'm sure you didn't really think I'd vote for you anyway. *shrug*

Except if I killed you you'd flip red. Shut your faucet eyes.
The number you have dialed is out of porkchops.
L
Profile Blog Joined January 2008
Canada4732 Posts
February 16 2010 00:22 GMT
#1238
On February 16 2010 09:19 Ace wrote:
How much are you willing to put on that L?

gvg championship cloak.
The number you have dialed is out of porkchops.
L
Profile Blog Joined January 2008
Canada4732 Posts
February 16 2010 00:27 GMT
#1244
And that's why I wanted to kill Ace instead.
The number you have dialed is out of porkchops.
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