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[ASL13] Ro8 Preview Pt1: One Shall Stand

Forum Index > BW General
8 CommentsPost a Reply

[ASL13] Ro8 Preview Pt1: One Shall Stand

Text byTL.net ESPORTS
Graphics byv1
March 15th, 2022 16:37 GMT
ASL11 Main Image
An unfortunate COVID infection leaves us with only one Ro8 match this week, but while the card may be unstacked what we are left with is still a doozy with Soma and Rush making another climb to the top, but only one can go through to earn the seed for the next season and keep their dreams for this season alive.

Group A Preview

One Shall Fall


(Z)Soma, (T)Rush, and (T)JyJ, while veterans of the game, are still in the sophomore class when it comes to premier tournaments. Season 13 highlights more than ever the salt and pepper divide between seasoned veterans struggling to stay qualified in the tournament and fresh new faces looking to become the new stalwarts. Two players have defined themselves as new faces more than anyone else and that brings us to (Z)Soma and (T)Rush.

This series is a rematch of last season’s round of 8 between the two players. (T)Rush brought to the table a new series of strong macro bio builds. An exhausting amount of unit production and militia movement proved too powerful for (Z)Soma and he lost the series 1-3. (T)Rush is (Z)Soma’s most difficult opponent remaining. (T)Rush is winning 66% of his TvZ matches this year. (Z)Soma over the past month has dropped below a 50% win rate in ZvT and has also lost 9 of his past 15 games versus (T)Rush. (Z)Soma is going to need to put together his best series ever if he wants to find his way back to the finals stage again.

Game 1 will be playing out on (Wiki)Monopoly. This fresh 3 player map is going to be all about spawn positions. The 3 o’clock base offers huge protections when it comes to turret placements and muta defense. However, (Z)Soma has become an expert at mineral boosting and if (Z)Soma spawns at the 6 o’clock position the closer by ground way the 3 position will enable him to begin with aggressive speedling harassment. This is just the tip of many advantages and disadvantages spawns open up on this map. It will be exciting to listen in on Scan and Nyoken’s expert analysis as the match starts. The uneasiness of this map almost guarantees one player will open with a cheese build to gain a huge advantage or even end the game quickly. The edge goes to (Z)Soma here because of how efficient he has become in ZvT openings.

Game 2 is played on the map (Wiki)Butter. Butter is also a very new map that provides more short-to-medium length games and has yet to be played out into a long game that ends with a fight for the 9 o’clock base. Two things we know already, (T)Rush was beat by (Z)Action on this map in the previous round and (Z)Soma was able to defeat (P)Bisu here while also mineral boosting heavily in the early game. This map is also very vulnerable to mutalisk harassment, a skill (Z)Soma showed off well in his match versus (T)sSak. The feeling here is that (Z)Soma would want to take advantage of his bonus minerals here and have his most aggressive opener prepared versus (T)Rush. (T)Rush won’t have a chance to develop his macro machine before being taken out.

Game 3 is played on the perfect Terran map, (Wiki)Vermeer. This 4-player map has a familiar layout and that comfy jungle ruins tile set that makes every Terran player feel at home. If (T)Rush really does lose his first two games here, this will be a challenge of the mind and not his skills. The first two expansions are easily accessible and defensible with the bonus of a gas at the third. (T)Rush will dominate this map if he can maintain the true center of this map. If Terran holds the center, then the bio macro machine can work effectively at attacking (Z)Soma whenever his army is out of place. By ground or by dropship, (T)Rush will show how much of a better player he is when playing on familiar territory.

The home field advantage continues with Allegro. The very simple map design offers strong quarters for a macro Terran like (T)Rush. With a less accessible 3rd base, (T)Rush will have an opportunity to have (Z)Soma relive nightmares of two base pure bio pushes. Cross-spawns might be the single most important start for (Z)Soma. Creating space and buying time will be a challenge for (Z)Soma. (Z)Soma will have to execute perfect mutalisk harassment and take down at least 6-7 scvs in his first attack if he wants to win this game. (T)Rush will have his best defense ever and take game 4.

From a series prediction that could really have been a 3-0 for (Z)Soma, ends with a discussion of (Wiki)Metaverse. This map is such a clever mix of weird features while also looking completely standard. (Z)ZerO brought us a brief glimpse of what alternate strategies were available in the PvZ matchup. Terrans, no doubt, have their own memories of temples being torn down as lurkers invade their base through a back door. Think back to the legendary (Wiki)Electric Circuit days. The past two maps, (T)Rush was given a huge advantage due to the overall standardness of the map. The immediate advantage again goes to (T)Rush on metaverse, but (Z)Soma also gains an advantage for creativity. There are so many ways for (Z)Soma to out think his opponent that this is going to make the win very challenging for (T)Rush. (T)Rush may plan a defense that prevents a lurker backstab, but (Z)Soma may hide the overlord drop upgrade rush and instead go directly for the main. No matter what, this looks to be the messiest map yet and when things get out of control, you have to pick (Z)Soma to be the eventual winner.

(Z)Soma 3-2 (T)Rush

(Z)Soma Advances to the Ro4!



Writers: BisuDagger
Graphics: v1
Editors: BLinD-RawR

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emperorchampion
Profile Blog Joined December 2008
Canada9496 Posts
Last Edited: 2022-03-15 18:01:45
March 15 2022 17:57 GMT
#2
Thanks for the preview!

Loved the description of vermeer: "This 4-player map has a familiar layout and that comfy jungle ruins tile set that makes every Terran player feel at home."


I have the impression that overall Metaverse is terran favoured in TvZ, but maybe it's just the battlecruiser game from last round (or the one before) that sticking out in my head. I also think terran benefits from drop potential and harassing the mineral lines of the 3rd's. edit: Also it's harder to take a 4th base which I think hurts zerg.

Hoping for Rush victory anyhow
TRUEESPORTS || your days as a respected member of team liquid are over
QOGQOG
Profile Joined July 2019
834 Posts
March 15 2022 22:47 GMT
#3
I would have been happy with this match as the finals, so getting it in the Ro8 is pretty nice.

I would give the edge to Rush though—most of Soma's losses in ASL have been at the hands of top tier Terrans, and given that Rush is (at least) the second best Terran, it's going to be tough.
lestye
Profile Blog Joined August 2010
United States4186 Posts
March 15 2022 22:54 GMT
#4
Awesome piece! I need this to go a full five games since its the only ASL we're getting this week!
"You guys are just edgelords. Embrace your inner weeb desu" -Zergneedsfood
LpTraxamillion
Profile Joined October 2020
265 Posts
March 16 2022 08:15 GMT
#5
I think Rush is world #1 right now after queen has fallen off and that this will look the same as their last ro8 with Rush overwhelming him with sk terran macro. I hope I am wrong though.

Nice write up
Piste
Profile Blog Joined July 2006
6180 Posts
Last Edited: 2022-03-16 09:51:16
March 16 2022 09:19 GMT
#6
Starting in 40 mins, hyype!

Will Scan and Nyoken be doing live cast? Or any english caster?

edit: okay thread is now up and looks like they will.
WombaT
Profile Blog Joined May 2010
Northern Ireland26224 Posts
March 16 2022 13:32 GMT
#7
As a BW fan albeit a noob scrub what is the mineral boosting you were referring to? Is it just optimal mining and being on top of that or is it a little trick to pump more income in the early game?

Great write up by the way!
'You'll always be the cuddly marsupial of my heart, despite the inherent flaws of your ancestry' - Squat
pood
Profile Joined July 2020
7 Posts
March 16 2022 16:12 GMT
#8
@Wombat

Hawk did a very good video on Zerg mineral boosting:


Scan was also saying in one of the casts about how some Zerg (I think it was Soma?) did it so well that he managed to put down his 9pool at 01:00; so it can make a huge difference early-mid game.
WombaT
Profile Blog Joined May 2010
Northern Ireland26224 Posts
March 16 2022 16:52 GMT
#9
Cheers pood, interesting watch
'You'll always be the cuddly marsupial of my heart, despite the inherent flaws of your ancestry' - Squat
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