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[TSL4] Point Ranking Update - Week 3

Forum Index > TSL4 Forum
66 CommentsPost a Reply
1 2 3 4 Next All
Plexa
Profile Blog Joined October 2005
Aotearoa39261 Posts
Last Edited: 2012-07-02 12:57:45
July 02 2012 00:06 GMT
#1
Point Ranking Update


We’re now over half way through the TSL4 qualifiers and the hunt for points is becoming more and more competitive. There are only four NA-EU qualifiers and two KR qualifiers remaining. So how are the point rankings shaping up for each server?


EU/NA Rankings Change  
1st se Mill.LaLuSh182
--
2nd de aTn.DarkForce174
--
3rd ee mycerion124
[image loading] 5
T-3rd us Liquid`Sheth124
[image loading] 1
5th se d.Bischu122
[image loading] 2
6th de mouz.HasuObs111
[image loading] 54
7th se MorroW103
[image loading] 3
8th mx MajOr100
[image loading]
8th dk MANGO.Pink100
[image loading] 2
T-8th ks d.SeleCT100
[image loading] 2
11th uk infs.JonnyREcco93
[image loading] 1
12th
[image loading]
Empire|Beastyqt
92
[image loading] 1
T-12th us KawaiiRiceLighT92
[image loading] 48
14th de ESCGoOdy83
[image loading] 6
15th de Type.DBS82
[image loading] 18
16th dk AL.BabyKnight81
[image loading] 75
T-16th by FXO.LoWeLy81
[image loading] 2


Last week was not a very good week for those players who were on the cusp of breaking into the top 8 players the week before. Indeed, players like (T)GoOdy (83), (T)ClouD (74) and (P)HuK (71) couldn’t make any significant headway into cracking the top 8. The notable exception to this, of course, is (Z)Ret who qualified directly into the TSL last week. In particular, the NA qualifier last week was very bad for established progamers and many were upset by ‘lesser’ names and scored minimal points.

That means there are a number changes in the top 8 this week. The peoples champion, better known as (P)Mycerion (124), broke the 100 point barrier this week. He has been remarkably consistent throughout these qualifiers, scoring points in four out of six qualifiers. The other player whose consistency is paying off is none other than (Z)Sheth (124). Neither Mycerion or Sheth is secured a spot in the TSL yet, but at the rate they’re going they should be able to lock their spots in this week.

(P)Bischu has separated himself from the ‘one hit wonder’ group of finalists by getting back to back Ro32 finishes last week, nudging his total to 122 points. This is still shaky territory for him, but he’s definitely moving in the right direction. (P)Pink (100) and (T)SeleCT (100) will need to step it up and start adding points if they want to stay in contention. (Z)LaLuSh hasn’t added anything to his total, but then again he hasn’t been playing. He missed both qualifiers last week, but with his massive 182 point total it seems very unlikely he will fall out of the top 8 at this stage. (Z)DarKFoRcE added 21 more points to his total, bringing it to 174, and also looks to be a lock for the upcoming season.

Outside of the top 8, the scramble for points is really heating up. (Z)JonnyREcco (93), (T)Beastyqt (92) and (T)KawaiiRice (92) are all steadily adding to their totals and building towards a top 8 finish. All three are just one Ro8 away from placing comfortably inside the top 8 (and a Ro16 would get them there, just!). Kawaii was on a real tear last week as well, with a semifinal and a Ro16 finish. With this momentum he just might be able to make the leap into the top 8.

[image loading]
Socke isn't getting any traction in the qualifiers

What has really been remarkable this past week is how the big names have fallen out, one way or another. (Z)Stephano (21) looked like he was going to destroy the EU qualifier last week, before he was pulled away to play in another tournament. (P)Socke (11) just isn’t getting a break in the qualifiers – he lost to (T)Ender (41) in the Ro64 during the last NA qualifier, and lost to nkr (0) in the Ro256 during the last EU qualifier. That’s no reason to count him out, he has been streaming a lot lately and his fellow countryman (P)HasuObs (111) who was also struggling (before this week) made the finals of the EU qualifier, which shows that you can’t ever count out a champion like Hasu or Socke.

(T)LucifroN (33) isn’t gaining any traction either, he was only able to add 11 points this week – well below the community’s expectations, and I’m sure his own as well. As mentioned earlier, Huk (71) only added 11 points last week as well, after being upset by (Z)Forsen (41) 2-1 in the NA Qualifier and losing to Memph in the Ro512 in the EU Qualifier. (Z)MorroW (103) may be safe up in the top 8 at the moment, but he too was unable to add any further points last week after an upset loss to NoNameSc2 in the Ro64.

There are still four qualifiers left, so there is still some time to make up for lost ground – and boy will some of our favourites need it. My best guess as to what the minimum number of points will be needed to land in the top 8 would be 140 at this point. Why 140? No particular reason, just a combination of the difficulty of the qualifiers (and hence, difficulty of making successive point finishes in the qualifiers), strong players from the 40-90 point range gaining 100 points from finals appearances, and the fact that Sheth, Mycerion, Morrow and the guys on 80-90 points could easily break the 140 point threshold with a Ro8+Ro16 finish from two of the remaining four qualifiers. After this round of qualifiers the point threshold will become significantly clearer.



KR RankingsChange 
1st ks ST_Hack132
[image loading] 13
2nd ks IMSeed121
[image loading] 1
T-2nd ks IMFirst121
--
4th ks TSL_HyuN82
[image loading] 1
5th ks MvP.Lure81
[image loading] 13
6th ks SlayerS_Miya73
[image loading] 8
7th ks SlayerS_CoCa71
[image loading] 2
T-7th ks ZeNExLife71
[image loading] 2
T-7th ks SlayerS_Puzzle71
[image loading] 23
T-7th ks ST_Squirtle71
[image loading] 3
11th ks TSL_RevivaL63
[image loading] 1
12th ks IMYoDa62
[image loading] 6
13th ks AnnYeongPrime60
[image loading] 8


After last week, Korea has a new player at the top of the ladder. After narrowly losing to (P)Creator in the final of last weeks qualifier, (T)Hack sits atop of the ladder with 132 points. 132 points is a very nice place to be at this stage of the game. This is because the top ranking players without a finals finish cannot overtake Hack with a Ro8 finish. With the sheer difficulty of the Korean qualify, a Ro8 finish (let alone anything better) is incredibly difficult. Moreover, with 6 qualification spots, Hack seems virtually guaranteed for qualification. Mathematically it is still possible for him to not qualify, but realistically, he’s in.

(P)First ((P)Anyppi) also added points last week and joins (P)Seed on 121 points. Neither can feel too safe about their current score – with two qualifiers left (meaning two more sets of 100 points up for grabs, as well as four lots of 60 points) there are a whole host of players who are capable of surpassing them. Indeed, if (Z)HyuN (82) and (P)Lure (81) pick up another Ro8 finish then First and Seed would be tied for fourth place. If you then consider the two 100 point qualifiers then it becomes plausible that they might not make it into the TSL. That means a Ro32 finish this week would be a huge relief to either of them, and will probably be enough to carry them through to qualify in off the ladder.

Hyun, Lure and Miya are the three most likely candidates for the 6th spot on the ladder. Indeed, Hyun and Lure can break the 100 point barrier with a Ro16 or better finish and doing so would likely secure them a spot. Miya on the other hand might be able to squeak through with a Ro32 finish, since he is on 73 points adding another 11 would surpass Hyun’s total and thus make him the leading contender for the 6th slot.

By no means is it an easy road for Hyun, Lure or Miya to qualify. Right on their heels are (Z)CoCa (71), (Z)Life (71), (P)Squirtle (71), (P)Puzzle (71), (Z)RevivaL (63), (T)YoDa (62) and (Z)AnnYeong (60). Each of these players is one Ro8 finish away from breaking the 100 point barrier. If this happens, it will make for a crazy final qualifier where (quite literally) anything could happen. And of course, any of those players could make that happen this week – we all know that they have the talent and they have all illustrated it at one point or another.

[image loading]
DRG hasn't made any headway yet, but we all know he can

So who’s missing from the action? For starters, (Z)DRG (21) isn’t getting any breaks this season. He ran into Revival in the Ro64 and went out 0-2. The Zerg master has vastly underperformed thus far, and I’m sure he’s not remotely satisfied with his performance. This might mean that DRG comes out all guns blazing in one of the two remaining qualifiers and takes the whole thing; after all, we know he’s capable of it. Prime's Terran duo aren’t having a good time of it either. (T)MKP (11) obviously couldn’t play last week due to GSL commitments, but really needs some big results to stay competitive. (T)Maru (11) also can't catch a break and hasn't added points since the first qualifier. FXO are struggling a bit as a team, with (Z)Leenock (41) being the highest scoring member of the team.

The other big story out of the Korean qualifiers is the complete absence of Liquid. Indeed, the only player from Liquid to get points at this stage is (T)TaeJa (21), who only made it to the Ro16 in the most recent qualifier. With (P)HerO (0) qualifying for MLG arena and performing well in other tournaments and Taeja making the Ro8 of the GSL and grabbing a spot for IPL5 there really isn’t any good explanation for their absence in this tournament. I guess you could put it down to dumb luck. (Z)Zenio (0) and (Z)TLO (0) aren’t making any headway in the TSL qualifiers either, and realistically their chances are very slim since making a final, or back to back semifinals, seems quite unlikely for both of them.

While Liquid and FXO struggling (in addition to fnatic and ZeNEX), the other teams are getting a fairly even share of the action.
Team  Top 10  Top 20  Qualified 
Slayers
3
4
0
IM
2
4
0
Startale
2
2
1
NSH
1
2
1
TSL
0
2
0
MVP
1
2
0
Col.
0
2
0
FXO
0
1
0
Prime
0
1
1
ZeNEX
0
1
0


With only two qualifiers remaining, things are really getting tight. Big name players like MKP, DRG and Hero are really running out of time to qualify. Given the calibre of these players, expect to see some big performances in the next two qualifiers.

Things are getting tight! Join us in the live report thread in the upcoming week to feel the rush of following your favourite players as they battle through these incredibly difficult qualifiers.

You can find more information about all invites, qualifiers, and full rankings in the TSL forum.


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Administrator~ Spirit will set you free ~
Nuclease
Profile Joined August 2011
United States1049 Posts
Last Edited: 2012-07-02 00:12:33
July 02 2012 00:12 GMT
#2
I have to say I'm surprised at DRGs current problems in the qualifying stages.

I'm sure he can get it though.

And Squirtle too!

DRG and Squirtle fighting.
Zealots, not zee-lots. | Never forget, KTViolet, Go)Space. | You will never be as good as By.Flash, and your drops will never be as sick as MMA.
b8ed
Profile Joined May 2012
18 Posts
July 02 2012 00:15 GMT
#3
Is Mycerion....a + Show Spoiler +
bonjwa?
Noam
Profile Joined September 2010
Israel2209 Posts
July 02 2012 00:17 GMT
#4
Great read.

I wish there were 10 more Korean qualifiers!
So many players can beat each other, so consistency is the name of the game.
Liquipedia
TroubL
Profile Joined February 2011
Lithuania126 Posts
July 02 2012 00:18 GMT
#5
On July 02 2012 09:15 b8ed wrote:
Is Mycerion....a + Show Spoiler +
bonjwa?

Estonian?
''Special Tactics since 1998'' - WhiteRa
Catatonic
Profile Joined August 2011
United States699 Posts
July 02 2012 00:20 GMT
#6
I really hope Major dosn't make it I don't like him as a player or person :/ though good luck to everyone else I hope they all do well .
T: DeMuslim SeleCT. P: Naniwa Genius. Z: IdrA Destiny Team: EG
Norzma
Profile Joined November 2011
Sweden160 Posts
Last Edited: 2012-07-02 00:20:41
July 02 2012 00:20 GMT
#7
On July 02 2012 09:15 b8ed wrote:
Is Mycerion....a + Show Spoiler +
bonjwa?

Maybe, we are yet to discover his future
Gemini_19
Profile Joined June 2010
United States1238 Posts
July 02 2012 00:23 GMT
#8
On July 02 2012 09:15 b8ed wrote:
Is Mycerion....a + Show Spoiler +
bonjwa?


Fairly brave statement.
@GGemini19 GM Protoss | http://www.twitch.tv/geminisc2 | I <333 HerO & Trap | Check out my Build of the Week series on /r/allthingsprotoss, TL, or Spawning Tool
bittman
Profile Joined February 2011
Australia8759 Posts
Last Edited: 2012-07-02 00:25:54
July 02 2012 00:24 GMT
#9
Great read, thanks for the write up! Love this points theorycrafting =D

EDIT: Out of curiosity, what shakes up the ladder more?
1) Someone at the top of the points qualifying by winning?
2) Someone at the lower end of the points qualifiers qualifying by winning?

I imagine 1. Like if someone well ahead goes out of the points ladder, then more of the closer points at the bottom of the cut-off become more notable.
Mvp - Leenock - Dongraegu - MC - Gumiho - Keen - Polt - Squirtle - Jjakji - Genius - Seed - Life - sC - Dream || LG-IM - MVP - FXO
Azuroz
Profile Joined November 2010
Sweden1630 Posts
July 02 2012 00:26 GMT
#10
You didnt list NSH in the team list, they actually have a player qualified already :>.
Team NSHoseo <3
Plexa
Profile Blog Joined October 2005
Aotearoa39261 Posts
Last Edited: 2012-07-02 00:30:06
July 02 2012 00:29 GMT
#11
On July 02 2012 09:24 bittman wrote:
Great read, thanks for the write up! Love this points theorycrafting =D

EDIT: Out of curiosity, what shakes up the ladder more?
1) Someone at the top of the points qualifying by winning?
2) Someone at the lower end of the points qualifiers qualifying by winning?

I imagine 1. Like if someone well ahead goes out of the points ladder, then more of the closer points at the bottom of the cut-off become more notable.
imo...
In Korea, someone who made a final qualifying is a hugeeee shake up. This frees up another spot for non-finalists to compete for. In NA-EU, having lots of people within striking range of the top 8 shakes things up the most.
On July 02 2012 09:26 Azuroz wrote:
You didnt list NSH in the team list, they actually have a player qualified already :>.

For some reason I reverted to thinking they were zenex thanks for the catch
Administrator~ Spirit will set you free ~
Weavel
Profile Joined January 2010
Finland9221 Posts
Last Edited: 2012-07-02 00:31:11
July 02 2012 00:30 GMT
#12
Is there somekind of mistake or did ZeNEX player actually qualify? I hope that at least life manages to get a spot in the TSL.
edit: nvm fixed already.
Life/Seed//Mvp/NaNiwa fighting! ZeNEX forever!
gosuzombie
Profile Joined August 2011
Canada28 Posts
July 02 2012 00:32 GMT
#13
maru suddenly zerg? :S
Trizz
Profile Joined June 2010
Netherlands1318 Posts
July 02 2012 00:39 GMT
#14
Based as fuck mycerion, impressive consistancy.
nope
MrSnibbles
Profile Blog Joined December 2010
United Kingdom267 Posts
July 02 2012 00:44 GMT
#15
Yeah, I think Mycerion is a bonjwa guys/
Thank you, based god.
opterown *
Profile Blog Joined August 2011
Australia54784 Posts
July 02 2012 00:50 GMT
#16
gogo prime~
ModeratorRetired LR Bonjwa
TL+ Member
Proseat
Profile Blog Joined February 2012
Germany5113 Posts
July 02 2012 00:59 GMT
#17
So is there an explanation why most of Liquid's players are not competing in the qualifiers to their own website's tournament? Maybe time constraints? Or too much competition / too few qualifiers?
The Rise and Fall of SlayerS -- a timeline: http://www.teamliquid.net/blogs/viewblog.php?id=378097
Sabre
Profile Blog Joined February 2011
United Kingdom1086 Posts
July 02 2012 01:08 GMT
#18
BASED PEOPLE'S CHAMPION
gogo Mycerion
UK TrackMania Champion | Former SC2 player | http://www.twitter.com/Sabre_CS
Eshra
Profile Joined April 2011
France1009 Posts
Last Edited: 2012-07-02 01:12:58
July 02 2012 01:11 GMT
#19
On July 02 2012 09:59 Proseat wrote:
So is there an explanation why most of Liquid's players are not competing in the qualifiers to their own website's tournament? Maybe time constraints? Or too much competition / too few qualifiers?


They are. Sheth often plays in, so does Ret. I believe HayprO and NonY tried as well. I think Zenio was meant to enter one of the qualifier but didn't show up.
Mindflow
Profile Joined November 2010
Korea (South)320 Posts
July 02 2012 01:15 GMT
#20
so many terrans.... Hopefully more qualify.
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