[Up/Down] Group C 2013 GSL Season 1 - Page 24

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Dotq

Norway235 Posts

January 08 2013 10:40 GMT

#461

what the hell was that grubbbby=(((((((((((((((((

neoghaleon55

United States7435 Posts

January 08 2013 10:40 GMT

#462

poor grubby
T_T

vthree

Hong Kong8039 Posts

January 08 2013 10:40 GMT

#463

On January 08 2013 19:31 sparklyresidue wrote:
LosirA!!! The failed 2rax into baneling bust situation seems common on Entombed.

Banelings busts are a good follow up after defending 2 rax because stim and tanks are delayed. Most terrans usually wall off with barracks to deter the zerg from doing this.

RPR_Tempest

Australia7799 Posts

January 08 2013 10:40 GMT

#464

Grubby has pretty much no chance of even 3rd place now. First was his easiest opponent.

I think he can beat Symbol. Bbyong and LosirA are a maybe, but I wouldn't rate Grubby's chances highly.

epicanthic

Hong Kong295 Posts

January 08 2013 10:40 GMT

#465

That looked pretty ugly.

thesums

Taiwan257 Posts

January 08 2013 10:40 GMT

#466

lol... ppl think grubby can advance hahaha
so far it does not look like it, that 1 base all in was terrible

Cuce

Turkey1127 Posts

January 08 2013 10:40 GMT

#467

grubby =(((

GaliX

Germany380 Posts

January 08 2013 10:41 GMT

#468

I could cry right now

739

Bearded Elder29905 Posts

January 08 2013 10:41 GMT

#469

GG Grooby

FrostedMiniWheats

United States30730 Posts

January 08 2013 10:41 GMT

#470

This might be good if Symbol fixed his ZvZ.

Otherwise DRG blowout

TheBB

Switzerland5133 Posts

January 08 2013 10:41 GMT

#471

U&D Group C

DongRaeGu
      Expected score: 3.95-1.05 (sets: 3.95-1.05)
      Probability of achieving top 2: 77.31%
      Most likely place: 1st (54.47%)

Symbol
      Expected score: 3.19-1.81 (sets: 3.19-1.81)
      Probability of achieving top 2: 51.36%
      Most likely place: 2nd (30.08%)

First
      Expected score: 3.14-1.86 (sets: 3.14-1.86)
      Probability of achieving top 2: 49.98%
      Most likely place: 2nd (30.87%)

LosirA
      Expected score: 2.23-2.77 (sets: 2.23-2.77)
      Probability of achieving top 2: 15.15%
      Most likely place: 4th (34.71%)

Bbyong
      Expected score: 1.35-3.65 (sets: 1.35-3.65)
      Probability of achieving top 2: 4.26%
      Most likely place: 6th (42.10%)

Grubby
      Expected score: 1.14-3.86 (sets: 1.14-3.86)
      Probability of achieving top 2: 1.93%
      Most likely place: 6th (45.03%)

details, data source, code

+ Show Spoiler [Details] +

Detailed placement probabilities

                     6th      5th      4th      3rd      2nd      1st
        LosirA:   10.00%   20.79%   34.71%   19.36%   10.48%    4.67%
         First:    0.41%    7.49%   11.99%   30.13%   30.87%   19.11%
        Bbyong:   42.10%   32.62%   13.16%    7.86%    3.88%    0.38%
        Symbol:    2.06%    7.59%   16.43%   22.56%   30.08%   21.28%
        Grubby:   45.03%   28.98%   17.13%    6.92%    1.84%    0.09%
     DongRaeGu:    0.41%    2.53%    6.58%   13.17%   22.85%   54.47%

Match score

                     0-5      1-4      2-3      3-2      4-1      5-0
        LosirA:            18.78%   45.18%   30.58%    5.47%         
         First:                     23.00%   44.88%   27.02%    5.10%
        Bbyong:   15.49%   42.20%   34.52%    7.79%                  
        Symbol:             3.29%   19.34%   39.20%   31.04%    7.14%
        Grubby:   23.38%   44.21%   27.09%    5.32%                  
     DongRaeGu:             0.47%    5.35%   22.60%   42.19%   29.39%

Set score

                      -5       -4       -3       -2       -1        0        1        2        3        4        5
        LosirA:                     18.78%            45.18%            30.58%             5.47%                  
         First:                                       23.00%            44.88%            27.02%             5.10%
        Bbyong:   15.49%            42.20%            34.52%             7.79%                                    
        Symbol:                      3.29%            19.34%            39.20%            31.04%             7.14%
        Grubby:   23.38%            44.21%            27.09%             5.32%                                    
     DongRaeGu:                      0.47%             5.35%            22.60%            42.19%            29.39%

Symbol vs. DongRaeGu

Symbol wins (27.62%):
1-0: 27.62%

DongRaeGu wins (72.38%):
1-0: 72.38%

Most likely winner: DongRaeGu (72.38%)
Median outcome: Symbol 0-1 DongRaeGu