[Up/Down] Group C 2013 GSL Season 1 - Page 22

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Shellshock

United States97274 Posts

January 08 2013 10:30 GMT

#421

Poll: Recommend LosirA vs Bbyong?

Yes (13)

68%

No (6)

32%

If you have time (0)

0%

19 total votes

Your vote: Recommend LosirA vs Bbyong?

(Vote): Yes
(Vote): No
(Vote): If you have time

neoghaleon55

United States7434 Posts

January 08 2013 10:30 GMT

#422

losircat grin
<3

TheBB

Switzerland5133 Posts

January 08 2013 10:31 GMT

#423

U&D Group C

DongRaeGu
      Expected score: 3.95-1.05 (sets: 3.95-1.05)
      Probability of achieving top 2: 78.72%
      Most likely place: 1st (56.66%)

Symbol
      Expected score: 3.19-1.81 (sets: 3.19-1.81)
      Probability of achieving top 2: 51.77%
      Most likely place: 2nd (30.30%)

First
      Expected score: 2.82-2.18 (sets: 2.82-2.18)
      Probability of achieving top 2: 40.56%
      Most likely place: 2nd (25.46%)

LosirA
      Expected score: 2.23-2.77 (sets: 2.23-2.77)
      Probability of achieving top 2: 17.74%
      Most likely place: 4th (30.38%)

Grubby
      Expected score: 1.47-3.53 (sets: 1.47-3.53)
      Probability of achieving top 2: 7.00%
      Most likely place: 6th (36.82%)

Bbyong
      Expected score: 1.35-3.65 (sets: 1.35-3.65)
      Probability of achieving top 2: 4.21%
      Most likely place: 6th (42.79%)

details, data source, code

+ Show Spoiler [Details] +

Detailed placement probabilities

                     6th      5th      4th      3rd      2nd      1st
        LosirA:   10.18%   22.16%   30.38%   19.53%   12.45%    5.29%
         First:    7.41%   11.41%   15.23%   25.38%   25.46%   15.10%
        Bbyong:   42.79%   30.50%   13.90%    8.59%    3.64%    0.57%
        Symbol:    2.18%    7.96%   15.52%   22.57%   30.30%   21.46%
        Grubby:   36.82%   25.43%   18.94%   11.80%    6.09%    0.92%
     DongRaeGu:    0.61%    2.53%    6.02%   12.12%   22.06%   56.66%

Match score

                     0-5      1-4      2-3      3-2      4-1      5-0
        LosirA:            18.78%   45.18%   30.58%    5.47%         
         First:             7.48%   30.12%   39.07%   19.89%    3.44%
        Bbyong:   15.49%   42.20%   34.52%    7.79%                  
        Symbol:             3.29%   19.34%   39.20%   31.04%    7.14%
        Grubby:   15.78%   37.43%   32.66%   12.40%    1.73%         
     DongRaeGu:             0.47%    5.35%   22.60%   42.19%   29.39%

Set score

                      -5       -4       -3       -2       -1        0        1        2        3        4        5
        LosirA:                     18.78%            45.18%            30.58%             5.47%                  
         First:                      7.48%            30.12%            39.07%            19.89%             3.44%
        Bbyong:   15.49%            42.20%            34.52%             7.79%                                    
        Symbol:                      3.29%            19.34%            39.20%            31.04%             7.14%
        Grubby:   15.78%            37.43%            32.66%            12.40%             1.73%                  
     DongRaeGu:                      0.47%             5.35%            22.60%            42.19%            29.39%

First vs. Grubby

First wins (67.47%):
1-0: 67.47%

Grubby wins (32.53%):
1-0: 32.53%

Most likely winner: First (67.47%)
Median outcome: First 1-0 Grubby

details, data source, code

DJHelium

Sweden13480 Posts

January 08 2013 10:31 GMT

#424

Classic Losira! Nice to see!

One flaw is that he didn't take a third behind this. Many zerg players are kind of bad at doing this, and if the busts doesn't kill their opp they have this clunky transition (while floating 500+ minerals), instead of just making 10+ drones and continue macroing.

sparklyresidue

United States5521 Posts

January 08 2013 10:31 GMT

#425

LosirA!!! The failed 2rax into baneling bust situation seems common on Entombed.

739

Bearded Elder29902 Posts

January 08 2013 10:32 GMT

#426

GO GRUBBY NOW !

yyfpulls

United States2185 Posts

January 08 2013 10:32 GMT

#427

I like Grubby's chances. His PvP is pretty good.

Yello

Germany7411 Posts

January 08 2013 10:33 GMT

#428

Gogo Losiracat!
+ Show Spoiler +

Laryleprakon

New Zealand9496 Posts

January 08 2013 10:33 GMT

#429

Go First!

xmungam

United States1050 Posts

January 08 2013 10:33 GMT

#430

On January 08 2013 19:31 TheBB wrote:
U&D Group C

DongRaeGu
      Expected score: 3.95-1.05 (sets: 3.95-1.05)
      Probability of achieving top 2: 78.72%
      Most likely place: 1st (56.66%)

Symbol
      Expected score: 3.19-1.81 (sets: 3.19-1.81)
      Probability of achieving top 2: 51.77%
      Most likely place: 2nd (30.30%)

First
      Expected score: 2.82-2.18 (sets: 2.82-2.18)
      Probability of achieving top 2: 40.56%
      Most likely place: 2nd (25.46%)

LosirA
      Expected score: 2.23-2.77 (sets: 2.23-2.77)
      Probability of achieving top 2: 17.74%
      Most likely place: 4th (30.38%)

Grubby
      Expected score: 1.47-3.53 (sets: 1.47-3.53)
      Probability of achieving top 2: 7.00%
      Most likely place: 6th (36.82%)

Bbyong
      Expected score: 1.35-3.65 (sets: 1.35-3.65)
      Probability of achieving top 2: 4.21%
      Most likely place: 6th (42.79%)

details, data source, code

+ Show Spoiler [Details] +

Detailed placement probabilities

                     6th      5th      4th      3rd      2nd      1st
        LosirA:   10.18%   22.16%   30.38%   19.53%   12.45%    5.29%
         First:    7.41%   11.41%   15.23%   25.38%   25.46%   15.10%
        Bbyong:   42.79%   30.50%   13.90%    8.59%    3.64%    0.57%
        Symbol:    2.18%    7.96%   15.52%   22.57%   30.30%   21.46%
        Grubby:   36.82%   25.43%   18.94%   11.80%    6.09%    0.92%
     DongRaeGu:    0.61%    2.53%    6.02%   12.12%   22.06%   56.66%

Match score

                     0-5      1-4      2-3      3-2      4-1      5-0
        LosirA:            18.78%   45.18%   30.58%    5.47%         
         First:             7.48%   30.12%   39.07%   19.89%    3.44%
        Bbyong:   15.49%   42.20%   34.52%    7.79%                  
        Symbol:             3.29%   19.34%   39.20%   31.04%    7.14%
        Grubby:   15.78%   37.43%   32.66%   12.40%    1.73%         
     DongRaeGu:             0.47%    5.35%   22.60%   42.19%   29.39%

Set score

                      -5       -4       -3       -2       -1        0        1        2        3        4        5
        LosirA:                     18.78%            45.18%            30.58%             5.47%                  
         First:                      7.48%            30.12%            39.07%            19.89%             3.44%
        Bbyong:   15.49%            42.20%            34.52%             7.79%                                    
        Symbol:                      3.29%            19.34%            39.20%            31.04%             7.14%
        Grubby:   15.78%            37.43%            32.66%            12.40%             1.73%                  
     DongRaeGu:                      0.47%             5.35%            22.60%            42.19%            29.39%

First vs. Grubby

First wins (67.47%):
1-0: 67.47%

Grubby wins (32.53%):
1-0: 32.53%

Most likely winner: First (67.47%)
Median outcome: First 1-0 Grubby

details, data source, code

you're being ridiculous. I can explain everything you're saying, but i think that this is grubby's best shot at a win in this group, so i would put him closer to 50%

LlamaNamedOsama

United States1900 Posts

January 08 2013 10:33 GMT

#431

Detailed placement probabilities

                     6th      5th      4th      3rd      2nd      1st
        LosirA:   10.18%   22.16%   30.38%   19.53%   12.45%    5.29%
         First:    7.41%   11.41%   15.23%   25.38%   25.46%   15.10%
        Bbyong:   42.79%   30.50%   13.90%    8.59%    3.64%    0.57%
        Symbol:    2.18%    7.96%   15.52%   22.57%   30.30%   21.46%
        Grubby:   36.82%   25.43%   18.94%   11.80%    6.09%    0.92%
     DongRaeGu:    0.61%    2.53%    6.02%   12.12%   22.06%   56.66%

Match score

                     0-5      1-4      2-3      3-2      4-1      5-0
        LosirA:            18.78%   45.18%   30.58%    5.47%         
         First:             7.48%   30.12%   39.07%   19.89%    3.44%
        Bbyong:   15.49%   42.20%   34.52%    7.79%                  
        Symbol:             3.29%   19.34%   39.20%   31.04%    7.14%
        Grubby:   15.78%   37.43%   32.66%   12.40%    1.73%         
     DongRaeGu:             0.47%    5.35%   22.60%   42.19%   29.39%

Set score

                      -5       -4       -3       -2       -1        0        1        2        3        4        5
        LosirA:                     18.78%            45.18%            30.58%             5.47%                  
         First:                      7.48%            30.12%            39.07%            19.89%             3.44%
        Bbyong:   15.49%            42.20%            34.52%             7.79%                                    
        Symbol:                      3.29%            19.34%            39.20%            31.04%             7.14%
        Grubby:   15.78%            37.43%            32.66%            12.40%             1.73%                  
     DongRaeGu:                      0.47%             5.35%            22.60%            42.19%            29.39%

First vs. Grubby

First wins (67.47%):
1-0: 67.47%

Grubby wins (32.53%):
1-0: 32.53%

Most likely winner: First (67.47%)
Median outcome: First 1-0 Grubby

details, data source, code

Cmon grubby, defy the odds!

Coolhwip

Sweden1381 Posts

January 08 2013 10:34 GMT

#432

Gogog Gruby!

Mouzone

3937 Posts

January 08 2013 10:34 GMT

#433

Lol, "Grooby".

HolyArrow

United States7116 Posts

January 08 2013 10:34 GMT

#434

Groovy!

Acritter

Syria7637 Posts

January 08 2013 10:34 GMT

#435

On January 08 2013 19:23 Coolhwip wrote:

Show nested quote +

The 4 stalker drop harass may look like it's the shit. But it's never ever worth the investment. The second he choes that strat he was behind-

I'd say it could have been worth it if there were a few changes, like him chronoing out tons of Immortals at home and warping in tons of Sentries and then transitioning into an Immortal/Sentry all-in that can move across the map uncontested because of the Stalker harass.

Pretty much, it's an okay build if you don't lose anything, but Grubby lost all the Stalkers and all his initiative.

Deleted User 101379

4849 Posts

January 08 2013 10:34 GMT

#436

Grooby FIGHTING!

RHoudini

Belgium3626 Posts

January 08 2013 10:34 GMT

#437

Feeling grooby!

TommyP

United States6231 Posts

January 08 2013 10:34 GMT

#438

On January 08 2013 19:33 xmungam wrote:

Show nested quote +

you're being ridiculous. I can explain everything you're saying, but i think that this is grubby's best shot at a win in this group, so i would put him closer to 50%

First is better than Losira and Bbyong