[Up/Down] Group C 2013 GSL Season 1 - Page 13

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Olli

Austria24420 Posts

January 08 2013 09:44 GMT

#241

I call this game "Guns & Broaches".

FrostedMiniWheats

United States30730 Posts

January 08 2013 09:44 GMT

#242

perfect timing. I can now watch T-Funk

Shellshock

United States97276 Posts

January 08 2013 09:44 GMT

#243

Poll: Recommend Bbyong vs Symbol?

No (12)

75%

Yes (2)

13%

If you have time (2)

13%

16 total votes

Your vote: Recommend Bbyong vs Symbol?

(Vote): Yes
(Vote): No
(Vote): If you have time

neoghaleon55

United States7435 Posts

January 08 2013 09:45 GMT

#244

comon DRGRG
let's do this!

TheBB

Switzerland5133 Posts

January 08 2013 09:45 GMT

#245

U&D Group C

DongRaeGu
      Expected score: 3.72-1.28 (sets: 3.72-1.28)
      Probability of achieving top 2: 71.79%
      Most likely place: 1st (50.06%)

Symbol
      Expected score: 3.19-1.81 (sets: 3.19-1.81)
      Probability of achieving top 2: 53.61%
      Most likely place: 2nd (30.00%)

First
      Expected score: 2.82-2.18 (sets: 2.82-2.18)
      Probability of achieving top 2: 39.29%
      Most likely place: 3rd (24.63%)

LosirA
      Expected score: 1.90-3.10 (sets: 1.90-3.10)
      Probability of achieving top 2: 13.34%
      Most likely place: 5th (25.72%)

Grubby
      Expected score: 1.70-3.30 (sets: 1.70-3.30)
      Probability of achieving top 2: 12.47%
      Most likely place: 6th (32.84%)

Bbyong
      Expected score: 1.67-3.33 (sets: 1.67-3.33)
      Probability of achieving top 2: 9.50%
      Most likely place: 6th (32.50%)

details, data source, code

+ Show Spoiler [Details] +

Detailed placement probabilities

                     6th      5th      4th      3rd      2nd      1st
        LosirA:   23.28%   25.72%   23.21%   14.45%    9.38%    3.95%
         First:    6.41%   11.89%   17.77%   24.63%   23.61%   15.69%
        Bbyong:   32.50%   25.62%   18.87%   13.51%    6.82%    2.68%
        Symbol:    2.91%    8.32%   14.10%   21.07%   30.00%   23.61%
        Grubby:   32.84%   23.82%   18.07%   12.79%    8.46%    4.01%
     DongRaeGu:    2.06%    4.63%    7.98%   13.55%   21.73%   50.06%

Match score

                     0-5      1-4      2-3      3-2      4-1      5-0
        LosirA:    6.12%   27.39%   40.42%   22.39%    3.68%         
         First:             7.48%   30.12%   39.07%   19.89%    3.44%
        Bbyong:   10.44%   33.49%   37.03%   16.51%    2.54%         
        Symbol:             3.29%   19.34%   39.20%   31.04%    7.14%
        Grubby:   12.16%   32.46%   33.75%   17.05%    4.18%    0.40%
     DongRaeGu:    0.11%    1.59%    9.31%   27.09%   39.25%   22.65%

Set score

                      -5       -4       -3       -2       -1        0        1        2        3        4        5
        LosirA:    6.12%            27.39%            40.42%            22.39%             3.68%                  
         First:                      7.48%            30.12%            39.07%            19.89%             3.44%
        Bbyong:   10.44%            33.49%            37.03%            16.51%             2.54%                  
        Symbol:                      3.29%            19.34%            39.20%            31.04%             7.14%
        Grubby:   12.16%            32.46%            33.75%            17.05%             4.18%             0.40%
     DongRaeGu:    0.11%             1.59%             9.31%            27.09%            39.25%            22.65%

Grubby vs. DongRaeGu

Grubby wins (22.94%):
1-0: 22.94%

DongRaeGu wins (77.06%):
1-0: 77.06%

Most likely winner: DongRaeGu (77.06%)
Median outcome: Grubby 0-1 DongRaeGu