Detailed placement probabilities

                     4th      3rd      2nd      1st
     DongRaeGu:    5.45%   15.85%   58.34%   20.36%
         GanZi:   60.60%   29.31%    8.37%    1.72%
          SaSe:   33.07%   52.52%   11.46%    2.95%
       Leenock:    0.87%    2.32%   21.83%   74.98%

Probability of each pair advancing

                 DongRae    GanZi     SaSe  Leenock
     DongRaeGu:             0.23%    1.83%   18.30%
         GanZi:    0.31%             0.07%    1.34%
          SaSe:    0.56%    0.19%             2.19%
       Leenock:   57.47%    7.95%    9.56%

DongRaeGu vs. GanZi

DongRaeGu wins (75.06%):
      2-0: 45.44%
      2-1: 29.62%

GanZi wins (24.94%):
      2-0: 10.62%
      2-1: 14.32%

Most likely winner: DongRaeGu (75.06%)
Median outcome: DongRaeGu 2-1 GanZi

SaSe vs. Leenock

SaSe wins (9.25%):
      2-0: 3.52%
      2-1: 5.72%

Leenock wins (90.75%):
      2-0: 65.98%
      2-1: 24.77%

Most likely winner: Leenock (90.75%)
Median outcome: SaSe 0-2 Leenock

details, data source, code

KumihO.

United States55 Posts

December 17 2012 16:16 GMT

#23

Ok well this is my line up
1) Leenock
2) DRG
3) Ganzi (barely over SaSe)
4) SaSe
Even tho my heart would love to see SaSe take it

TheDougler

Canada8315 Posts

December 17 2012 16:16 GMT

#24

On December 18 2012 00:54 shid0x wrote:
The heart wants : Ganzi and SaSe.
The head says : ...Yeah nah lets not think about it.

Sounds about right.

We could use a european in IPL

Edit: Wait what?

On December 18 2012 01:13 TheBB wrote:
Pretty much as expected.

Group E

      Leenock: 96.81%
      DongRaeGu: 78.70%
      SaSe: 14.41%
      GanZi: 10.09%

~97%!? Damn that's high! I can see why of course but it's just an impressively high statistic.

StarStruck

25339 Posts

December 17 2012 16:47 GMT

#25

On December 18 2012 01:16 TheDougler wrote:

Show nested quote +

Sounds about right.

We could use a european in IPL

Edit: Wait what?

Show nested quote +

~97%!? Damn that's high! I can see why of course but it's just an impressively high statistic.

Did you see the stats for the other day?

Promethelax

Canada7089 Posts

December 17 2012 17:08 GMT

#26

Gogo Leenock and Sase and DRG and Ganzi. Why do these tournaments do this to me?

Schelim

Austria11528 Posts

December 17 2012 18:34 GMT

#27

DRG 2-1 Ganzi
Leenock 2-0 SaSe
Leenock 2-1 DRG
Ganzi 2-1 SaSe
DRG 2-1 Ganzi

rooting for Ganzi and Leenock though, but i like all 4 players.

who's the hots showmatch today? i am greatly enjoying those

Urbz

Netherlands456 Posts

December 17 2012 18:55 GMT

#28

On December 18 2012 03:34 Schelim wrote:
DRG 2-1 Ganzi
Leenock 2-0 SaSe
Leenock 2-1 DRG
Ganzi 2-1 SaSe
DRG 2-1 Ganzi

rooting for Ganzi and Leenock though, but i like all 4 players.

who's the hots showmatch today? i am greatly enjoying those

Should be Dragon Vs ForGG today!

IronSquid

France487 Posts

December 17 2012 18:59 GMT

#29

On December 18 2012 03:55 Urbz wrote:

Show nested quote +

Should be Dragon Vs ForGG today!

Confirmed!

Schelim

Austria11528 Posts

December 17 2012 18:59 GMT

#30

awesome =)

Schelim

Austria11528 Posts

December 17 2012 19:07 GMT

#31

Wolfdor had to wait a few "french minutes" so Wolf hopped in the shower

sitromit

7051 Posts

December 17 2012 19:09 GMT

#32

It's Wolfdor casting again? The hardest working duo in SC2. :p

LawnMower

Sweden557 Posts

December 17 2012 19:11 GMT

#33

On December 18 2012 04:09 sitromit wrote:
It's Wolfdor casting again? The hardest working duo in SC2. :p

Indeed it's crazy

KristofferAG

Norway25712 Posts

December 17 2012 19:16 GMT

#34

DRG/GanZi gogo!

MosART

United States1899 Posts

December 17 2012 19:19 GMT

#35

Wolfdor is like a couple of stimmed marines with a million medivacs. GG!

KristofferAG

Norway25712 Posts

December 17 2012 19:20 GMT

#36

Oh wow someone took a game of Dragon? I predicted him to win every single showmatch for the rest of the tournament.

Schelim

Austria11528 Posts

December 17 2012 19:23 GMT

#37

yeah, Wolfdor have been casting like 25 hours a day lately. group B of blizzard cup starts in like 8 hours and will take like 10 and this has just started, rofl. i know Khaldor doesn't need sleep when he has starcraft, but it seems that Wolf is adopting the same way of living.

KristofferAG

Norway25712 Posts

December 17 2012 19:25 GMT

#38

On December 18 2012 04:23 Schelim wrote:
yeah, Wolfdor have been casting like 25 hours a day lately. group B of blizzard cup starts in like 8 hours and will take like 10 and this has just started, rofl. i know Khaldor doesn't need sleep when he has starcraft, but it seems that Wolf is adopting the same way of living.

Yeah, but it's obvious that Wolf is pretty tired whenever he does Iron Squid casts.