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On June 23 2017 08:49 Chezitwo wrote:Show nested quote +On June 23 2017 08:47 ruXxar wrote:On June 23 2017 08:47 Chezitwo wrote:On June 23 2017 08:45 ruXxar wrote:On June 23 2017 08:44 Blazinghand wrote:On June 23 2017 08:43 Fecalfeast wrote:On June 23 2017 08:41 Blazinghand wrote:On June 23 2017 08:39 ruXxar wrote:On June 23 2017 08:38 Blazinghand wrote:On June 23 2017 08:38 ruXxar wrote:
[quote]
Because "If SL had two redchecks as role cop he would've absolutely claimed already." hmm, actually this is a good point for thinking SL is lying about the 2 red checks. I'm not sure how this maps to "so he's definitely a parity cop" though I didn't say that he's "defintely a parity cop". I said that the only 2 logical assumptions to make is that he is either bluffing or is a parity cop. ok fine but the logic still holds then. Mafia saw someone claim 2x redcheck on 2 of them, or 1 of them and 1 green, and the assumption that town would make is "oh he's just trolling" but mafia see sthis and his frightened and shoots him right away for being pcop or just profoundly stupid cop if he claimed 2x redcheck on greens, I feel like this wouldn't have come to mafia attention, right? like remember we need osme way to explain the SL shot based on "Mafia somehow figured out he was blue" Mafia could know the setup I don't think I've ever on TL played in a game, and I've played in a LOT of games, in which mafia knew the setup and town didn't; with the exception of semi-open mini games with like 3 setups and Mafia could infer it based on their own roles, but so oculd town from the list of possible setups does this happen now on TL Mafia? I've never heard of such a thing. I am pretty sure you were the one saying mafia knows the setup?! Quote please. Apologies if you didn't but someone definitely did and it sounds like something you would say. I will not look for it this late.
Then let me find it for you, since your short term memory is so faulty.
On June 23 2017 08:43 Fecalfeast wrote:Show nested quote +On June 23 2017 08:41 Blazinghand wrote:On June 23 2017 08:39 ruXxar wrote:On June 23 2017 08:38 Blazinghand wrote:On June 23 2017 08:38 ruXxar wrote:On June 23 2017 08:37 Blazinghand wrote:On June 23 2017 08:36 ruXxar wrote:On June 23 2017 08:27 Blazinghand wrote:On June 23 2017 08:24 Chezitwo wrote:
Like, BH is painting a world were SL has 2 fucking redchecks and doesn't claim even when he is almost lynched. That is absolutely ridiculous. no the point isn't that he had 2 redchecks. you're literally lying about what I'm sayhing. The point is, SL had a "same" check between you and FeFe. right? I mean, what other crumb is there? it HAS to be that, unless you can find a different crumb? So his "I have redchecks on FeFE and Chez" is his crumbing that he had a SAMECHECK on you guys. But Mafia didn't KNOW that it was a samecheck, mafia thought it was two redchecks I disagree with this point. If SL had two redchecks as role cop he would've absolutely claimed already. So the only reasonable assumption for mafia to make, is either: 1) is that he is a parity cop. 2) he is bluffing. Why would mafia assume "2x redcheck on 2 mafia" -> "parity cop"? Because "If SL had two redchecks as role cop he would've absolutely claimed already." hmm, actually this is a good point for thinking SL is lying about the 2 red checks. I'm not sure how this maps to "so he's definitely a parity cop" though I didn't say that he's "defintely a parity cop". I said that the only 2 logical assumptions to make is that he is either bluffing or is a parity cop. ok fine but the logic still holds then. Mafia saw someone claim 2x redcheck on 2 of them, or 1 of them and 1 green, and the assumption that town would make is "oh he's just trolling" but mafia see sthis and his frightened and shoots him right away for being pcop or just profoundly stupid cop if he claimed 2x redcheck on greens, I feel like this wouldn't have come to mafia attention, right? like remember we need osme way to explain the SL shot based on "Mafia somehow figured out he was blue" Mafia could know the setup
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On June 23 2017 08:52 ruXxar wrote:Show nested quote +On June 23 2017 08:49 Chezitwo wrote:On June 23 2017 08:47 ruXxar wrote:On June 23 2017 08:47 Chezitwo wrote:On June 23 2017 08:45 ruXxar wrote:On June 23 2017 08:44 Blazinghand wrote:On June 23 2017 08:43 Fecalfeast wrote:On June 23 2017 08:41 Blazinghand wrote:On June 23 2017 08:39 ruXxar wrote:On June 23 2017 08:38 Blazinghand wrote:
[quote]
hmm, actually this is a good point for thinking SL is lying about the 2 red checks. I'm not sure how this maps to "so he's definitely a parity cop" though I didn't say that he's "defintely a parity cop". I said that the only 2 logical assumptions to make is that he is either bluffing or is a parity cop. ok fine but the logic still holds then. Mafia saw someone claim 2x redcheck on 2 of them, or 1 of them and 1 green, and the assumption that town would make is "oh he's just trolling" but mafia see sthis and his frightened and shoots him right away for being pcop or just profoundly stupid cop if he claimed 2x redcheck on greens, I feel like this wouldn't have come to mafia attention, right? like remember we need osme way to explain the SL shot based on "Mafia somehow figured out he was blue" Mafia could know the setup I don't think I've ever on TL played in a game, and I've played in a LOT of games, in which mafia knew the setup and town didn't; with the exception of semi-open mini games with like 3 setups and Mafia could infer it based on their own roles, but so oculd town from the list of possible setups does this happen now on TL Mafia? I've never heard of such a thing. I am pretty sure you were the one saying mafia knows the setup?! Quote please. Apologies if you didn't but someone definitely did and it sounds like something you would say. I will not look for it this late. Then let me find it for you, since your short term memory is so faulty. Show nested quote +On June 23 2017 08:43 Fecalfeast wrote:On June 23 2017 08:41 Blazinghand wrote:On June 23 2017 08:39 ruXxar wrote:On June 23 2017 08:38 Blazinghand wrote:On June 23 2017 08:38 ruXxar wrote:On June 23 2017 08:37 Blazinghand wrote:On June 23 2017 08:36 ruXxar wrote:On June 23 2017 08:27 Blazinghand wrote:On June 23 2017 08:24 Chezitwo wrote:
Like, BH is painting a world were SL has 2 fucking redchecks and doesn't claim even when he is almost lynched. That is absolutely ridiculous. no the point isn't that he had 2 redchecks. you're literally lying about what I'm sayhing. The point is, SL had a "same" check between you and FeFe. right? I mean, what other crumb is there? it HAS to be that, unless you can find a different crumb? So his "I have redchecks on FeFE and Chez" is his crumbing that he had a SAMECHECK on you guys. But Mafia didn't KNOW that it was a samecheck, mafia thought it was two redchecks I disagree with this point. If SL had two redchecks as role cop he would've absolutely claimed already. So the only reasonable assumption for mafia to make, is either: 1) is that he is a parity cop. 2) he is bluffing. Why would mafia assume "2x redcheck on 2 mafia" -> "parity cop"? Because "If SL had two redchecks as role cop he would've absolutely claimed already." hmm, actually this is a good point for thinking SL is lying about the 2 red checks. I'm not sure how this maps to "so he's definitely a parity cop" though I didn't say that he's "defintely a parity cop". I said that the only 2 logical assumptions to make is that he is either bluffing or is a parity cop. ok fine but the logic still holds then. Mafia saw someone claim 2x redcheck on 2 of them, or 1 of them and 1 green, and the assumption that town would make is "oh he's just trolling" but mafia see sthis and his frightened and shoots him right away for being pcop or just profoundly stupid cop if he claimed 2x redcheck on greens, I feel like this wouldn't have come to mafia attention, right? like remember we need osme way to explain the SL shot based on "Mafia somehow figured out he was blue" Mafia could know the setup
Jesus motherfucking christ...
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Blazinghand
United States25552 Posts
On June 23 2017 08:50 Fecalfeast wrote:
The only fear I have is that if I'm mafia and have a framer I'd want marvs slot framed every night. Such an obvious copcheck
I actually think Chez has been doing fine, was not SRing him or even really thinking about lynching him
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bah.
to me it still boils down to:
fefe is a huge tr of mine
chezi is a huge tr of mine
sl tells me both have the same alignment
so im like cool both town.
im fairly sure sl said red check cause he thinks chezi is red cause marv replacement
but outside of that im fairly lost on who i want to lynch so i need to reread a ton of sruff
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Enough fun for today. That was a really helpful nightkill - thanks mafia.
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Blazinghand
United States25552 Posts
On June 15 2017 01:38 Koshi wrote:Show nested quote +On June 15 2017 00:18 Tumblewood wrote:On June 15 2017 00:14 Koshi wrote:On June 15 2017 00:12 Tumblewood wrote:
so far i'm thinking ruxxar and disfo have basically dumbtelled by taking sl's claim at fake value. unless i am actually operating on way less irony than them Don't think they are dumbtelled town for believing a claim. They are more likely town if SL is mafia. or what do you mean? believing the claim requires not realizing that sl just made that up. and if rux or disfo are mafia then they should figure that out because it doesn't reconcile at all with the information that they have. i think there's a corner case of this where they're mafia with eversince, but i figure they are still probably town. and if sl is mafia... idk, at least disfo is kinda scrubby and might take it as a legit fakeclaim Ok. So is it confirmed mafia knows the setup?
On June 15 2017 05:31 Koshi wrote:
1)darthfoley
3)Palmar
4)Rels
7)Tumblewood (do we know mafia knows the setup or did he slip?)
11)raynpelikoneet
12)Xatalos
13)AMG
14)marvellosity
15)Grackaroni
18)annul
20)sicklucker
21)ruXxar
22)Eversince
On June 15 2017 05:35 Tumblewood wrote:Show nested quote +On June 15 2017 05:34 Koshi wrote:On June 15 2017 05:33 Tumblewood wrote:
what do you mean about me slipping? why do you think mafia knows the setup? i don't?
On June 15 2017 05:37 Koshi wrote:Show nested quote +On June 15 2017 00:18 Tumblewood wrote:On June 15 2017 00:14 Koshi wrote:On June 15 2017 00:12 Tumblewood wrote:
so far i'm thinking ruxxar and disfo have basically dumbtelled by taking sl's claim at fake value. unless i am actually operating on way less irony than them Don't think they are dumbtelled town for believing a claim. They are more likely town if SL is mafia. or what do you mean? believing the claim requires not realizing that sl just made that up. and if rux or disfo are mafia then they should figure that out because it doesn't reconcile at all with the information that they have. i think there's a corner case of this where they're mafia with eversince, but i figure they are still probably town. and if sl is mafia... idk, at least disfo is kinda scrubby and might take it as a legit fakeclaim What do you mean then? If they are mafia without information there is really no problem with them believing the claim. And if they are mafia with information they can still pretend so w.e But what do you mean with it doesn't reconcile at all with the information that they have
On June 15 2017 05:41 Koshi wrote:Show nested quote +On June 15 2017 05:38 Tumblewood wrote:On June 15 2017 05:37 Koshi wrote:On June 15 2017 00:18 Tumblewood wrote:On June 15 2017 00:14 Koshi wrote:On June 15 2017 00:12 Tumblewood wrote:
so far i'm thinking ruxxar and disfo have basically dumbtelled by taking sl's claim at fake value. unless i am actually operating on way less irony than them Don't think they are dumbtelled town for believing a claim. They are more likely town if SL is mafia. or what do you mean? believing the claim requires not realizing that sl just made that up. and if rux or disfo are mafia then they should figure that out because it doesn't reconcile at all with the information that they have. i think there's a corner case of this where they're mafia with eversince, but i figure they are still probably town. and if sl is mafia... idk, at least disfo is kinda scrubby and might take it as a legit fakeclaim What do you mean then? If they are mafia without information there is really no problem with them believing the claim. And if they are mafia with information they can still pretend so w.e But what do you mean with it doesn't reconcile at all with the information that they have when i said that i meant they know the scumteam. so if they see sl claiming a red check, unless they are scum with eversince they should know he's bullshitting hmmmmmmmmmmmmmmmmm ok I understand what you were trying to say.
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Another curious tidbit for today is this piece by rayn:
On June 22 2017 10:24 raynpelikoneet wrote:
Palmar:
Whenever you wake up tell me when you can be here tomorrow. I am going to explain something to you and i am gonna now place my bets on you being town. None of these dumbasses will understand it. So please when you wake up tell me the time when you're gonna be here.
Not sure why everyone ignored it.
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Blazinghand
United States25552 Posts
I'm actually reasonably pissed at Palmar right now but I think we have more important shit to deal with than Palmar.
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Blazinghand
United States25552 Posts
Here's like all of Palmar's post in the last week:
On June 16 2017 16:39 Palmar wrote:
I clicked darthfoley's filter. I don't like it much, and I would expect him to be a relatively easy townread if he was town. I think he is a good candidate for being mafia.
On June 16 2017 20:25 Palmar wrote:Show nested quote +On June 16 2017 17:52 Holyflare wrote:
3P: koshi/palmar
How many 3Ps are there? I have way more flair when I'm 3p
On June 16 2017 20:26 Palmar wrote:
I'm just playing single player mafia mostly. Occasionally clicking filters, ignoring the thread, throwing out some opinions.
Life is good.
I'll try to maybe make my statement posts a bit more detailed when I cba.
On June 19 2017 03:36 Palmar wrote:
Ill figure out why we're all so happy together tomorrow
On June 20 2017 06:43 Palmar wrote:
Rels is evil!
I have no idea, I haven't read much lately.
I saw darthfoley thinks btdt is mafia, that is an interesting development as I've previously mentioned suspecting both of them. I also should catch up on what sicklucker is doing.
Chezitwo is probably mafia because marv not playing is like 99% because he rolled mafia. Sucks, but replacements are always more likely to be mafia, and in this case it's especially prevalent.
On June 20 2017 22:44 Palmar wrote:Show nested quote +On June 20 2017 22:41 Chezitwo wrote:On June 20 2017 22:40 Rels wrote:
@BTDT we're not lynching Palmar 'cause he did nothing scummy and some other people did.
Filter length is something to consider but is not an absolute measure. Yeah, basically this. But we should not allow Palmar to keep this up either regardless of his alignment. Surely the stern facial expression will make me snap out of it.
On June 20 2017 22:46 Palmar wrote:Show nested quote +On June 20 2017 07:40 Chezitwo wrote:On June 20 2017 06:43 Palmar wrote:
Rels is evil!
I have no idea, I haven't read much lately.
I saw darthfoley thinks btdt is mafia, that is an interesting development as I've previously mentioned suspecting both of them. I also should catch up on what sicklucker is doing.
Chezitwo is probably mafia because marv not playing is like 99% because he rolled mafia. Sucks, but replacements are always more likely to be mafia, and in this case it's especially prevalent. So, are you claiming it is normal for marv to completely vanish from TL due to rolling mafia? Because if you are not you don't have a leg to stand on. Yes, that is exactly what I am claiming.
On June 20 2017 22:50 Palmar wrote:
my top lyncherios atm:
skynx, btdt and sicklucker.
On June 20 2017 22:57 Palmar wrote:
I voted for skynx. He sounds distinctly less towny than he did the last game i played with him. I'm not complaining that the content is different, he just sounds less sassy.
It's a weak vote atm, I'll probably read some more later.
On June 20 2017 22:58 Palmar wrote:Show nested quote +On June 20 2017 22:51 beentheredonethat wrote:
the "marv disappears when he's scum" shit is actually valid, I can confirm that from Generic I (I think. Might've been one of the other games I hosted). The scum qt in this game is full of "omg I rolled scum" shit.
Then again, I haven't seen him post here around tl so I don't know how valid it is
also this is one of the few points Palmar can make because he's been absent basically. So I'd treat this with care. chezitwo appeared townie to me I have not read anything of Chezitwo's posts, it's very much just based on that. Which is why I don't particularly want to lynch him, it basically wouldn't be fair to the guy. I'm kinda hoping the situation resolves itself through a vigi shot or something.
On June 20 2017 22:59 Palmar wrote:Show nested quote +On June 20 2017 22:58 beentheredonethat wrote:On June 20 2017 22:40 Rels wrote:
@BTDT we're not lynching Palmar 'cause he did nothing scummy and some other people did.
Filter length is something to consider but is not an absolute measure. He did nothing townie, either. And a super bad reason to not lynch an obvious lurker. He managed to vote each cycle. He even comes in every now and then, throw accusations at people, doesn't follow up AND he freely admits to neither read nor care about this game. I don't know why we don't lynch (or shoot) such a player. To be fair, I freely admit to never reading any game I play. But yes, been extra lazy this game. Just had stuff to do.
On June 20 2017 23:00 Palmar wrote:
btdt actually upgraded based on really wanting me dead, I'm a sucker for people hating me.
On June 20 2017 23:10 Palmar wrote:Show nested quote +On June 20 2017 23:01 beentheredonethat wrote:On June 20 2017 23:00 beentheredonethat wrote:On June 16 2017 00:40 Palmar wrote:
So I clicked two more filters.
beentheredonethat is strange. There's some weird stuff in his filter like gettin into an argument if he's carefree. But there's also some townie sounding, albeit not very useful stuff. He goes in the "could be either category"
AMG hasn't posted at all, lucky me that was an easy filter to read.
I still think voting sicklucker is a good idea and I'm gonna park my vote there. Btdt should probably sheep me as he thinks sicklucker's contributions are atrocious. Hey, Palmar, we have a sicklucker train going. You care? On June 16 2017 16:39 Palmar wrote:
I clicked darthfoley's filter. I don't like it much, and I would expect him to be a relatively easy townread if he was town. I think he is a good candidate for being mafia. Hey, Palmar, this guy flipped town. On June 20 2017 06:43 Palmar wrote:
Rels is evil!
I have no idea, I haven't read much lately.
I saw darthfoley thinks btdt is mafia, that is an interesting development as I've previously mentioned suspecting both of them. I also should catch up on what sicklucker is doing.
Chezitwo is probably mafia because marv not playing is like 99% because he rolled mafia. Sucks, but replacements are always more likely to be mafia, and in this case it's especially prevalent. On June 16 2017 00:41 Palmar wrote:
Btw, if we're killing inactive/modkill-territory people, we kill AMG, not marv. Hey, Palmar, lynch into the AMG slot instead of the slot where you're suspecting scum!marv? Ok the first two things are basically me bitching but the last one is valid and scummy I actually think the first things are better, especially being wrong (mildly... I never voted him) on darthfoley. The last part is completely irrelevant. I posted the first post on day 1 for very good reasons (marv is both a great player and a good friend of mine, so keeping him alive would always be optimal). However when it's clear marv isn't playing and is replaced by a smurf, I no longer have any personal attachments to the slot (ie, I really want to play with marv). So cold calculation leads me to believe it is not unlikely, based on something completely out of his control, that Chezitwo is mafia. However, as I already said, I do not really want to lynch him for that without suspecting him specifically (and not the slot), because it's an asshole thing to do. I didn't even know we had a train on sicklucker. Is there an actual case I can read somewhere? I read a few more posts of skynx, I think I'll be unvoting him, he has a few decent posts.
On June 20 2017 23:11 Palmar wrote:
Can someone also link to a case on Grack?
On June 21 2017 03:30 Palmar wrote:Show nested quote +On June 20 2017 23:27 Chezitwo wrote:On June 20 2017 22:44 Palmar wrote:On June 20 2017 22:41 Chezitwo wrote:On June 20 2017 22:40 Rels wrote:
@BTDT we're not lynching Palmar 'cause he did nothing scummy and some other people did.
Filter length is something to consider but is not an absolute measure. Yeah, basically this. But we should not allow Palmar to keep this up either regardless of his alignment. Surely the stern facial expression will make me snap out of it. Apparently it did :D On June 20 2017 22:46 Palmar wrote:On June 20 2017 07:40 Chezitwo wrote:On June 20 2017 06:43 Palmar wrote:
Rels is evil!
I have no idea, I haven't read much lately.
I saw darthfoley thinks btdt is mafia, that is an interesting development as I've previously mentioned suspecting both of them. I also should catch up on what sicklucker is doing.
Chezitwo is probably mafia because marv not playing is like 99% because he rolled mafia. Sucks, but replacements are always more likely to be mafia, and in this case it's especially prevalent. So, are you claiming it is normal for marv to completely vanish from TL due to rolling mafia? Because if you are not you don't have a leg to stand on. Yes, that is exactly what I am claiming. How am I supposed to believe that a guy like this: On June 16 2017 07:40 Palmar wrote:On June 16 2017 07:37 Koshi wrote:On June 16 2017 07:36 Fecalfeast wrote:
Shenannie onto marv?
😇I'm only half joking nha. 0 posts is not his mafia style. He has some dignity and respect for the game. He had, tbh. He's the guy who just quit a game because he rolled mafia, as much as I like him (I love the guy, he's by far guy I've interacted most with outside of mafia that I've met here) he has been rather sketchy in his appearances lately. If anything his silence does point to him being mafia (or simply having forgotten about the game). does not realize that marvs universal TL absence is obviously not connected to a mafia game he signed up for ages ago? Walk me through this. Do you actually believe marv would stop himself from posting on this forum because of this game? Not to mention that he stopped posting way before it started and he could know his alignment. marv barely posts outside tl mafia at all, like his entire tl existence is basically tl mafia.
On June 21 2017 03:31 Palmar wrote:Show nested quote +On June 20 2017 23:45 disformation wrote:yeah i think i'll make a decent case on sl later. basically: creates the annul wagon via "read his filter didnt like it" pushes really hard (uncharacteristic for sl) has a false/bad xata town lean/read says xata might be town after all after flip aaaand: On June 16 2017 07:54 Holyflare wrote:On June 16 2017 07:51 Holyflare wrote:On June 16 2017 07:49 sicklucker wrote:On June 16 2017 07:47 Holyflare wrote:On June 16 2017 07:45 Eversince wrote:
This is going to make me look like garbage.
I haven't read anything since pg 35ish. Give me the the rough of what's happen between now and then for Xata, Annul, and SL.
I don't have time to fact check so my vote is entirely blind at this point. sl came to the thread and town read xatalos because xatalos has different reads to most of the game (when in fact xatalos' reads are blending with the rest of the game sl says i'm mafia for calling all the town leaders mafia and it's my mafia meta when 100% of other games he states my mafia meta is to push lurkers sl is trying to force the wagon onto someone who is blatantly self-preserving and revealing his plan for all to see, who stubbornly refuses to change his reads despite everyone yelling at him mafia sl is mafia I said that because xata had a mafia read on ryan and everyone else town read him. get over it you lost save your buddy xata doesn't have a mafia read on rayn, he said he can still be scum but doesn't actually say he scum reads him at all just remember this later ^ sicklucker being wrong is not really a scumtell.
On June 21 2017 04:05 Palmar wrote:Show nested quote +On June 21 2017 03:42 Skynx wrote:
Palmar are you here? Wtf are you doing this game? enjoying life! Things are going fine, there's plenty of people stepping up and taking charge. I'm loving not having to whip people into shape for once.
On June 21 2017 04:13 Palmar wrote:
looks like Vivax wanted to kill Grack, he's the best player that's flipped so maybe I should trust him.
But then again, I like killing sl.
On June 21 2017 18:22 Palmar wrote:Show nested quote +On June 21 2017 16:51 beentheredonethat wrote:
current main wagon:
Grackaroni (5): ruXxar, Fecalfeast, Chezitwo, beentheredonethat, VayneAuthority
D1 main wagon:
annul (7): sicklucker, ruXxar, Fecalfeast, Xatalos, Rels, Grackaroni, Eversince
Ruxxar and Fecalfeast are voting together once more. Both rather townread people. Why was everyone so super sure on Fecalfeast again? I think there were valid points but don't remember.
VayneAuthority ended up on Skynx D1 and is now up on the Grack wagon after popping in for a while. So D1 a non-committal vote and D3 joining the wagon in a strong fashion (I think joining a wagon as #5/#6 has more weight than #1/#2) which gives me worries. What are VA's reasons?
Like, people from the annul wagon aren't exactly cleared. We're focusing on Rels, Grack, ES, but left out Ruxxar for a lot of time (for which exact reasons?)
Hmm Ruxxar, from what little I've read of him, kinda sounds like town, but it's not a strong read.
On June 22 2017 05:50 Palmar wrote:
In Vivax we trust
On June 22 2017 08:40 Palmar wrote:
I forgot Vivax is bad. That's on me
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Blazinghand
United States25552 Posts
Hey Palmar come fite me 1v1 u focking wot m8
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So there's two reasons why mafia would shoot SL.
1) They thought he was a parity cop.
2) They have a rolecop.
If they had a rolecop, then he was checked night 1 or night 2.
Day 2 was pretty much auto, so there wasn't much mafia could do to push SL there.
On day 3, I feel they would've pushed SL harder if they knew he actually was a rolecop.
I didn't get the feeling that mafia knew for certain that he was a rolecop.
If they did, I have a feeling they would've pushed harder.
So I'm going to go with assumption 1 that mafia got scared and were so afraid to be found out by the next possible check of SL, that decided to shoot him last night, instead of actually letting him get lynched today, which was a very likely outcome.
It all points towards it being more likely that FeFe and Chez are mafia.
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Blazinghand
United States25552 Posts
If they have a rolecop, they deffo checked him Night 2, because why not shoot him right away? If they checked him Night 1, they probably wanted to shoot him Night 2, right after their RB died and before he had any checks.
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Then again, playing the game of statistics, the chance that SL actually hits 2 mafia(assuming 4 remaining) is a 9.5% chance.
Possible, but not very likely.
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so after some brief reactions, before this gets out of hand
I am town vig and shot SL. Mafia NK either got blocked by veteran or medic saved.
Im going to say its unlikely anyone currently posting is mafia as mafia is probably confused as fuck and waiting to see what happened.
so FF/Chez are probably confirmed town then.
My bad on the shot I guess, he was so close to getting lynched yesterday im surprised he never outright claimed when we likely have a doctor, oh well. Didnt feel like wasting another entire day on him
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On June 23 2017 09:12 VayneAuthority wrote:
so after some brief reactions, before this gets out of hand
I am town vig and shot SL. Mafia NK either got blocked by veteran or medic saved.
Im going to say its unlikely anyone currently posting is mafia as mafia is probably confused as fuck and waiting to see what happened.
so FF/Chez are probably confirmed town then.
My bad on the shot I guess, he was so close to getting lynched yesterday im surprised he never outright claimed when we likely have a doctor, oh well. Didnt feel like wasting another entire day on him
Good shot.
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Onegu did say this 10 minutes before deadline, which leads me to think that someone hadn't registered their night actions:
On June 23 2017 07:49 Onegu wrote:
I'm mobile will be home in 10 minutes and need a few minutes to get day post ready.
If you haven't sent me action pm's do so or no actions for you as HtS isnt here
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but basically I just wanted to confirm that yesterday's voting meant fuck all, it was town vs town. game is far from solved
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On June 23 2017 09:19 VayneAuthority wrote:
but basically I just wanted to confirm that yesterday's voting meant fuck all, it was town vs town. game is far from solved
I feel conflicted about your revelation as vigi.
I think the day would've been more interesting if you didn't claim.
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Blazinghand
United States25552 Posts
On June 23 2017 09:14 ruXxar wrote:Show nested quote +On June 23 2017 09:12 VayneAuthority wrote:
so after some brief reactions, before this gets out of hand
I am town vig and shot SL. Mafia NK either got blocked by veteran or medic saved.
Im going to say its unlikely anyone currently posting is mafia as mafia is probably confused as fuck and waiting to see what happened.
so FF/Chez are probably confirmed town then.
My bad on the shot I guess, he was so close to getting lynched yesterday im surprised he never outright claimed when we likely have a doctor, oh well. Didnt feel like wasting another entire day on him
Good shot.
Yeah, agreed. Ok so scratch all my speculation, Chez and FeFe highly likely to be town.
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Blazinghand
United States25552 Posts
wait do we actually think VA is town, just to check? only one night kill came through, and I don't have a read on him because I haven't really been playing the game
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EPT
