EPTOH YEAH I'M TOTALLY A SPY!! i just don't get why people simply don't ask me o.0
[T][M] Resistance VI - Page 19
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RtaniSoul
552 Posts
OH YEAH I'M TOTALLY A SPY!! i just don't get why people simply don't ask me o.0 | ||
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RtaniSoul
552 Posts
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RtaniSoul
552 Posts
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RtaniSoul
552 Posts
On February 12 2017 08:17 LightningStrike wrote: I mean the amount of waffling seems a be townish for you I don't remember you waffling this much as scum but then again it been to long since you played >.< eh...it is and it isn't. i can tunnel the shit out of people as town too *coughtumblecough* | ||
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RtaniSoul
552 Posts
On February 12 2017 08:21 RtaniSoul wrote: I'll also be honest, part of me wants to switch more than just grack because he's been trying hard and I at least want to give him valid hope that the mission might pass if he's resistance. i've already mocked him for being too nice ^^ | ||
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RtaniSoul
552 Posts
it's bed time for us, though...ciao! | ||
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RtaniSoul
552 Posts
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RtaniSoul
552 Posts
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RtaniSoul
552 Posts
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RtaniSoul
552 Posts
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RtaniSoul
552 Posts
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RtaniSoul
552 Posts
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RtaniSoul
552 Posts
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RtaniSoul
552 Posts
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RtaniSoul
552 Posts
On February 13 2017 21:51 Superbia wrote: Can we get some people openly agreeing on how good this team is? Su- On February 13 2017 21:50 Superbia wrote: Casual. No fu ##reject | ||
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RtaniSoul
552 Posts
Starting assumptions Silver/me Starting out with Silver and myself being in all effect confirmed town. I already had a very strong feeling on Silver being town before, and it's only compounded through dick move analysis after silver went emo on a mild amount of shade thrown on them by sharkie. We've put in too much effort to be a spy and that should be obvious by now. If Silver is spy, and to the rest if we're spy, the game is by all means over. EC Next, EC is confirmed mafia. Throughout the game he has taken very floaty stances as mentioned by I think silverika. His Grack townread came off a shaky SL scumread that when challenged, he almost immediately dropped. He's also dropped off the map and though some people really don't like this argument, the fact that the slot's been replaced twice already, including once from HtS whom has played through a game where she was quite sick as town all but condemns them in our eyes. Summary This leaves 2 spies in a group of 6, of which at least one is between sharkie/grack/vivax. To make things simpler, I will attempt to rule out certain combinations that don't make much sense and attempt to come to a set of scenario's where we can guarantee a win by mission 5. Connections Super Super/EC seems unlikely at first, especially if the remaining mafia is not Vivax. They both voted against the first and second mission that went through, with the second one failing. It is important to note that spies don't have the ability to communicate with one another, but in a scenario in which Sharkie or Grack is mafia, 2 spies voted against a mission with a spy on it and all 6 resistance players plus the spy voted for it. On the other hand, during EC's mission, he said: On February 01 2017 06:26 emperorchampion wrote: @art I don't really see a compelling reason to switch super for grack? makes sense to put both on to me Sorry this is from mobile For his nomination he didn't want to swap grack in for super despite thread pressure, for which there's little reason for him to do so unless that would change the spy total to either 2 or 0. This leads me to believe that Super and Grack are opposite alignments, and thus Super is never mafia with Grack. I still see it as a possibility however that Super is mafia with EC, which would suggest to me that the only viable combination with Super as mafia is Super/Sharkie/EC. Tumblewood/LightningStrike TW/LS is an interesting slot as well. His nomination was TW/Grack/Vivax. If he's a spy, it doesn't really make sense for him to send himself with another spy, though it's possible he didn't believe the mission would go through. He's hardballed on Vivax being town and on Sharkie being mafia leading me to believe he's most likely to be a spy with Grack. Though he went softer on sharkie later and scumread them about equally, I don't believe TW has the balls to hard townread AND send spy teammate Vivax on a mission with him. What speaks in favour of TW being mafia is that EC voted for his mission. This is also something pointing towards one of Grack/Vivax being mafia rather than Sharkie. The two combinations I can see for TW/LS are TW/Grack/EC and to a lesser extent TW/Sharkie/EC. Sicklucker Sicklucker has been the punching bag for most of the game and has not been on any mission other than the unanimously rejected mission of RtaniSoul, sicklucker, Silverika, Vivax which provides little information. A large point in his favour is that EC nominated a Super/TW/Silver team, and with Silver being for all intents confirmed, we have to conclude that either EC sent an all-town team or SL is town. In the scenario in which EC sent an all-town team, we have to dig a little deeper. Vivax mentioned halfway through the approval process of M1 that he will treat SL as perma scum. Half a day later, he's considering a scenario in which SL is town. His opinion change on SL to potentially add him on a mission as the first person to openly do so doesn't feel like a likely spy/spy scenario due to the favorable position Vivax was in at the time. Considering this combination unlikely. I don't believe in a Sharkie/SL team because of this post: On February 04 2017 18:00 sharkie wrote: - sicklucker: approving/rejecting keeping secret only works in real life scenarios imo. There is so much meaning lost when you type something instead of seeing your other players face to face. So I don't think you can avoid keeping it open that at all imo. In this setting the more you post the more information you give other players so that's why people who don't post a lot seem very suspect. P.S. Vivax I hate you for not choosing yourself over me.  Sharkie is talking to SL as if he thinks SL is town. Given the amount of suspicion ousted towards SL at the time, this combination seems exceedingly unlikely. It's also hard to see a Grack/SL spy team due to the incredible certainty in which Grack put away SL as mafia, though possible. This post also doesn't feel spy on spy: On February 12 2017 07:36 Grackaroni wrote: lol. But mine at least had some discussion and an active day. Yours was "I'm choosing myself..." into everyone afking. Unless we're talking Toad/VE TL Mafia LI kind of hate it seems rather unlikely, thus I consider SL to basically be town, with an outside chance of being mafia with Vivax or Grack. Conclusions Combinations that I view as plausible: EC/Sharkie/Super EC/Grack/LS EC/Sharkie/LS Combinations that I view as possible but unlikely: EC/Vivax/SL [gap] EC/Vivax/Super EC/Grack/SL This excludes the scenario's in which two of the people in the second mission are mafia, and doesn't go into my personal feelings of the slots itself (other than EC/Silver/me). Going forward Myself/Silver/SL/Vivax is the mission with the highest probability of success. Presuming my analysis is correct, they are either both spies, or, far more likely, neither are spies. The only contingency I haven't looked at for this is whether it's likely Vivax is a spybuddy with Grack or Sharkie, though my initial experience throughout the thread suggests it isn't the case. | ||
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RtaniSoul
552 Posts
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RtaniSoul
552 Posts
On February 14 2017 03:15 Vivax wrote: I think it's Grack/sharkie/Emc given how superbia acted lately, which I liked That doesn't make sense. You think he randomly decided to take my/sharkie's side when he could've kept the thread split in two and have him be on the townread side? I doubt it. | ||
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RtaniSoul
552 Posts
On February 14 2017 03:18 sharkie wrote: He's been spouting such nonsense since 4 player team nomination began. First, the team was sharkie/rt, now it is grack/sharkie. When will you realise that vivax has spouted a lot of nonsense this game and furthermore is the only player who has switched player allegiances so often. This is really not a mafia trait. | ||
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RtaniSoul
552 Posts
Static reads, floaty uncommitting reads, read strength and arguments not matching up | ||
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