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On July 15 2015 03:48 Clarity_nl wrote: marv are you around? Are you not at all afraid of being night killed and having not left a post? Marv never leaves a legacy as town.
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4 flips tonight. That's insane. If all 4 flip town we're in a really bad spot :/.
We'll be down to a 10 vs 4 situation. Then with one more mislynch it's 9v4. 2 NK's brings it down to 7v4 and we're in LYLO.
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United Kingdom30774 Posts
lol who cares that's still ridiculously loads of time, besides, obi is really obvious mafia now
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Can't wait for the flips.
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Well he seems dead-set on shooting you so there's that :/. I don't feel good about it but in a way it sort of clears up things. LS said that he's fairly confident there's 1 mafia between you and rsoul, so if you flip green then we're probably going to lynch rsoul I hope.
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United Kingdom30774 Posts
On July 15 2015 04:26 ruXxar wrote: Well he seems dead-set on shooting you so there's that :/. I don't feel good about it but in a way it sort of clears up things. LS said that he's fairly confident there's 1 mafia between you and rsoul, so if you flip green then we're probably going to lynch rsoul I hope.
if you believe that ls gave obiwanshinobi his gun then you might actually be mafia
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United Kingdom30774 Posts
and ls' read is a pile of steaming poop, it's literally based on meta that we don't argue as town which is actually just not meta and rather me being placid and not disagreeing on something, of course if 2 ego's collide in differing opinions they will argue
+ she plays badly
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On July 15 2015 04:27 Holyflare wrote:Show nested quote +On July 15 2015 04:26 ruXxar wrote: Well he seems dead-set on shooting you so there's that :/. I don't feel good about it but in a way it sort of clears up things. LS said that he's fairly confident there's 1 mafia between you and rsoul, so if you flip green then we're probably going to lynch rsoul I hope. if you believe that ls gave obiwanshinobi his gun then you might actually be mafia
I don't have a reason to believe that outside of obi strongly alluding to it himself. If i was to guess I'd say LS gave his gun to rsoul.
No need to speculate though, all shall be clear soon.
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United Kingdom30774 Posts
+ if anyone actually shoots me today after i already said i'd be home and would be able to play next cycle instead of people like scott/obi etc is actually just mafia because there is not a chance that they shoot me as town if they are thinking logically, nobody in this game except trfel has made a case on me being mafia (and trfel's case i have already destroyed) so really they will shoot me under the guise of "oh yeh that hf and his shit fighting!" and it will be the easiest excuse that anyone as mafia can give but DO NOT BUY IT AT ALL. If they shoot me when there are actually crazy mafia lurkers about is literally telling you that they would rather lose this game if they are town than anything else
a smart person that thinks i'm mafia (apart from not being very smart and not having read my filter quite clearly) would save their bullet to reevaluate on me
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United Kingdom30774 Posts
I will also post a tin foil crazy theory at deadline
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Reads somewhat in an order:
marv - marv seems happy and is very involved. He's changing his mind based on new or missed info and seems to want to solve the game. He's playing the "woe is me I don't know who scum is" card a bit too much but I think it's fine. If you end up with marv at 3-man or 5-man lylo he's probably scum, since I think his scum game is good (regardless of what others say) but until then DO NOT LYNCH
HF - Honestly I don't see what other people are mentioning. HF is obviously very involved and he brings up unique points. He's gotten emotional a fair few times which is an easy way for scum to get ignored but it's offset by how useful he's been, interacting with everyone etc. Same as with marv maybe once you get to lylo take another look but I'm pretty confident he's town. I also liked his push on OWS n3. DO NOT LYNCH
Harkon - The possibility exists that scum shot marv n1 and harkon is scum claiming vet, but honestly I doubt it. His posts have been townie and good, he can't really expect to claim vet and then survive at lylo, but if he does then reconsider. Until then DO NOT LYNCH.
LS - Confirmed gunsmith, worst claim ever.
ritoky - Confirmed cop, also a pretty terrible claim.
HtS - I've really liked her posting after d1, she's claimed miller early and she's changing her mind A LOT but always for good reasons, which I think is hard to fake as scum.
Trfel - I think I agree with DMA. Would be pretty low for scum!trfel to go to such lengths as to use his irl situation to avoid being lynched. Other than that it's hard to tell by his posting, but I think he's likely town.
Rsoultin - I've waffled on Rsoultin quite a bit but in rereading she is making good points and her progression seems clear. I also think that scum!rsoultin wouldn't hint at trfel's irl situation regardless of trfel's alignment.
Oats - I really don't like Oats' style of posting and I wanted to shoot him n1 but he kinda clings onto stuff that I notice as well and I like his follow-up to stuff. He's been consistent and he's pushing the right people.
boxerfred - His list really was bad, even ignoring the fact that he didn't have LS as confirmed town his scumreads just do not line up with mine AT ALL, and he somehow had 6 people leaning scum when I have a real issue finding scum this game. I have a real issue seeing this post from either alignment however all his other posts seem to be of someone trying to figure out the game, so I guess he's town.
ruXxar - I honestly can't be bothered to read his stuff today, but my impression regarding him has always been "meh". I expect to live tonight so I'll do some reading tomorrow.
Vivax - Ehhhhhhhhh. I dunno, basically. I thought his indifference towards the milo lynch was super scummy but I liked his responses to my accusations sooooo... Hopefully he starts being super plumber soon and we can find out his alignment through that. Marv seems to think he's town.
EBH/VA - Hard to read into his posts. His defensiveness during n3 looks off. Basically he immediately said "this makes scott scum so people pushing me are scum" but then when asked he didn't really know who said what??? I have a hard time believing scum would bluehunt in thread rather than scumqt, but then again town shouldn't either soooooooo... NAI? He seems to have a lot of opinions but doesn't really care if anyone listens or who gets lynched. I think he's a good vigi shot, but lynching him can't be bad.
OWS - Very forgettable posting, doesn't really seem to care about who gets lynched, I've liked HF's posts on his n3. He has a lot of "I agree with this post I just quoted" posts while adding nothing, He went super hard for MZ but only after marv mentioned that he thinks MZ is scum. The only thing I've liked from him is his push on scott but scott does kinda look like lynchbait..
Breshke - I've read him as town based on his d1 for most of the game but I cannot recall a single thing he's done or said since then. In looking through his filter he immediately sheeped my post regarding milo and claimed that lynching damdred over milo would be bad even if damdred is RB, seems like a weird kind of logic to take. Scum obviously would love a milo lynch over damdred even if damdred is afterwards. He complains about the HF/milo interaction which I get, but then he calls milo confirmed scum which I do not. He showed no hesitation towards the end of d3 which I think makes him scum as milo started looking really townie near the end.
Scott - Super lynchbait. Whether he's playing badly as scum or badly as town is hard to see, but I keep coming back to this "BM is gonna flip wanderer 98% of the time" post and I just can't explain how that would come from town. I guess I like him being shot more than lynching him, but if he's town scum is never gonna kill him and I don't want him around at lylo, lol.
WoS - I don't know dude.
I am probably wrong about at least 1 town read, unless everyone who I have a scumlean on is scum.
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How has Hf been useful, exactly? It's such an excuse to read someone as town I swear.
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Lmfao you even listed EBH above me in towniness. What fucking game are you reading.
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United Kingdom30774 Posts
this one where your try hard posting is really sub par and actually mafia posting? i agree with pretty much all of his list
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United Kingdom36156 Posts
On July 15 2015 04:21 Harkon wrote:Show nested quote +On July 15 2015 03:48 Clarity_nl wrote: marv are you around? Are you not at all afraid of being night killed and having not left a post? Marv never leaves a legacy as town. ^
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Whatever, I'm still shooting Holyflare.
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United Kingdom36156 Posts
also i often workout after work, 6pm to now is dead time. and now i'm about to have dinner.
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United Kingdom30774 Posts
anyway just gonna afk till the flip, remember if anyone shoots me they are confirmed mafia and do not ever ever let them talk themselves out of that
sheep clarity tbh his thoughts are pretty similar to me and his nulls are pretty interchangeable with his mafia list imo (don't lynch wave tbh)
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United Kingdom30774 Posts
I mean I would probably add vivax up to green too imo
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