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Newbie Student Mafia X - Page 7

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plotspot
Profile Joined October 2014
800 Posts
May 28 2015 12:48 GMT
#1569
You guy should look into a possible Tictock Sulfurus scumteam, where Tictock is the rather active guy (possibly Mafia Goon) and Sulfurus the passive guy (possibly Mafia Godfather), doesn't do much but makes reads like he knows who he is town and who not. This play in my opinion askes for cop check.
plotspot
Profile Joined October 2014
800 Posts
May 28 2015 12:52 GMT
#1571
SL, I don't know there might be even Two Godfathers, but doesn't that kind obsolete Cop? What about a second Mafia RB? Where the hell please?
plotspot
Profile Joined October 2014
800 Posts
May 28 2015 12:56 GMT
#1573
Go back to the very beginning of D1, Tictock joins in at 00:38 after having observed everything. He then tries hard to establish himself as town, in his excitement he doesn't check that BM made a joke-vote, then later after I made my entry post, slowly tries to inch his way in by asking "this is asking for plynch no"? Sometimes later his partner Scott joins and also questions my post, then spewed you town, spewed me town, spewed BM town and "defends" Sulfurus and negates it immediately.
plotspot
Profile Joined October 2014
800 Posts
May 28 2015 12:58 GMT
#1574
Of course I RBed Rels and Barakos. Barakos non-chalantly mentions he has been RBed? Lol if he was mafia I believe he should hang out in the thread a bit instead of expressing it like this.
plotspot
Profile Joined October 2014
800 Posts
May 28 2015 13:01 GMT
#1576
See how hard he is defending Sulfurus the whole time, he even makes this huge post about him saying how super the reads are (of course they are, Sulfurus as mafia can give any town the benefit of town). He tries to push on bunnies hard to get her lynched. He is scum trying to lynch bunny again; saying nothing has changed about her status.
plotspot
Profile Joined October 2014
800 Posts
May 28 2015 13:03 GMT
#1579
ok SL I see your point, it comes down to whether you believe Bats or not. I believe him and read him town for his interactions at N1 and N2 with the rest. It's rather Bats is simply Cop, bunny is town and barakos is town too.
plotspot
Profile Joined October 2014
800 Posts
May 28 2015 13:10 GMT
#1580
On May 28 2015 22:02 Tictock wrote:
Humm, what was your thinking blocking Bara?

You've been clearly scumming me since much earlier than N2, why didn't you block me?


No I didn't, you remember the post where I ask bunny to go out and give her gut read and said I thought you were town? It was just when batsnacks claimed cop along with all his checks that I slowly crept on the thought that you are scum. And the town elimination thing just supports this:
Bats = cops
Bunny = town
Barakos = town
plotspot = RB
Breshke = Mason
disformation = town
boxerfred = Mason
---
there are two people left = you and Sulfurus. I rechecked the filters and you it would fit that you and Sulfu and scott are scum trio.

plotspot
Profile Joined October 2014
800 Posts
May 28 2015 13:17 GMT
#1586
On May 28 2015 09:48 Sulfurus wrote:
@Batsnacks How do you know Bunnies is not the GF?


I will explain how this post will reveal Sulfurus as Mafia, and basically supports my case without the Tictock interaction.
Sulfurus posted that question after clueless Batsnacks and disformation are hysterical about there being another Mafia RB.
The right question would have been "How do you know Bunnies and Barakos are not the GF"? In her mind it was 100% technically perfect that Barakos cannot be mafia. She assumes that Batsnacks believed this lie. The truth his however it is totally possible for Barakos to be Godfather with the Town RB setup. He just automatically reads him town because he is mafia.
plotspot
Profile Joined October 2014
800 Posts
May 28 2015 13:28 GMT
#1590
You also have to consider that the ways things turned out, Tictock and Sulfurus are quite in the dark. They just see that someone has claimed being roleblocked and some cop turned up, technically they cannot confirm it. That's why you see Tictock fishing in the dark very akwardly here:

On May 28 2015 13:43 Tictock wrote:
Ok I skimmed from EoN till now, there's a lot to think about and some stuff I want to look into.

First things first, farewell to Breshke one of our town masons.

2nd off, I really don't think town RB should claim, maybe I'm wrong here but wouldn't Town RB be the strongest role in a cop, mason, RB town setup? Town RB claiming will make them a sure fire target tonight, seems to me town RB will want to hold off claiming as long as possible to avoid being NK'd and allowing potential blocks of NKs.

Masons seem like a weakish role. I don't see much reason why the remaining mason shouldn't claim as it will help confirm one more town.

I notice SL and Dis are expecting me to claim mason. Honestly though, I feel like if I were a role wouldn't I be in the best position to not claim? Like most people are reading me as town anyway, if I were to claim a role it wouldn't really narrow things down at the moment.

Also, why the hell is plots trying to No Lynch?


and here

On May 28 2015 13:57 Tictock wrote:
I'm clearly very bad at role speculating + Show Spoiler +
carried away by SK nonsense, that is clearly false now
but I can't help feeling like something is off here.

Ok we have Bre as the only confirmed role since he flipped mason.

There is a strong possibility of a town role blocker, but I don't see why it would be impossible for mafia to have 2 RBs it's not very likely but I don't want to rule it out just yet.

Bats claiming Cop is interesting, and it makes sense with how he's been playing. However, there is the (admittedly slim) possibility of Bats and 27nb being scum partners and them pushing inactives for their 3 needed mislynches.

Also, if we assume that town has Masons, a Cop, and a RB it seems VERY likely that mafia would have a GF and means we can't trust the cop checks 100%.

I know I'm getting a bit WIFOM here, but this is what is running through my head and are all things town needs to keep in mind. Town really needs to lynch Scum today because we are starting to loose our ground so I just want us to really think through the options now.

plotspot
Profile Joined October 2014
800 Posts
May 28 2015 13:34 GMT
#1591
On May 28 2015 22:25 disformation wrote:
Show nested quote +
On May 28 2015 22:17 plotspot wrote:
On May 28 2015 09:48 Sulfurus wrote:
@Batsnacks How do you know Bunnies is not the GF?


I will explain how this post will reveal Sulfurus as Mafia, and basically supports my case without the Tictock interaction.
Sulfurus posted that question after clueless Batsnacks and disformation are hysterical about there being another Mafia RB.
The right question would have been "How do you know Bunnies and Barakos are not the GF"? In her mind it was 100% technically perfect that Barakos cannot be mafia. She assumes that Batsnacks believed this lie. The truth his however it is totally possible for Barakos to be Godfather with the Town RB setup. He just automatically reads him town because he is mafia.


trying to discredit some people unlikely to buy your story? cute.

I'm supporting you guys here, it's naturally that you are confused whether there is a Mafia RB or not. I'm a Town RB, it's impossible. I'm not discrediting you, the way you have been reinforces that you are town. You even made a big case trying to solve the game.
plotspot
Profile Joined October 2014
800 Posts
May 28 2015 13:36 GMT
#1592
I just have to wait for Boxerfred to turn up and CC' Tictock. He has been not wanting to claim Mason now suddenly changes his mind, does nobody find that suspicious?
plotspot
Profile Joined October 2014
800 Posts
May 28 2015 13:45 GMT
#1594
You should also noticed how Tictock while earlier always trying to establish a connection to both me and SL as possible scum partners for the possible event of lynching both some day, suddenly backs off when I said I was RBed on N2. He is hella afraid of targeting me since and just dodges everything. While I was not established technically 100% town; it was practically 99% since now mafia would just make this up if they didn't get RB or if they were like no way they would give free information for town about their setup.

Even today in the morning when interacted a bit with him, all he calls me is "you're a bad townie" like he has basically read me town. I promise you if there was any slight chance I was not confirmed 99% town he would have used quite some different words. At that time Mafia was still clueless remember? They wanted to establish confusion that there was a possible 2nd Mafia RB, but if they wanted to hold up this theory they would have to 100% read me town, just like Tictock does.

Now he finds some support and manages to swing the votes on me. Sulfurus is safe, never to be mentioned again, or only in weak-ass push attempt I betcha.

plotspot
Profile Joined October 2014
800 Posts
May 28 2015 13:48 GMT
#1595
On May 28 2015 22:37 Tictock wrote:
Show nested quote +

I notice SL and Dis are expecting me to claim mason. Honestly though, I feel like if I were a role wouldn't I be in the best position to not claim? Like most people are reading me as town anyway, if I were to claim a role it wouldn't really narrow things down at the moment.


I would have held to this thinking as well, but once the role speculation started to get too out of hand I realized it was in fact doing town more harm than good.

And thanks to a thing known as "a flip" Bre is in fact the only confirmed blue role at this moment in the game. It's up to town to decide if the people claiming roles have been acting in line with that role, and to sniff out any fake claims that have inconsistencies.

I think he still missed my question.

PLOTSPOT!!


Show nested quote +
What was your reasoning RBing him in the first place?


The "him" = Barakos


I couldn't read him that well. While I said he was town earlier, I had my doubts internally and not published. I wonder why batsnacks thought the same?
plotspot
Profile Joined October 2014
800 Posts
May 28 2015 13:52 GMT
#1596
Like you guys see: there are so many established towns. We vote for Sulfurus. If he flips Red. I RB Tictock, Bats copchecks him, tells us on Day 3 and we know whether Tictock is Goon or GF before we lynch.
If Sulfurus flips green feel free to lynch me next, because obviously then I haven't got the game solved and wasted all your time. Do we have a deal?
plotspot
Profile Joined October 2014
800 Posts
May 28 2015 14:00 GMT
#1598
Tictock you're not reading well. I don't say I RBed Barakos and thus confirmed him town. I even said that even with Bats' cop check on him he is not 100% town in this setup of me being Town RB. It's Sulfurus' slip that proves he is town. I posted about that slip earlier. And to be honest why do we not believe Barakos is town from additional sources. Barakos even in this post says he is vt. Disformation even says he is vt. And my whole theories support that even without you guys hard claiming.
plotspot
Profile Joined October 2014
800 Posts
May 28 2015 14:19 GMT
#1607
On May 28 2015 22:58 disformation wrote:
Show nested quote +
On May 28 2015 22:48 plotspot wrote:
On May 28 2015 22:37 Tictock wrote:

I notice SL and Dis are expecting me to claim mason. Honestly though, I feel like if I were a role wouldn't I be in the best position to not claim? Like most people are reading me as town anyway, if I were to claim a role it wouldn't really narrow things down at the moment.


I would have held to this thinking as well, but once the role speculation started to get too out of hand I realized it was in fact doing town more harm than good.

And thanks to a thing known as "a flip" Bre is in fact the only confirmed blue role at this moment in the game. It's up to town to decide if the people claiming roles have been acting in line with that role, and to sniff out any fake claims that have inconsistencies.

I think he still missed my question.

PLOTSPOT!!


What was your reasoning RBing him in the first place?


The "him" = Barakos


I couldn't read him that well. While I said he was town earlier, I had my doubts internally and not published. I wonder why batsnacks thought the same?


That is basically the only mention of barakos in your filter...

Show nested quote +
On May 26 2015 07:47 plotspot wrote:
Barakos: feels genuine. I believe what he says. He has an alerting but inoffensive way of expressing himself and most (if not all) his posts I can say: “hmm yeah I see the meaning behind it”. A possibly strange point which reinforce my town read on him is that he fantasizes about how scum QT looks like here. For me it’s hard to imagine scum would do that, I mean just for the thought of it at all. But here we have a townie imagining how things went in the scum QT and scott’s case is really a strange one, that leaves me wondering whether he betrayed his mates or whether they knew he had some time issues and just deal with it somehow.


Why the fuck would you roleblock a null/town read over a scum read?

I'm sorry I confused you disformation. Yes I town read him there, but I observed something about him that raised my suspicion, but since I am Town RB I may not always post what I find suspicious next just to RB it. It may give away my that I'm the RB. You see I was terrified that Mafia would discover me on the account of this post about Rels here right after she died:

On May 25 2015 07:10 plotspot wrote:
How do you know Rels wasn't Vig shot? I was about to make a case on scumreading him hard for the following points I prepared:
Rels: referring too much to others opinion, reading thread very carefully, the way RELS sets up lynch is also very comfortable (like lynch inactives), giving orders to others, thanks my post but posts no further thoughts, in comparison to Disinformation who displays overall anxiety in his reads and thoughts, Rels looks like he can handle any sudden change, there is nothing clouding his mind, others apparently have to do more than Rels,
you bet if I was Vig I would have shot her.


If for some reason Mafia thought:"who the fuck would RB this guy? Like who, wait a minute: Maybe he blocked himself to establish a story? That would look so bad. Why would he waste a block on himself? Hey maybe he blocked Rels. Yeah that's it he scumread her after she died remember? He even said he would have shot her if he was Vig. So if this guy is RB he would definitely have blocked her. Now that she is dead, no one can tell if he lied or not, but he establishes himself as town. Hehe; this guy is so dead"

Ok I'm sorry for all the mucus earlier. I apologize for my bad behavior. I shouldn't have done this. It was just I work for it all night and posted what I thought was the solution for us at 4:00 am (4hours after D3). You guys don't believe I am the RB and blocked Barakos? I can even semi-prove it, but I'd rather not as it gives away some info for possible future mafia. Please allow me some secrecy in that regard.

plotspot
Profile Joined October 2014
800 Posts
May 28 2015 14:22 GMT
#1609
On May 28 2015 23:00 Barakos wrote:
We'll not have to wait till next lynch...
I am pretty sure, boxerfred will enter the thread, not cc and your whole "sulfurus, tictock"-theory will come crushing down.

even if he counterclaims, all my money is on bf being the fakeclaim... the reason for this just being his excitement of finally finding a bluerole last night, when he thought it breshke softclaimed cop. Tictock being breshkes masonpartner is the far more believable option.


Okay, I see it now. That might be the case. Maybe I was just tunneling to hard on the Sulfurus tictock theory and saw it as perfect. We wait what boxerfred says, I can agree to it.
I'm definitely the Town RB.
plotspot
Profile Joined October 2014
800 Posts
May 28 2015 14:24 GMT
#1610
But then who would his scum partner when Tictock is mason? Is boxerfreds scum partner Sulfurus? I kinda make it clear that I can see Sulfurus as scum without the association to Tictock. What do you guys think of the mislip I talk about?
plotspot
Profile Joined October 2014
800 Posts
May 28 2015 14:38 GMT
#1612
Okay let's assume this:
Tictock Mason
plotspot RB
disformation VT
27ninjabunnies VT
sicklucker VT
batsnacks Cop
Barakos VT

---
wouldn't that leave: Sulfurus and boxerfred left as Mafia?





plotspot
Profile Joined October 2014
800 Posts
May 28 2015 14:52 GMT
#1614
On May 28 2015 23:33 disformation wrote:
Show nested quote +
On May 28 2015 23:24 plotspot wrote:
But then who would his scum partner when Tictock is mason? Is boxerfreds scum partner Sulfurus? I kinda make it clear that I can see Sulfurus as scum without the association to Tictock. What do you guys think of the mislip I talk about?


Well, Sulfurus and boxerfred being mafia would align with my huge wall post.
Opposing to ticktoc I read you willing to die for the lynch on Sulfurus as rather towny.
The misslip is a good point actually enough.
*Sigh*

I'm not making stuff up guys. I admit in shame that I tunneled Tictock hard, and that it is totally possible to swap him with boxerfred now, which I slowly see as the more reasonable choice, because if boxerfred was Mason and lurking why the hell did he not just finish it with one blow, by CCing. But my points on Sulfurus stays. Hence I'd vote for Sulfurus and think we will mostly like get a red flip here

##VOTE:SULFURUS
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