EPTWho will win IEM Katowice 2024?
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TL.net Bot
TL.net132 Posts
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angry_maia
327 Posts
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Waxangel
United States33472 Posts
On January 26 2024 06:59 angry_maia wrote: i mean, the objectively correctly pick HAS to be Serral. Not a guarantee he will win, but it'd be crazy to argue that any individual person is more likely than him to win it all. Checked betting site to see what the odds are like, and Serral has around 30% implied win chance. That's pretty crazy for a single player in a 24-player pool! But Clem was not that far behind with second best odds... I feel like people's feelings will shift depending on how masters coliseum goes. | ||
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dysenterymd
1250 Posts
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Acrofales
Spain18104 Posts
On January 26 2024 07:14 Waxangel wrote: Checked betting site to see what the odds are like, and Serral has around 30% implied win chance. That's pretty crazy for a single player in a 24-player pool! But Clem was not that far behind with second best odds... I feel like people's feelings will shift depending on how masters coliseum goes. Clean sweeps over his toughest rival of 2023, the GOAT and his teammate make a pretty strong case regardless of who he faces in the finals and which way it goes. I'd also agree that right now it looks like his only real opponent is Clem. And Clem seems to have plenty of problems still (despite his utter domination of WTL). | ||
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Balnazza
Germany1227 Posts
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Fango
United Kingdom8987 Posts
Either way, Serral is probably 50%, with Clem, Reynor, and Maru splitting the other half. With some miracle bracket luck it's possible herO, Cure, or Oliveira take it, but it would be like 100/1. | ||
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rwala
327 Posts
On January 26 2024 07:14 Waxangel wrote: Checked betting site to see what the odds are like, and Serral has around 30% implied win chance. That's pretty crazy for a single player in a 24-player pool! But Clem was not that far behind with second best odds... I feel like people's feelings will shift depending on how masters coliseum goes. Yeah that’s high. I haven’t done stats since college but I’m pretty sure even if you assigned Serral an 80% chance of winning every match you wouldn’t get to 30% odds of winning the tourney. | ||
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Kitai
United States876 Posts
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BonitiilloO
Dominican Republic626 Posts
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TossHeroes
281 Posts
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JJH777
United States4414 Posts
On January 26 2024 10:36 rwala wrote: Yeah that’s high. I haven’t done stats since college but I’m pretty sure even if you assigned Serral an 80% chance of winning every match you wouldn’t get to 30% odds of winning the tourney. Luckily for Serral he has at least a 95% win chance against every player in his group besides Byun and even Byun is probably like 80%. Still can't believe how the groups worked out especially group D. Voted Maru, mostly out of blind hope than true belief he will win. Hopefully his loss to Serral today was purposely playing off meta to give Serral less practice before Kato. | ||
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tigera6
3433 Posts
And I expect Maru/Clem would give Serral the most challenge, assuming Maru stop playing like he did from yesterday with those weird Mech/Banshee opening and mine drop. There is also the ZvZ side of thing, I am pretty sure they will do weird shit in the tournament as well. While Serral seems impervious to most cheese thrown at him so far, that wont be all he has to face in IEM bracket. | ||
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bulldozer06701
137 Posts
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luxon
United States114 Posts
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Poopi
France12904 Posts
Still exciting depending on bracket and if there are as crazy upsets as last year! | ||
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Argonauta
Spain4955 Posts
On January 26 2024 11:12 TossHeroes wrote: Goat Serral winning via the hardest path as usual I mean, he got the weakest group. | ||
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Neptuneajax
Australia206 Posts
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MJG
United Kingdom1321 Posts
I'm of course hoping this has the same affect as an Artosis curse. | ||
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Harris1st
Germany6991 Posts
I mean, he got the highest seed | ||
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