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[WCS Season 1 Final] Group Selection - Page 13

Forum Index > StarCraft 2 Tournaments
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Olli
Profile Blog Joined February 2012
Austria24422 Posts
June 04 2013 09:42 GMT
#241
On June 04 2013 18:41 Serinox wrote:
Show nested quote +
On June 04 2013 18:34 DarkLordOlli wrote:
On June 04 2013 18:32 Serinox wrote:
Okay, that is the not so bad pick, but it still will be hard for HerO.


I'm liking his group! sOs is the strongest player there which is good since HerO's PvP seems the most stable for him atm. HerO's 4-1 against Roro I think (most recently won in PL) and ForGG is definitely the easiest player in the group.

I wouldn't underestimate ForGG. He just beat Squirtle in the Numericable House Cup 2 and he did well against in the ATC.


He did but Squirtle isn't too great right now + HerO seems really on point if he's not beating himself.

Oh also I meant to say HerO was 4-0 vs Symbol (GSL + Iron Squid) in initial post.
Administrator"Declaring anything a disaster because aLive popped up out of nowhere is just downright silly."
Grovbolle
Profile Blog Joined July 2011
Denmark3811 Posts
Last Edited: 2013-06-04 10:14:30
June 04 2013 09:43 GMT
#242
Assumptions are that #1 seed plays whoever was drawn into the group first. So Soulkey vs. aLive in the first round of group A etc.

                  Top 2      1st      2nd      3rd      4th    
---------------------------------------------------------------
Soulkey 80.65% 51.22% 29.43% 11.51% 7.84%
TLO 51.84% 21.94% 29.90% 26.72% 21.43%
Stephano 40.23% 15.29% 24.93% 32.28% 27.50%
aLive 27.28% 11.55% 15.73% 29.49% 43.23%
Estimated by Aligulac. Modify.

                Top 2      1st      2nd      3rd      4th    
-------------------------------------------------------------
Mvp 65.18% 36.20% 28.98% 19.11% 15.72%
KangHo 53.58% 26.36% 27.22% 24.59% 21.83%
Alicia 46.96% 21.96% 25.00% 27.38% 25.66%
Ryung 34.28% 15.48% 18.80% 28.92% 36.79%
Estimated by Aligulac. Modify.

                Top 2      1st      2nd      3rd      4th    
-------------------------------------------------------------
sOs 57.88% 30.59% 27.29% 22.08% 20.04%
HerO 50.81% 25.17% 25.64% 25.04% 24.15%
Symbol 50.19% 25.06% 25.13% 25.11% 24.71%
ForGG 41.12% 19.18% 21.95% 27.77% 31.10%
Estimated by Aligulac. Modify.

                    Top 2      1st      2nd      3rd      4th    
-----------------------------------------------------------------
INnoVation 91.88% 61.71% 30.17% 5.89% 2.23%
RorO 67.50% 28.12% 39.38% 21.70% 10.81%
Revival 27.67% 7.18% 20.49% 38.85% 33.48%
DIMAGA 12.96% 2.99% 9.97% 33.56% 53.48%
Estimated by Aligulac. Modify.
Lies, damned lies and statistics: http://aligulac.com
ujonecro
Profile Joined September 2010
United Kingdom846 Posts
June 04 2013 09:43 GMT
#243
Group A - Soulkey , Stephano
Group B - Ryung, Jurgen
Group C - Hero, Sos
Group D - INnoVation, Roro
kinverse
Profile Joined July 2012
Korea (South)137 Posts
Last Edited: 2013-06-07 04:57:28
June 04 2013 09:43 GMT
#244
Serinox
Profile Joined August 2011
Germany5224 Posts
June 04 2013 09:44 GMT
#245
On June 04 2013 18:41 Chr15t wrote:
Setting the clock for 5am ;D

Then you will miss the beginning of the day.

Seriously, 2am on a Thursday night, that's pretty horrible for EU spectators. But the days are long, so I guess there is no way around it.
NightOfTheDead
Profile Joined August 2009
Lithuania1711 Posts
June 04 2013 09:45 GMT
#246
A: Soulkey, Alive
B. Ryung, Alicia
C:SoS, Symbol
D:Innovation,Roro (ZvZ, he wins).
Schelim
Profile Blog Joined January 2011
Austria11528 Posts
June 04 2013 09:45 GMT
#247
On June 04 2013 18:44 Serinox wrote:
Show nested quote +
On June 04 2013 18:41 Chr15t wrote:
Setting the clock for 5am ;D

Then you will miss the beginning of the day.

Seriously, 2am on a Thursday night, that's pretty horrible for EU spectators. But the days are long, so I guess there is no way around it.

pretty sure the broadcast is gonna be so long watching the whole thing would become overwhelming and uninteresting anyways
TY <3 Cure <3 Inno <3 Special <3
petrox
Profile Joined April 2011
Australia320 Posts
June 04 2013 09:45 GMT
#248
Alright, I hope there's enough info in the OP!
Rabiator
Profile Joined March 2010
Germany3948 Posts
June 04 2013 09:46 GMT
#249
The aligulac predictions for group A seem kinda wonky because TLO is at #2. Although I like him I dont think his chances are that high because he is going to bring something unusual ... and that will most likely not work.
If you cant say what you're meaning, you can never mean what you're saying.
TheBB
Profile Blog Joined July 2009
Switzerland5133 Posts
June 04 2013 09:46 GMT
#250
On June 04 2013 18:40 NightOfTheDead wrote:
Show nested quote +
On June 04 2013 18:39 kinverse wrote:
Poll: #1 seed least likely to move on?

INnoVation (Grp D) (20)
 
43%

HerO (Grp C) (15)
 
32%

MVP (Grp B) (8)
 
17%

SoulKey (Grp A) (4)
 
9%

47 total votes

Your vote: #1 seed least likely to move on?

(Vote): SoulKey (Grp A)
(Vote): MVP (Grp B)
(Vote): HerO (Grp C)
(Vote): INnoVation (Grp D)


Are you kidding me? Innovation not to advance, seriously people?^^

Er, the poll said "least likely" to advance. Could be 99,9% probability to advance and still be least likely.
http://aligulac.com || Barcraft Switzerland! || Zerg best race. || Stats-poster extraordinaire.
Zeroxk
Profile Joined October 2010
Norway1244 Posts
June 04 2013 09:46 GMT
#251
+ Show Spoiler +
On June 04 2013 18:43 Grovbolle wrote:
                  Top 2      1st      2nd      3rd      4th    
---------------------------------------------------------------
Soulkey 80.65% 51.22% 29.43% 11.51% 7.84%
TLO 51.84% 21.94% 29.90% 26.72% 21.43%
Stephano 40.23% 15.29% 24.93% 32.28% 27.50%
aLive 27.28% 11.55% 15.73% 29.49% 43.23%
Estimated by Aligulac. Modify.

                Top 2      1st      2nd      3rd      4th    
-------------------------------------------------------------
Mvp 65.18% 36.20% 28.98% 19.11% 15.72%
KangHo 53.58% 26.36% 27.22% 24.59% 21.83%
Alicia 46.96% 21.96% 25.00% 27.38% 25.66%
Ryung 34.28% 15.48% 18.80% 28.92% 36.79%
Estimated by Aligulac. Modify.

                Top 2      1st      2nd      3rd      4th    
-------------------------------------------------------------
sOs 57.88% 30.59% 27.29% 22.08% 20.04%
HerO 50.81% 25.17% 25.64% 25.04% 24.15%
Symbol 50.19% 25.06% 25.13% 25.11% 24.71%
ForGG 41.12% 19.18% 21.95% 27.77% 31.10%
Estimated by Aligulac. Modify.

                    Top 2      1st      2nd      3rd      4th    
-----------------------------------------------------------------
INnoVation 91.88% 61.71% 30.17% 5.89% 2.23%
RorO 67.50% 28.12% 39.38% 21.70% 10.81%
Revival 27.67% 7.18% 20.49% 38.85% 33.48%
DIMAGA 12.96% 2.99% 9.97% 33.56% 53.48%
Estimated by Aligulac. Modify.



Holy shit Innovation 91% to move on
TBO
Profile Joined September 2009
Germany1350 Posts
June 04 2013 09:49 GMT
#252
does anyone know what the first matchups will be? 1st vs 4th seed or 1st vs 2nd?
Grovbolle
Profile Blog Joined July 2011
Denmark3811 Posts
June 04 2013 09:49 GMT
#253
On June 04 2013 18:46 Zeroxk wrote:
+ Show Spoiler +
On June 04 2013 18:43 Grovbolle wrote:
                  Top 2      1st      2nd      3rd      4th    
---------------------------------------------------------------
Soulkey 80.65% 51.22% 29.43% 11.51% 7.84%
TLO 51.84% 21.94% 29.90% 26.72% 21.43%
Stephano 40.23% 15.29% 24.93% 32.28% 27.50%
aLive 27.28% 11.55% 15.73% 29.49% 43.23%
Estimated by Aligulac. Modify.

                Top 2      1st      2nd      3rd      4th    
-------------------------------------------------------------
Mvp 65.18% 36.20% 28.98% 19.11% 15.72%
KangHo 53.58% 26.36% 27.22% 24.59% 21.83%
Alicia 46.96% 21.96% 25.00% 27.38% 25.66%
Ryung 34.28% 15.48% 18.80% 28.92% 36.79%
Estimated by Aligulac. Modify.

                Top 2      1st      2nd      3rd      4th    
-------------------------------------------------------------
sOs 57.88% 30.59% 27.29% 22.08% 20.04%
HerO 50.81% 25.17% 25.64% 25.04% 24.15%
Symbol 50.19% 25.06% 25.13% 25.11% 24.71%
ForGG 41.12% 19.18% 21.95% 27.77% 31.10%
Estimated by Aligulac. Modify.

                    Top 2      1st      2nd      3rd      4th    
-----------------------------------------------------------------
INnoVation 91.88% 61.71% 30.17% 5.89% 2.23%
RorO 67.50% 28.12% 39.38% 21.70% 10.81%
Revival 27.67% 7.18% 20.49% 38.85% 33.48%
DIMAGA 12.96% 2.99% 9.97% 33.56% 53.48%
Estimated by Aligulac. Modify.



Holy shit Innovation 91% to move on

Of the 4 outcomes for Innovation, (1st, 2nd, 3rd and 4th), the two that makes him move on (1st or 2nd) are 91% likely to occur.
Lies, damned lies and statistics: http://aligulac.com
Grovbolle
Profile Blog Joined July 2011
Denmark3811 Posts
June 04 2013 09:49 GMT
#254
On June 04 2013 18:49 TBO wrote:
does anyone know what the first matchups will be? 1st vs 4th seed or 1st vs 2nd?

Must be 1st vs 1st drawn. Swiss group
Lies, damned lies and statistics: http://aligulac.com
Grovbolle
Profile Blog Joined July 2011
Denmark3811 Posts
June 04 2013 09:50 GMT
#255
On June 04 2013 18:46 Rabiator wrote:
The aligulac predictions for group A seem kinda wonky because TLO is at #2. Although I like him I dont think his chances are that high because he is going to bring something unusual ... and that will most likely not work.

TLO is better at ZvZ than Stephano, and can beat aLive as well.
Lies, damned lies and statistics: http://aligulac.com
nihlon
Profile Joined April 2010
Sweden5581 Posts
Last Edited: 2013-06-04 09:51:32
June 04 2013 09:51 GMT
#256
A: Soulkey, Stephano
B. Ryung, KangHo
C: SoS, Symbol
D: Innovation,Revival
Banelings are too cute to blow up
ARze
Profile Joined September 2010
Australia45 Posts
June 04 2013 09:52 GMT
#257
Isn't alive Terran :-)?
TBO
Profile Joined September 2009
Germany1350 Posts
June 04 2013 09:52 GMT
#258
On June 04 2013 18:49 Grovbolle wrote:
Show nested quote +
On June 04 2013 18:49 TBO wrote:
does anyone know what the first matchups will be? 1st vs 4th seed or 1st vs 2nd?

Must be 1st vs 1st drawn. Swiss group


WCS EU did 1st vs 4th though if I recall correctly.
Grovbolle
Profile Blog Joined July 2011
Denmark3811 Posts
June 04 2013 09:54 GMT
#259
On June 04 2013 18:52 TBO wrote:
Show nested quote +
On June 04 2013 18:49 Grovbolle wrote:
On June 04 2013 18:49 TBO wrote:
does anyone know what the first matchups will be? 1st vs 4th seed or 1st vs 2nd?

Must be 1st vs 1st drawn. Swiss group


WCS EU did 1st vs 4th though if I recall correctly.

I guess we have to wait and see.
Those predictions are based on Soulkey vs. aLive and TLO vs. Stephano in first round.
So 1st vs. 2nd etc.
Lies, damned lies and statistics: http://aligulac.com
petrox
Profile Joined April 2011
Australia320 Posts
June 04 2013 09:56 GMT
#260
On June 04 2013 18:52 ARze wrote:
Isn't alive Terran :-)?


whoops. fixed
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