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Austria24417 Posts
On June 04 2013 18:41 Serinox wrote:Show nested quote +On June 04 2013 18:34 DarkLordOlli wrote:On June 04 2013 18:32 Serinox wrote: Okay, that is the not so bad pick, but it still will be hard for HerO. I'm liking his group! sOs is the strongest player there which is good since HerO's PvP seems the most stable for him atm. HerO's 4-1 against Roro I think (most recently won in PL) and ForGG is definitely the easiest player in the group. I wouldn't underestimate ForGG. He just beat Squirtle in the Numericable House Cup 2 and he did well against in the ATC.
He did but Squirtle isn't too great right now + HerO seems really on point if he's not beating himself.
Oh also I meant to say HerO was 4-0 vs Symbol (GSL + Iron Squid) in initial post.
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Assumptions are that #1 seed plays whoever was drawn into the group first. So Soulkey vs. aLive in the first round of group A etc.
Top 2 1st 2nd 3rd 4th --------------------------------------------------------------- Soulkey 80.65% 51.22% 29.43% 11.51% 7.84% TLO 51.84% 21.94% 29.90% 26.72% 21.43% Stephano 40.23% 15.29% 24.93% 32.28% 27.50% aLive 27.28% 11.55% 15.73% 29.49% 43.23% Estimated by Aligulac. Modify.
Top 2 1st 2nd 3rd 4th ------------------------------------------------------------- Mvp 65.18% 36.20% 28.98% 19.11% 15.72% KangHo 53.58% 26.36% 27.22% 24.59% 21.83% Alicia 46.96% 21.96% 25.00% 27.38% 25.66% Ryung 34.28% 15.48% 18.80% 28.92% 36.79% Estimated by Aligulac. Modify.
Top 2 1st 2nd 3rd 4th ------------------------------------------------------------- sOs 57.88% 30.59% 27.29% 22.08% 20.04% HerO 50.81% 25.17% 25.64% 25.04% 24.15% Symbol 50.19% 25.06% 25.13% 25.11% 24.71% ForGG 41.12% 19.18% 21.95% 27.77% 31.10% Estimated by Aligulac. Modify.
Top 2 1st 2nd 3rd 4th ----------------------------------------------------------------- INnoVation 91.88% 61.71% 30.17% 5.89% 2.23% RorO 67.50% 28.12% 39.38% 21.70% 10.81% Revival 27.67% 7.18% 20.49% 38.85% 33.48% DIMAGA 12.96% 2.99% 9.97% 33.56% 53.48% Estimated by Aligulac. Modify.
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Group A - Soulkey , Stephano Group B - Ryung, Jurgen Group C - Hero, Sos Group D - INnoVation, Roro
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On June 04 2013 18:41 Chr15t wrote: Setting the clock for 5am ;D Then you will miss the beginning of the day.
Seriously, 2am on a Thursday night, that's pretty horrible for EU spectators. But the days are long, so I guess there is no way around it.
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A: Soulkey, Alive B. Ryung, Alicia C:SoS, Symbol D:Innovation,Roro (ZvZ, he wins).
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On June 04 2013 18:44 Serinox wrote:Then you will miss the beginning of the day. Seriously, 2am on a Thursday night, that's pretty horrible for EU spectators. But the days are long, so I guess there is no way around it. pretty sure the broadcast is gonna be so long watching the whole thing would become overwhelming and uninteresting anyways
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Alright, I hope there's enough info in the OP!
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The aligulac predictions for group A seem kinda wonky because TLO is at #2. Although I like him I dont think his chances are that high because he is going to bring something unusual ... and that will most likely not work.
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On June 04 2013 18:40 NightOfTheDead wrote:Show nested quote +On June 04 2013 18:39 kinverse wrote:Poll: #1 seed least likely to move on?INnoVation (Grp D) (20) 43% HerO (Grp C) (15) 32% MVP (Grp B) (8) 17% SoulKey (Grp A) (4) 9% 47 total votes Your vote: #1 seed least likely to move on? (Vote): SoulKey (Grp A) (Vote): MVP (Grp B) (Vote): HerO (Grp C) (Vote): INnoVation (Grp D)
Are you kidding me? Innovation not to advance, seriously people?^^ Er, the poll said "least likely" to advance. Could be 99,9% probability to advance and still be least likely.
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+ Show Spoiler +On June 04 2013 18:43 Grovbolle wrote: Top 2 1st 2nd 3rd 4th --------------------------------------------------------------- Soulkey 80.65% 51.22% 29.43% 11.51% 7.84% TLO 51.84% 21.94% 29.90% 26.72% 21.43% Stephano 40.23% 15.29% 24.93% 32.28% 27.50% aLive 27.28% 11.55% 15.73% 29.49% 43.23% Estimated by Aligulac. Modify. Top 2 1st 2nd 3rd 4th ------------------------------------------------------------- Mvp 65.18% 36.20% 28.98% 19.11% 15.72% KangHo 53.58% 26.36% 27.22% 24.59% 21.83% Alicia 46.96% 21.96% 25.00% 27.38% 25.66% Ryung 34.28% 15.48% 18.80% 28.92% 36.79% Estimated by Aligulac. Modify. Top 2 1st 2nd 3rd 4th ------------------------------------------------------------- sOs 57.88% 30.59% 27.29% 22.08% 20.04% HerO 50.81% 25.17% 25.64% 25.04% 24.15% Symbol 50.19% 25.06% 25.13% 25.11% 24.71% ForGG 41.12% 19.18% 21.95% 27.77% 31.10% Estimated by Aligulac. Modify. Top 2 1st 2nd 3rd 4th ----------------------------------------------------------------- INnoVation 91.88% 61.71% 30.17% 5.89% 2.23% RorO 67.50% 28.12% 39.38% 21.70% 10.81% Revival 27.67% 7.18% 20.49% 38.85% 33.48% DIMAGA 12.96% 2.99% 9.97% 33.56% 53.48% Estimated by Aligulac. Modify.
Holy shit Innovation 91% to move on
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does anyone know what the first matchups will be? 1st vs 4th seed or 1st vs 2nd?
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On June 04 2013 18:46 Zeroxk wrote:+ Show Spoiler +On June 04 2013 18:43 Grovbolle wrote: Top 2 1st 2nd 3rd 4th --------------------------------------------------------------- Soulkey 80.65% 51.22% 29.43% 11.51% 7.84% TLO 51.84% 21.94% 29.90% 26.72% 21.43% Stephano 40.23% 15.29% 24.93% 32.28% 27.50% aLive 27.28% 11.55% 15.73% 29.49% 43.23% Estimated by Aligulac. Modify. Top 2 1st 2nd 3rd 4th ------------------------------------------------------------- Mvp 65.18% 36.20% 28.98% 19.11% 15.72% KangHo 53.58% 26.36% 27.22% 24.59% 21.83% Alicia 46.96% 21.96% 25.00% 27.38% 25.66% Ryung 34.28% 15.48% 18.80% 28.92% 36.79% Estimated by Aligulac. Modify. Top 2 1st 2nd 3rd 4th ------------------------------------------------------------- sOs 57.88% 30.59% 27.29% 22.08% 20.04% HerO 50.81% 25.17% 25.64% 25.04% 24.15% Symbol 50.19% 25.06% 25.13% 25.11% 24.71% ForGG 41.12% 19.18% 21.95% 27.77% 31.10% Estimated by Aligulac. Modify. Top 2 1st 2nd 3rd 4th ----------------------------------------------------------------- INnoVation 91.88% 61.71% 30.17% 5.89% 2.23% RorO 67.50% 28.12% 39.38% 21.70% 10.81% Revival 27.67% 7.18% 20.49% 38.85% 33.48% DIMAGA 12.96% 2.99% 9.97% 33.56% 53.48% Estimated by Aligulac. Modify. Holy shit Innovation 91% to move on Of the 4 outcomes for Innovation, (1st, 2nd, 3rd and 4th), the two that makes him move on (1st or 2nd) are 91% likely to occur.
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On June 04 2013 18:49 TBO wrote: does anyone know what the first matchups will be? 1st vs 4th seed or 1st vs 2nd? Must be 1st vs 1st drawn. Swiss group
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On June 04 2013 18:46 Rabiator wrote: The aligulac predictions for group A seem kinda wonky because TLO is at #2. Although I like him I dont think his chances are that high because he is going to bring something unusual ... and that will most likely not work. TLO is better at ZvZ than Stephano, and can beat aLive as well.
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A: Soulkey, Stephano B. Ryung, KangHo C: SoS, Symbol D: Innovation,Revival
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On June 04 2013 18:49 Grovbolle wrote:Show nested quote +On June 04 2013 18:49 TBO wrote: does anyone know what the first matchups will be? 1st vs 4th seed or 1st vs 2nd? Must be 1st vs 1st drawn. Swiss group
WCS EU did 1st vs 4th though if I recall correctly.
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On June 04 2013 18:52 TBO wrote:Show nested quote +On June 04 2013 18:49 Grovbolle wrote:On June 04 2013 18:49 TBO wrote: does anyone know what the first matchups will be? 1st vs 4th seed or 1st vs 2nd? Must be 1st vs 1st drawn. Swiss group WCS EU did 1st vs 4th though if I recall correctly. I guess we have to wait and see. Those predictions are based on Soulkey vs. aLive and TLO vs. Stephano in first round. So 1st vs. 2nd etc.
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On June 04 2013 18:52 ARze wrote: Isn't alive Terran :-)?
whoops. fixed
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