U&D Group C

DongRaeGu
      Expected score: 4.49-0.51 (sets: 4.49-0.51)
      Probability of achieving top 2: 93.91%
      Most likely place: 1st (66.81%)

LosirA
      Expected score: 3.22-1.78 (sets: 3.22-1.78)
      Probability of achieving top 2: 60.06%
      Most likely place: 2nd (41.09%)

First
      Expected score: 2.78-2.22 (sets: 2.78-2.22)
      Probability of achieving top 2: 39.81%
      Most likely place: 2nd (25.59%)

Symbol
      Expected score: 2.70-2.30 (sets: 2.70-2.30)
      Probability of achieving top 2: 6.23%
      Most likely place: 3rd (47.12%)

Bbyong
      Expected score: 1.08-3.92 (sets: 1.08-3.92)
      Probability of achieving top 2: 0.00%
      Most likely place: 6th (42.63%)

Grubby
      Expected score: 0.72-4.28 (sets: 0.72-4.28)
      Probability of achieving top 2: 0.00%
      Most likely place: 6th (57.37%)

details, data source, code

+ Show Spoiler [Details] +

Detailed placement probabilities

                     6th      5th      4th      3rd      2nd      1st
        LosirA:                      7.88%   32.07%   41.09%   18.97%
         First:            21.96%   24.79%   13.44%   25.59%   14.22%
        Bbyong:   42.63%   36.80%   20.57%                           
        Symbol:            10.70%   35.95%   47.12%    6.23%         
        Grubby:   57.37%   30.54%    9.37%    2.73%                  
     DongRaeGu:                      1.45%    4.64%   27.09%   66.81%

Match score

                     0-5      1-4      2-3      3-2      4-1      5-0
        LosirA:                              77.89%   22.11%         
         First:                     35.86%   49.92%   14.22%         
        Bbyong:   21.23%   49.97%   28.79%                           
        Symbol:                     29.67%   70.33%                  
        Grubby:   40.35%   47.00%   12.65%                           
     DongRaeGu:                               6.31%   38.03%   55.66%

Set score

                      -5       -4       -3       -2       -1        0        1        2        3        4        5
        LosirA:                                                         77.89%            22.11%                  
         First:                                       35.86%            49.92%            14.22%                  
        Bbyong:   21.23%            49.97%            28.79%                                                      
        Symbol:                                       29.67%            70.33%                                    
        Grubby:   40.35%            47.00%            12.65%                                                      
     DongRaeGu:                                                          6.31%            38.03%            55.66%

First vs. DongRaeGu

First wins (28.54%):
1-0: 28.54%

DongRaeGu wins (71.46%):
1-0: 71.46%

Most likely winner: DongRaeGu (71.46%)
Median outcome: First 0-1 DongRaeGu

details, data source, code

Shellshock

United States97276 Posts

January 08 2013 12:24 GMT

#750

On January 08 2013 21:23 Shellshock1122 wrote:

Show nested quote +

16:00
+2 range attack started for Symbol
3rd base restarted for Symbol
Losira is 20 supply ahead but Symbol has infestors out
Symbol is moving towards Losira's 3rd
macro hatch started for Symbol

17:00
Symbol backs off after he sees Losira is ready to defend
infestation pit started for Losira
+1 carapace started for Losira
Symbol has evened up the supply ahead
pathogen glands started for Losira

18:00
4th base started for Losira
Losira moving around the middle of the map
9 infestors out for Symbol now with lots of energy
Hydra den started for Symbol
infestors started for Losira

19:00
5th base started for Losira
+1 carapace started for Symbol
hydra range started for Symbol
burrow research started for Symbol
Losira has maxed 30 supply ahead of Symbol
4th base started for Symbol

20:00
+2 carapace started for Losira
engagement int he middle of the map
Symbol has the arc
IT thrown out
fungals
the roaches of Losira are falling but hydras are doing a lot of damage
Symbol has to back off

21:00
Losira kills a lot of the infestors as Symbol retreats
Losira pushes into Symbol's natural
Losira is 50 supply ahead
reinforcement roaches are running across the map
Symbol cant hold
Symbol ggs!

Symbol falls to 2-2

Losira improves to 3-1!

neckgripper

Canada100 Posts

January 08 2013 12:24 GMT

#751

wow... losira is CRAZY!! good game

Shellshock

United States97276 Posts

January 08 2013 12:24 GMT

#752

Poll: Recommend LosirA vs Symbol?

Yes (15)

94%

If you have time (1)

6%

No (0)

0%

16 total votes

Your vote: Recommend LosirA vs Symbol?

(Vote): Yes
(Vote): No
(Vote): If you have time

Heartland

Sweden24593 Posts

January 08 2013 12:24 GMT

#753

How did he turn that around?

Tsubbi

Germany7996 Posts

January 08 2013 12:24 GMT

#754

have 3 saturated based vs 2, defend vs nydus all in easily, still lose, ouch symbol

KanoCoke

Japan863 Posts

January 08 2013 12:24 GMT

#755

Could we be seeing LosirA actually coming back to form!?

Ethi

Germany275 Posts

January 08 2013 12:24 GMT

#756

I want Losira in Code S so badly.

NovemberstOrm

Canada16217 Posts

January 08 2013 12:24 GMT

#757

On January 08 2013 21:24 Ethi wrote:
I want Losira in Code S so badly.

You and me both.

Fragile51

Netherlands15767 Posts

January 08 2013 12:25 GMT

#758

On January 08 2013 21:23 NovemberstOrm wrote:
To see Losira in Code S again would be so nostalgic and quite awesome.

Fuck yeah, losiracat :3! I don't think there are a lot of people that really dislike losira, he's always been one of the more entertaining zerg players to watch.

FrostedMiniWheats

United States30730 Posts

January 08 2013 12:25 GMT

#759

I think Fantasy will be the only Kespa to make it out of the up/down.