[Up/Down] Group C 2013 GSL Season 1 - Page 33

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GolemMadness

Canada11044 Posts

January 08 2013 11:40 GMT

#641

Go First. KT represent.

Shellshock

United States97276 Posts

January 08 2013 11:40 GMT

#642

On January 08 2013 20:36 Shellshock1122 wrote:

Show nested quote +

6:00
double gas for Symbol
2 more gas for First
phoenix production started for First

7:00
Lair started for Symbol
evo chamber for Symbol
Roach warren for Symbol
2 stalkers and a zealot poke at Symbol's 3rd
+1 attack started for First
ling speed started for Symbol

8:00
stalkers are kiting lings near the 3rd of Symbol
spores started for Symbol
macro hatch started for Symbol
4 phoenixes are out and are making their way over to the 3rd of Symbol
+1 range attack started for Symbol
Void ray started for First
3 more gateways for First
robo for First

9:00
Roach speed started for Symbol
Hydralisk den for Symbol
phoenixes scout the hydra den
phoenixes find a bunch of unprotected overlords
symbol is supply blocked

10:00
Hydra range started for Symbol
Symbol has lost 1300 resources vs 100 for First
Robotics Bay for First
hydra production started for Symbol
3rd base started for First
spire started for Symbol
observer started for First
ling runby attempt by Symbol
First misses the block a little but only 2 lings get in
Twilight council for First
lings get a full scout of the main
+1 armor started for First

11:00
Colossus production started for First
Extended thermal lance research started
2 more gates for First
+2 range started for Symbol

12:00
Hydra pick off 1 phoenix
first colossus is out
Symbol is looking to attack
Corruptor production started for Symbol
+1 air attack started for Symbol
Symbol moving towards the 3rd of First

13:00
+2 attack started for First
blink research started for First
Symbol backs off to the watchtower
Symbol breaking down the rocks on the natural ramp of First
3rd colossus on the way for First
Symbol pushing into the 3rd again

14:00
Corruptors are trying to hit the colossi
Roaches kill the gateways at the 3rd
Colossi are microed back
3rd Nexus falls
First is able to push back Symbol
the Corruptors are all dead

15:00
+1 carapace started for Symbol
3rd base restarted for First
Colossus production continues for First
5 more gates for First
Symbol is 30 supply ahead

Dodgin

Canada39254 Posts

January 08 2013 11:41 GMT

#643

wow first...what the hell..

how do you lose to roach hydra corruptor so easily after that opening

Thrillz

4313 Posts

January 08 2013 11:41 GMT

#644

Wow First is terrible at engaging.

Salteador Neo

Andorra5591 Posts

January 08 2013 11:41 GMT

#645

Bad positioning for those cannons forced him into a bad choke...

Also using corruption is underrated lol

Vindicare605

United States16081 Posts

January 08 2013 11:41 GMT

#646

Oh man. I'm not sure how Symbol is doing this but he's broken First's back. First has no bank and no third base. Symbol has a huge edge right now.

Azzur

Australia6259 Posts

January 08 2013 11:41 GMT

#647

I can't believe First is going to lose - a "lesson" on how to engage poorly

Vindicare605

United States16081 Posts

January 08 2013 11:42 GMT

#648

Hydralisks..... so good.

:D

Shellshock

United States97276 Posts

January 08 2013 11:42 GMT

#649

On January 08 2013 20:40 Shellshock1122 wrote:

Show nested quote +

16:00
Symbol comes in to attack at the 3rd again
Symbol gets a really good position
stalkers arent firing because they are trapped int he back
3rd nexus is killed again
Corruptors kill all the colossi
hydras are still alive dpsing the stalkers
corruption on all of the stalkers

17:00
Symbol is 60 supply ahead
First is able to hold on for now
immortal production for First now
3rd base restarted for First
Symbol pushing up the ramp to the natural now
First is in position to push him back

18:00
+2 carapace started for Symbol
Symbol is max vs 111 supply
Symbol going into the natural to fight
the only colossus dies right away
hydras are doing a lot of damage
corruption on everything possible
First is losing his whole army
Symbol has broken into the natural

19:00
First has no army left
probes are pulled
First ggs!

First falls to 2-1!

Symbol improves to 2-1!

Shellshock

United States97276 Posts

January 08 2013 11:42 GMT

#650

Poll: Recommend First vs Symbol?

Yes (4)

44%

If you have time (3)

33%

No (2)

22%

9 total votes

Your vote: Recommend First vs Symbol?

(Vote): Yes
(Vote): No
(Vote): If you have time

paradoxOO9

United Kingdom1123 Posts

January 08 2013 11:42 GMT

#651

WP Symbol! :D

Tsubbi

Germany7996 Posts

January 08 2013 11:43 GMT

#652

must be the worst feeling to lose vs roach hydra corrupter, especially from the position first was in

Thobrik

Sweden1120 Posts

January 08 2013 11:43 GMT

#653

Very interesting play by Symbol, you rarely see this type of 3v2 base attrition warfare in pvz.

TheBB

Switzerland5133 Posts

January 08 2013 11:43 GMT

#654

U&D Group C

DongRaeGu
      Expected score: 4.22-0.78 (sets: 4.22-0.78)
      Probability of achieving top 2: 85.68%
      Most likely place: 1st (71.14%)

Symbol
      Expected score: 3.28-1.72 (sets: 3.28-1.72)
      Probability of achieving top 2: 57.27%
      Most likely place: 2nd (48.29%)

First
      Expected score: 2.78-2.22 (sets: 2.78-2.22)
      Probability of achieving top 2: 27.50%
      Most likely place: 3rd (39.83%)

LosirA
      Expected score: 2.65-2.35 (sets: 2.65-2.35)
      Probability of achieving top 2: 27.41%
      Most likely place: 4th (43.18%)

Bbyong
      Expected score: 1.35-3.65 (sets: 1.35-3.65)
      Probability of achieving top 2: 2.14%
      Most likely place: 6th (37.89%)

Grubby
      Expected score: 0.72-4.28 (sets: 0.72-4.28)
      Probability of achieving top 2: 0.00%
      Most likely place: 6th (61.48%)

details, data source, code

+ Show Spoiler [Details] +

Detailed placement probabilities

                     6th      5th      4th      3rd      2nd      1st
        LosirA:             7.22%   43.18%   22.19%   19.13%    8.28%
         First:    0.59%   16.11%   15.96%   39.83%   16.32%   11.18%
        Bbyong:   37.89%   37.37%   14.83%    7.77%    1.72%    0.41%
        Symbol:             4.67%   16.06%   22.00%   48.29%    8.98%
        Grubby:   61.48%   33.18%    3.96%    1.37%                  
     DongRaeGu:    0.04%    1.44%    6.01%    6.83%   14.54%   71.14%

Match score

                     0-5      1-4      2-3      3-2      4-1      5-0
        LosirA:                     44.65%   45.92%    9.44%         
         First:                     35.86%   49.92%   14.22%         
        Bbyong:   15.49%   42.20%   34.52%    7.79%                  
        Symbol:                     12.66%   47.02%   40.32%         
        Grubby:   40.35%   47.00%   12.65%                           
     DongRaeGu:                      1.71%   14.89%   42.80%   40.60%

Set score

                      -5       -4       -3       -2       -1        0        1        2        3        4        5
        LosirA:                                       44.65%            45.92%             9.44%                  
         First:                                       35.86%            49.92%            14.22%                  
        Bbyong:   15.49%            42.20%            34.52%             7.79%                                    
        Symbol:                                       12.66%            47.02%            40.32%                  
        Grubby:   40.35%            47.00%            12.65%                                                      
     DongRaeGu:                                        1.71%            14.89%            42.80%            40.60%

Bbyong vs. DongRaeGu

Bbyong wins (27.05%):
1-0: 27.05%

DongRaeGu wins (72.95%):
1-0: 72.95%

Most likely winner: DongRaeGu (72.95%)
Median outcome: Bbyong 0-1 DongRaeGu