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Sorry I'm late, I just had to finish WoT. XD
U&D Group C
DongRaeGu
Expected score: 4.22-0.78 (sets: 4.22-0.78)
Probability of achieving top 2: 87.52%
Most likely place: 1st (70.33%)
First
Expected score: 3.14-1.86 (sets: 3.14-1.86)
Probability of achieving top 2: 50.65%
Most likely place: 2nd (31.84%)
Symbol
Expected score: 2.92-2.08 (sets: 2.92-2.08)
Probability of achieving top 2: 40.53%
Most likely place: 2nd (34.77%)
LosirA
Expected score: 2.23-2.77 (sets: 2.23-2.77)
Probability of achieving top 2: 15.45%
Most likely place: 4th (34.10%)
Bbyong
Expected score: 1.35-3.65 (sets: 1.35-3.65)
Probability of achieving top 2: 3.82%
Most likely place: 6th (42.30%)
Grubby
Expected score: 1.14-3.86 (sets: 1.14-3.86)
Probability of achieving top 2: 2.03%
Most likely place: 6th (44.48%)
details, data source, code
+ Show Spoiler [Details] +Detailed placement probabilities
6th 5th 4th 3rd 2nd 1st
LosirA: 9.80% 20.50% 34.10% 20.16% 10.77% 4.67%
First: 0.49% 7.50% 11.70% 29.66% 31.84% 18.81%
Bbyong: 42.30% 33.16% 12.89% 7.82% 3.42% 0.40%
Symbol: 2.78% 9.47% 20.30% 26.92% 34.77% 5.76%
Grubby: 44.48% 28.24% 17.25% 7.99% 2.00% 0.03%
DongRaeGu: 0.16% 1.13% 3.75% 7.44% 17.19% 70.33%
Match score
0-5 1-4 2-3 3-2 4-1 5-0
LosirA: 18.78% 45.18% 30.58% 5.47%
First: 23.00% 44.88% 27.02% 5.10%
Bbyong: 15.49% 42.20% 34.52% 7.79%
Symbol: 4.54% 24.99% 44.62% 25.86%
Grubby: 23.38% 44.21% 27.09% 5.32%
DongRaeGu: 1.71% 14.89% 42.80% 40.60%
Set score
-5 -4 -3 -2 -1 0 1 2 3 4 5
LosirA: 18.78% 45.18% 30.58% 5.47%
First: 23.00% 44.88% 27.02% 5.10%
Bbyong: 15.49% 42.20% 34.52% 7.79%
Symbol: 4.54% 24.99% 44.62% 25.86%
Grubby: 23.38% 44.21% 27.09% 5.32%
DongRaeGu: 1.71% 14.89% 42.80% 40.60%
LosirA vs. Grubby
LosirA wins (57.95%):
1-0: 57.95%
Grubby wins (42.05%):
1-0: 42.05%
Most likely winner: LosirA (57.95%)
Median outcome: LosirA 1-0 Grubby
details, data source, code
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Koreans take no prisoners! Even cute kitty cat Koreans take no prisoners!
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On January 08 2013 20:21 Heartland wrote:Show nested quote +On January 08 2013 20:19 Laryleprakon wrote:
Playing in both the GSL and Pro league would be pretty difficult with how many maps you have to practice for, and with so many not on ladder.
Huk apparently streaming after GSL only a day out from his up/downs seems so weird.
Gogo Losira! What, Huk played his U&D already?
No, he tweeted he was going to stream after these matchs, with his group so close I don't understand why he would give his opponents so much info.
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i dont get not scouting as p in pvz, the probe always pays for itself economically by messing up mining and delaying the natural hatch anyways
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On January 08 2013 20:23 Laryleprakon wrote:Show nested quote +On January 08 2013 20:21 Heartland wrote:On January 08 2013 20:19 Laryleprakon wrote:
Playing in both the GSL and Pro league would be pretty difficult with how many maps you have to practice for, and with so many not on ladder.
Huk apparently streaming after GSL only a day out from his up/downs seems so weird.
Gogo Losira! What, Huk played his U&D already? No, he tweeted he was going to stream after these matchs, with his group so close I don't understand why he would give his opponents so much info.
something something clever joke about huk only doing gateway all ins
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Grubby is dead, should go for the won/won/won 
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This is really bad for Grubby now. TT. Sad.
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The theme of the night seems to be Grubby being very behind. Would be fun to see some foreigner wins.
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WOLF!
STOP DOING MATH ON STREAM! IT ONLY LEADS TO PAIN AND SUFFERING! lol.
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United States97276 Posts
On January 08 2013 20:21 Shellshock1122 wrote:Show nested quote +On January 08 2013 20:17 Shellshock1122 wrote: GSL S1 2013 Up & Down Matches Group C  LosirA (1-1) vs  Grubby (0-2) Map: Cloud Kingdom 0:00 LosirA spawns in the bottom left Grubby spawns in the top right 1:40 10 pool for Losira 2:00 Nexus first for Grubby lings started for Losira forge started for Grubby 3:00 hatch for Losira lings are on the way to Grubby's base Gateway for Grubby cannon for Grubby Grubby manages to get a complete wall off before the lings get in 4:00 the first pylon falls probes are coming down to block the probes are too late and the lings get through the wall 8 lings are in Grubby's main Grubby's gate is unpowered chrono boost on unpowered gateway 5:00 6 lings are killed but 9 probes die gas for Grubby 3rd base on the way for Losira 2nd gas for Grubby Losira is up 23-21 in workers cybernetics core started for Grubby
6:00
double gas for Losira
zealot started for Grubby
the last 2 lings are finally dead
Losira is just pumping out drones
3rd gas for Grubby
warp gate started for Grubby (6:50)
7:00
stalker started for Grubby
Ling speed started for Losira
Stargate started for Grubby
sentry for Grubby
zealot of Grubby scouts the 3rd of Losira
Lair started for Losira
8:00
+1 attack started for Grubby
2 more gas for Losira
Roach warren for Losira
3 more gates for Grubby
phoenix production started for Grubby
evo chamber started for Losira
9:00
robo for Grubby
Roach speed started for Losira
Roach production started for Losira
overseer for Losira sees everything
10:00
sporecrawlers started for Losira
twilight council started for Grubby
2 more gates for Grubby
2nd evo chamber for Losira
Losira pushing Grubby's natural with a lot of roaches
Grubby throwing down extra cannons
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Losira does have a twitter!!
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GG.
Now take your filthy mittens off my Grubby :/
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On January 08 2013 20:25 Laryleprakon wrote:
Losira does have a twitter!!
What is it? I don't think I'm following him. o.o
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On January 08 2013 20:24 Dodgin wrote:Show nested quote +On January 08 2013 20:23 Laryleprakon wrote:On January 08 2013 20:21 Heartland wrote:On January 08 2013 20:19 Laryleprakon wrote:
Playing in both the GSL and Pro league would be pretty difficult with how many maps you have to practice for, and with so many not on ladder.
Huk apparently streaming after GSL only a day out from his up/downs seems so weird.
Gogo Losira! What, Huk played his U&D already? No, he tweeted he was going to stream after these matchs, with his group so close I don't understand why he would give his opponents so much info. something something clever joke about huk only doing gateway all ins
It doesn't need to be clever ^_^
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Bleh GG by Grubby, too bad he couldn't win it
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United States97276 Posts
On January 08 2013 20:24 Shellshock1122 wrote:Show nested quote +On January 08 2013 20:21 Shellshock1122 wrote:On January 08 2013 20:17 Shellshock1122 wrote: GSL S1 2013 Up & Down Matches Group C LosirA (1-1) vs Grubby (0-2) Map: Cloud Kingdom 0:00 LosirA spawns in the bottom left Grubby spawns in the top right 1:40 10 pool for Losira 2:00 Nexus first for Grubby lings started for Losira forge started for Grubby 3:00 hatch for Losira lings are on the way to Grubby's base Gateway for Grubby cannon for Grubby Grubby manages to get a complete wall off before the lings get in 4:00 the first pylon falls probes are coming down to block the probes are too late and the lings get through the wall 8 lings are in Grubby's main Grubby's gate is unpowered chrono boost on unpowered gateway 5:00 6 lings are killed but 9 probes die gas for Grubby 3rd base on the way for Losira 2nd gas for Grubby Losira is up 23-21 in workers cybernetics core started for Grubby 6:00 double gas for Losira zealot started for Grubby the last 2 lings are finally dead Losira is just pumping out drones 3rd gas for Grubby warp gate started for Grubby (6:50) 7:00 stalker started for Grubby Ling speed started for Losira Stargate started for Grubby sentry for Grubby zealot of Grubby scouts the 3rd of Losira Lair started for Losira 8:00 +1 attack started for Grubby 2 more gas for Losira Roach warren for Losira 3 more gates for Grubby phoenix production started for Grubby evo chamber started for Losira 9:00 robo for Grubby Roach speed started for Losira Roach production started for Losira overseer for Losira sees everything 10:00 sporecrawlers started for Losira twilight council started for Grubby 2 more gates for Grubby 2nd evo chamber for Losira Losira pushing Grubby's natural with a lot of roaches Grubby throwing down extra cannons
11:00
immortal started for Grubby
Grubby's gate and forge wall falls
phoenixes start lifting roaches
forcefields have run out and roaches and lings are pouring into the natural
Grubby is 50 supply down
the cannons are falling
probes are pulled to defend in the natural
all of the sentries are dead
the immortal falls
12:00
1-1 ling upgrades on the way for Losira
4th base for Losira
infestation pit finishes for Losira
2nd immortal started for Grubby
Losira just rallying lings across the map 30 at a time
pathogen glands started
Grubby ggs!
Grubby falls to 0-3
Losira improves to 2-1!
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Well this wasn't very fun. Shame that Grubby also had to go through the foreigner test of fire and fail, like so many others have.
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United States97276 Posts
Poll: Recommend LosirA vs Grubby?No (10) 77% Yes (3) 23% If you have time (0) 0% 13 total votes Your vote: Recommend LosirA vs Grubby? (Vote): Yes
(Vote): No
(Vote): If you have time
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meh this was so one sided
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Whoa, Losira's keyboard angle!
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EPT![[image loading]](http://i.imgur.com/XvCH5.png)
