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On September 20 2014 09:17 Damdred wrote:
So GB why were you so sure that they were both town? Why did you waste a vote on me and then jump on palmar like you were looking for permission to
I said none of these.
Here is my thought process, so you guys get this once and for all:
For the way Rayn was hard pushing Palmar, we agreed that they could not be both mafia, as Rayn wouldn't (I believe he could, but...) bus his partner so hard at the start of the game.
If that's so, if both were going to die, we were definetely lose a town. Understand?
Okay. So we can say that if both of them dies, there is a 99% chance that we kill a townie (not 100% because there is this small possibility that Rayn bussed so hard).
Now, if we changed our lynch, considering that if we RNG'd, we had a 27% chance of hitting mafia (or something close to that), there was a 73% chance that we hit town. It was better to change targets.
I decided to vote you because I don't like the way your questions were made, in such a way that it looked like you were trying to influence reads. Like this particular question you've just made to me.
We would have less chance to hit town and we could lynch palmar day3 anyways. It was a safer move.
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I haven't read anything post flip, but I will give some updated reads:
No matter how much yamato hates me and wants to kill me, I think he's town based off of both palmar and geript flipped town. He was hellbent on seeing geript dead at the beginning of the day and then brought focus onto palmar who he decided was scummier. There's not much scum motivation to do this (i kinda did this as scum in my last scum game, but I don't think his was scum!motivated)
I also think that Superbia is town, and it doesn't have to do with the banks comment. I think that he was sincere in his desire to push BC and I think that's townie.
I think Banks' actions at the EOD secure him as solid town in my eyes, thus confirming haru as well. He and I were on the same page with regards to the palmar lynch, and I don't think he gets that animated about it as scum.
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Few other facts:
1) Sorry VE. I shouldn't have been a dick. You know how I act though. Please don't be mad and don't instigate me!
2) Rayn, you owe palmar an apology and you owe everyone else an apology for the way shit went down at EOD1. That was pathetic. You might have been town, but you're very much scum aligned
3) I am town. I know many of you may not think this, but I assure you this is the case. While it looks like I've only been pushing townies, I have done so because I have thought they were scummy. I have been actively pushing people, something that I don't really do as scum.
I will have more reads once I catch up a bit
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It was not a safer move to keep palmar around on day 3. Our day would be dominated by palmar talk.
I'm about to leave work will give a better answer when I get home
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On September 20 2014 09:57 Damdred wrote:
It was not a safer move to keep palmar around on day 3. Our day would be dominated by palmar talk.
I'm about to leave work will give a better answer when I get home
What do you mean by that?
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Driving but to which part
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On September 20 2014 10:13 Damdred wrote:
Driving but to which part
Palmar dominating day3 with his talk
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What the fuck are these questions. It's pretty damn obvious what he means
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On September 20 2014 10:31 IAmRobik wrote:
What the fuck are these questions. It's pretty damn obvious what he means
Is he saying that palmar, as mafia, would convince us he was town, or is he saying that the only day3 theme would be Palmar?
Latter could be right. Former is poor excuse for not lynching someone else.
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Its obvious palmar would be the only viable wagon yommorow, he had been decently scummy and a lot of us were convinced either geript or palmar was mafia. Tommorow would be palmar is mafia version 3.
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On September 20 2014 10:39 Damdred wrote:
Its obvious palmar would be the only viable wagon yommorow, he had been decently scummy and a lot of us were convinced either geript or palmar was mafia. Tommorow would be palmar is mafia version 3.
Why isn't that better than definetely lynching a townie today?
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On September 20 2014 10:40 GlowingBear wrote:Show nested quote +On September 20 2014 10:39 Damdred wrote:
Its obvious palmar would be the only viable wagon yommorow, he had been decently scummy and a lot of us were convinced either geript or palmar was mafia. Tommorow would be palmar is mafia version 3. Why isn't that better than definetely lynching a townie today?
que?
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On September 20 2014 10:43 IAmRobik wrote:Show nested quote +On September 20 2014 10:40 GlowingBear wrote:On September 20 2014 10:39 Damdred wrote:
Its obvious palmar would be the only viable wagon yommorow, he had been decently scummy and a lot of us were convinced either geript or palmar was mafia. Tommorow would be palmar is mafia version 3. Why isn't that better than definetely lynching a townie today? que?
I hate not being clear and I love you when you try speaking in Portuguese.
Why having palmar as a central discussion day3 worse than lynching a townie for sure?
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Nevermind, I just realised it is better to lynch palmar now and have time to scum hunt day3
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Because we would of been stuck in a rut again and palmar still would of gotten lynched given them another mislynch and another 2 nk with no mafia dead. Now we can have fresh people up
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Yeah, it just came to my mind now
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One of the many times I really wish deadline wasn't during my work hours.
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Is there anybody here that I can talk to?
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On September 20 2014 11:01 ObiWanShinobi wrote:
Is there anybody here that I can talk to?
Yes.
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EPT
