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Newbie Mini Mafia LVII - Page 44

Forum Index > TL Mafia
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Lord Tolkien
Profile Joined November 2012
United States12083 Posts
August 01 2014 04:51 GMT
#861
you and GB both
"His father is pretty juicy tbh." ~WaveofShadow
Teemursu
Profile Joined June 2014
Finland839 Posts
August 01 2014 04:51 GMT
#862
Banks, I wasn't really trying to clear myself, first time I said it it was only half-serious. You KNOW how badly I play confirmed town. lol

Lilwayne, could you give me examples of deflection? O-o I kind of don't see what you're saying.
Lord Tolkien
Profile Joined November 2012
United States12083 Posts
August 01 2014 04:51 GMT
#863
What with him going on and on about another mafia partner on a mafia meatpudding. <_< wat
"His father is pretty juicy tbh." ~WaveofShadow
Teemursu
Profile Joined June 2014
Finland839 Posts
August 01 2014 04:52 GMT
#864
On August 01 2014 13:51 Lord Tolkien wrote:
What with him going on and on about another mafia partner on a mafia meatpudding. <_< wat

wat
Lord Tolkien
Profile Joined November 2012
United States12083 Posts
August 01 2014 04:54 GMT
#865
On August 01 2014 13:52 Teemursu wrote:
Show nested quote +
On August 01 2014 13:51 Lord Tolkien wrote:
What with him going on and on about another mafia partner on a mafia meatpudding. <_< wat

wat


On August 01 2014 12:16 GlowingBear wrote:
If meatpudding is mafia, then we probably have a mafia on him also. You see, if I were mafia and if I had two partners as the main bus with no probability of shifting focus, I'd vote for the most probable to die. It would confirm me as town, somehow. Have in mind I switched around 3 hours before the lynch, not giving enough time for mafia to react. So probably mafia chose to lynch meatpudding and, if this is right, Teemu or cya still could be mafia.
But that's only if you believe that mafia had short time to react. You may consider that the remaining mafia was on 666, clearing Teemu and cya, narrowing the people you should push.

BASED solely on that, we have two good starts at day2: (1)start pushing meatpudding and, if nothing happens,lynch him to at least get his alignment. It would help a lot to solve the game. Or (2), pushing meatpudding remaining voters to see what they can give to us to confirm this theory or not.

My preferred method would be (1).

This is...deeply flawed analysis.
"His father is pretty juicy tbh." ~WaveofShadow
Teemursu
Profile Joined June 2014
Finland839 Posts
August 01 2014 04:55 GMT
#866
Do you think there could be a third mafia, if town had enough PR's?
GlowingBear
Profile Joined May 2014
Brazil12446 Posts
August 01 2014 04:55 GMT
#867
On August 01 2014 13:54 Lord Tolkien wrote:
Show nested quote +
On August 01 2014 13:52 Teemursu wrote:
On August 01 2014 13:51 Lord Tolkien wrote:
What with him going on and on about another mafia partner on a mafia meatpudding. <_< wat

wat


Show nested quote +
On August 01 2014 12:16 GlowingBear wrote:
If meatpudding is mafia, then we probably have a mafia on him also. You see, if I were mafia and if I had two partners as the main bus with no probability of shifting focus, I'd vote for the most probable to die. It would confirm me as town, somehow. Have in mind I switched around 3 hours before the lynch, not giving enough time for mafia to react. So probably mafia chose to lynch meatpudding and, if this is right, Teemu or cya still could be mafia.
But that's only if you believe that mafia had short time to react. You may consider that the remaining mafia was on 666, clearing Teemu and cya, narrowing the people you should push.

BASED solely on that, we have two good starts at day2: (1)start pushing meatpudding and, if nothing happens,lynch him to at least get his alignment. It would help a lot to solve the game. Or (2), pushing meatpudding remaining voters to see what they can give to us to confirm this theory or not.

My preferred method would be (1).

This is...deeply flawed analysis.


Point out flawed parts, please.
I'm adorable.
Teemursu
Profile Joined June 2014
Finland839 Posts
August 01 2014 04:56 GMT
#868
And in a two mafia setup, is it likely that we have a cop and a GF?
Lord Tolkien
Profile Joined November 2012
United States12083 Posts
August 01 2014 04:56 GMT
#869
HIGHLY doubtful. Again, a D2 LYLO if a D1 mislynch and a mafia shot gets through.

Or town loses with an incorrect vigi shot N1.

It would be probably the shittiest setup evar.
"His father is pretty juicy tbh." ~WaveofShadow
Teemursu
Profile Joined June 2014
Finland839 Posts
August 01 2014 04:57 GMT
#870
Yeah.. Okay then.

lynch meat tomorrow and cop check Seeyalater -> game probably solved.
Lord Tolkien
Profile Joined November 2012
United States12083 Posts
August 01 2014 04:58 GMT
#871
On August 01 2014 13:55 GlowingBear wrote:
Show nested quote +
On August 01 2014 13:54 Lord Tolkien wrote:
On August 01 2014 13:52 Teemursu wrote:
On August 01 2014 13:51 Lord Tolkien wrote:
What with him going on and on about another mafia partner on a mafia meatpudding. <_< wat

wat


On August 01 2014 12:16 GlowingBear wrote:
If meatpudding is mafia, then we probably have a mafia on him also. You see, if I were mafia and if I had two partners as the main bus with no probability of shifting focus, I'd vote for the most probable to die. It would confirm me as town, somehow. Have in mind I switched around 3 hours before the lynch, not giving enough time for mafia to react. So probably mafia chose to lynch meatpudding and, if this is right, Teemu or cya still could be mafia.
But that's only if you believe that mafia had short time to react. You may consider that the remaining mafia was on 666, clearing Teemu and cya, narrowing the people you should push.

BASED solely on that, we have two good starts at day2: (1)start pushing meatpudding and, if nothing happens,lynch him to at least get his alignment. It would help a lot to solve the game. Or (2), pushing meatpudding remaining voters to see what they can give to us to confirm this theory or not.

My preferred method would be (1).

This is...deeply flawed analysis.


Point out flawed parts, please.


If meatpudding is mafia, then we probably have a mafia on him also. You see, if I were mafia and if I had two partners as the main bus with no probability of shifting focus, I'd vote for the most probable to die. It would confirm me as town, somehow. Have in mind I switched around 3 hours before the lynch, not giving enough time for mafia to react. So probably mafia chose to lynch meatpudding and, if this is right, Teemu or cya still could be mafia.

Again, assumes 3 mafia.

To that I say,
"His father is pretty juicy tbh." ~WaveofShadow
GlowingBear
Profile Joined May 2014
Brazil12446 Posts
August 01 2014 05:01 GMT
#872
On August 01 2014 13:58 Lord Tolkien wrote:
Show nested quote +
On August 01 2014 13:55 GlowingBear wrote:
On August 01 2014 13:54 Lord Tolkien wrote:
On August 01 2014 13:52 Teemursu wrote:
On August 01 2014 13:51 Lord Tolkien wrote:
What with him going on and on about another mafia partner on a mafia meatpudding. <_< wat

wat


On August 01 2014 12:16 GlowingBear wrote:
If meatpudding is mafia, then we probably have a mafia on him also. You see, if I were mafia and if I had two partners as the main bus with no probability of shifting focus, I'd vote for the most probable to die. It would confirm me as town, somehow. Have in mind I switched around 3 hours before the lynch, not giving enough time for mafia to react. So probably mafia chose to lynch meatpudding and, if this is right, Teemu or cya still could be mafia.
But that's only if you believe that mafia had short time to react. You may consider that the remaining mafia was on 666, clearing Teemu and cya, narrowing the people you should push.

BASED solely on that, we have two good starts at day2: (1)start pushing meatpudding and, if nothing happens,lynch him to at least get his alignment. It would help a lot to solve the game. Or (2), pushing meatpudding remaining voters to see what they can give to us to confirm this theory or not.

My preferred method would be (1).

This is...deeply flawed analysis.


Point out flawed parts, please.


Show nested quote +
If meatpudding is mafia, then we probably have a mafia on him also. You see, if I were mafia and if I had two partners as the main bus with no probability of shifting focus, I'd vote for the most probable to die. It would confirm me as town, somehow. Have in mind I switched around 3 hours before the lynch, not giving enough time for mafia to react. So probably mafia chose to lynch meatpudding and, if this is right, Teemu or cya still could be mafia.

Again, assumes 3 mafia.

To that I say,
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=tgbkN9vb__8


Assuming we have three mafia, is it still flawed?
I assumed we have three mafia because of the slider up from last newbie game
I'm adorable.
GlowingBear
Profile Joined May 2014
Brazil12446 Posts
August 01 2014 05:03 GMT
#873
Because of the set up*

Never mind though, that game was 15 people playing.

Lets kill meatpudding and be happy
I'm adorable.
Lord Tolkien
Profile Joined November 2012
United States12083 Posts
August 01 2014 05:04 GMT
#874
On August 01 2014 13:56 Teemursu wrote:
And in a two mafia setup, is it likely that we have a cop and a GF?

Oh, this?

Maybe, idk. It would be hilarious to essentially have a dead role. Balancewise that SOUNDS plausible. But it's complete and utter speculation so it's useless to town.

I said it before, DO NOT SPECULATE ABOUT ROLES (mafia included here). It's kinda useless and misleading unless we get a claim.

It's like the whole stupid vigi speculation you saw last game D2 after I was shot. Completely and totally irrelevant and does nothing but sidetrack town from actual scumhunting
"His father is pretty juicy tbh." ~WaveofShadow
Lord Tolkien
Profile Joined November 2012
United States12083 Posts
August 01 2014 05:06 GMT
#875
On August 01 2014 14:01 GlowingBear wrote:
Show nested quote +
On August 01 2014 13:58 Lord Tolkien wrote:
On August 01 2014 13:55 GlowingBear wrote:
On August 01 2014 13:54 Lord Tolkien wrote:
On August 01 2014 13:52 Teemursu wrote:
On August 01 2014 13:51 Lord Tolkien wrote:
What with him going on and on about another mafia partner on a mafia meatpudding. <_< wat

wat


On August 01 2014 12:16 GlowingBear wrote:
If meatpudding is mafia, then we probably have a mafia on him also. You see, if I were mafia and if I had two partners as the main bus with no probability of shifting focus, I'd vote for the most probable to die. It would confirm me as town, somehow. Have in mind I switched around 3 hours before the lynch, not giving enough time for mafia to react. So probably mafia chose to lynch meatpudding and, if this is right, Teemu or cya still could be mafia.
But that's only if you believe that mafia had short time to react. You may consider that the remaining mafia was on 666, clearing Teemu and cya, narrowing the people you should push.

BASED solely on that, we have two good starts at day2: (1)start pushing meatpudding and, if nothing happens,lynch him to at least get his alignment. It would help a lot to solve the game. Or (2), pushing meatpudding remaining voters to see what they can give to us to confirm this theory or not.

My preferred method would be (1).

This is...deeply flawed analysis.


Point out flawed parts, please.


If meatpudding is mafia, then we probably have a mafia on him also. You see, if I were mafia and if I had two partners as the main bus with no probability of shifting focus, I'd vote for the most probable to die. It would confirm me as town, somehow. Have in mind I switched around 3 hours before the lynch, not giving enough time for mafia to react. So probably mafia chose to lynch meatpudding and, if this is right, Teemu or cya still could be mafia.

Again, assumes 3 mafia.

To that I say,
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=tgbkN9vb__8


Assuming we have three mafia, is it still flawed?
I assumed we have three mafia because of the slider up from last newbie game

Yes. Because mafia could very well have bussed DC comics AS YOU NOTE. I'll explain later in my big post before night ends.
"His father is pretty juicy tbh." ~WaveofShadow
Teemursu
Profile Joined June 2014
Finland839 Posts
August 01 2014 05:13 GMT
#876
On August 01 2014 14:04 Lord Tolkien wrote:
Show nested quote +
On August 01 2014 13:56 Teemursu wrote:
And in a two mafia setup, is it likely that we have a cop and a GF?

Oh, this?

Maybe, idk. It would be hilarious to essentially have a dead role. Balancewise that SOUNDS plausible. But it's complete and utter speculation so it's useless to town.

I said it before, DO NOT SPECULATE ABOUT ROLES (mafia included here). It's kinda useless and misleading unless we get a claim.

It's like the whole stupid vigi speculation you saw last game D2 after I was shot. Completely and totally irrelevant and does nothing but sidetrack town from actual scumhunting

No, I agree, it's useless to speculate on it. I just wanted to ask if it's possible.
GlowingBear
Profile Joined May 2014
Brazil12446 Posts
August 01 2014 05:18 GMT
#877
I'm not saying that what I've brought is 100% right. I'm saying that it has hot a higher probability of happening and that it would be a good push to start day 2
I'm adorable.
Lord Tolkien
Profile Joined November 2012
United States12083 Posts
August 01 2014 05:21 GMT
#878
On August 01 2014 14:18 GlowingBear wrote:
I'm not saying that what I've brought is 100% right. I'm saying that it has hot a higher probability of happening and that it would be a good push to start day 2

Assumes 3 mafia.

Touching upon this before night ends, but I...cordially disagree.
"His father is pretty juicy tbh." ~WaveofShadow
GlowingBear
Profile Joined May 2014
Brazil12446 Posts
August 01 2014 05:24 GMT
#879
On August 01 2014 14:21 Lord Tolkien wrote:
Show nested quote +
On August 01 2014 14:18 GlowingBear wrote:
I'm not saying that what I've brought is 100% right. I'm saying that it has hot a higher probability of happening and that it would be a good push to start day 2

Assumes 3 mafia.

Touching upon this before night ends, but I...cordially disagree.


Ok, assuming 2 mafia then, one is down, meatpudding refused to go after 666. I can't see a better day2 lynch
I'm adorable.
GlowingBear
Profile Joined May 2014
Brazil12446 Posts
August 01 2014 05:24 GMT
#880
I'll be waiting your post
I'm adorable.
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