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[WCS AM] Ro16 Group A Season 3 2014 - Page 3

Forum Index > StarCraft 2 Tournaments
Post a Reply
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The_Templar
Profile Blog Joined January 2011
your Country52797 Posts
September 16 2014 22:01 GMT
#41
On September 17 2014 06:59 KingofdaHipHop wrote:
Random question do we know the deal with Red Bull DC and WCS points?

Redbull is giving out WCS points. Some players have to advance at least one round to get points though.
Moderatorshe/her
TL+ Member
Fanatic-Templar
Profile Joined February 2010
Canada5819 Posts
September 16 2014 22:01 GMT
#42
On September 16 2014 03:29 Die4Ever wrote:
WCS Predictor 2014
WCS AM S3 Premier

Starts in
ca Scarlett must win this!
kr viOLet must win this!
kr HerO must win this!
Scarlett, viOLet, iaguz, HerO in WCS AM S3 Premier
- ca Scarlett is at ~ 10.59 % chances to qualify for Blizzcon 2014
~ 61.15 % of the time ca Scarlett wins this match and their Blizzcon chances go up to ~ 17.31 %.
~ 38.85 % of the time ca Scarlett loses this match and their Blizzcon chances go down to ~ 0.02 %.
-------------------------------------------------
- kr viOLet is at ~ 12.45 % chances to qualify for Blizzcon 2014
~ 58.14 % of the time kr viOLet wins this match and their Blizzcon chances go up to ~ 21.21 %.
~ 41.86 % of the time kr viOLet loses this match and their Blizzcon chances go down to ~ 0.29 %.
-------------------------------------------------
- au iaguz is at ~ 0.01 % chances to qualify for Blizzcon 2014
~ 42.84 % of the time au iaguz wins this match and their Blizzcon chances go up to ~ 0.01 %.
~ 57.16 % of the time au iaguz loses this match and their Blizzcon chances go down to ~ 0 %.
-------------------------------------------------
- kr HerO is at ~ 2.55 % chances to qualify for Blizzcon 2014
~ 37.87 % of the time kr HerO wins this match and their Blizzcon chances go up to ~ 6.73 %.
~ 62.13 % of the time kr HerO loses this match and their Blizzcon chances go down to ~ 0.01 %.

Winning Chances
ca Scarlett has a ~ 9.83 % chance to win. This would increase their Blizzcon chances from ~ 10.59 % to ~ 100 %
kr viOLet has a ~ 6.1 % chance to win. This would increase their Blizzcon chances from ~ 12.45 % to ~ 100 %
kr HerO has a ~ 2.4 % chance to win. This would increase their Blizzcon chances from ~ 2.55 % to ~ 100 %
au iaguz has a ~ 1.91 % chance to win. This would increase their Blizzcon chances from ~ 0.01 % to ~ 0.01 %

+ Show Spoiler [Events] +

Scarlett
~ 9.82 % of the time
Scarlett gets 1st in WCS AM S3 Premier
This would change Scarlett's Blizzcon chances
from ~ 10.59 % to ~ 100 %

~ 18.12 % of the time
Scarlett gets 1st or 2nd in WCS AM S3 Premier
This would change Scarlett's Blizzcon chances
from ~ 10.59 % to ~ 57.74 %

~ 7.52 % of the time
Scarlett gets 1st in WCS AM S3 Premier and
iaguz loses their next match in WCS AM S3 Premier ro16
This would change Scarlett's Blizzcon chances
from ~ 10.59 % to ~ 100 %

~ 6.85 % of the time
Scarlett gets 1st in WCS AM S3 Premier and
HerO loses their next match in WCS AM S3 Premier ro16
This would change Scarlett's Blizzcon chances
from ~ 10.59 % to ~ 100 %

~ 6.51 % of the time
Scarlett gets 1st in WCS AM S3 Premier and
HuK gets 8th in WCS AM S3 Premier
This would change Scarlett's Blizzcon chances
from ~ 10.59 % to ~ 100 %

~ 5.84 % of the time
Scarlett gets 1st in WCS AM S3 Premier and
Heart gets 8th in WCS AM S3 Premier
This would change Scarlett's Blizzcon chances
from ~ 10.59 % to ~ 100 %

~ 4.73 % of the time
Scarlett gets 1st in WCS AM S3 Premier and
Scarlett gets 8th in Red Bull Washington
This would change Scarlett's Blizzcon chances
from ~ 10.59 % to ~ 100 %

~ 5.28 % of the time
Scarlett gets 1st in WCS AM S3 Premier and
viOLet loses their next match in WCS AM S3 Premier ro16
This would change Scarlett's Blizzcon chances
from ~ 10.59 % to ~ 100 %

viOLet
~ 6.09 % of the time
viOLet gets 1st in WCS AM S3 Premier
This would change viOLet's Blizzcon chances
from ~ 12.44 % to ~ 100 %

~ 7.32 % of the time
viOLet gets 2nd in WCS AM S3 Premier
This would change viOLet's Blizzcon chances
from ~ 12.44 % to ~ 73.61 %

~ 13.41 % of the time
viOLet gets 1st or 2nd in WCS AM S3 Premier
This would change viOLet's Blizzcon chances
from ~ 12.44 % to ~ 85.6 %

~ 28.2 % of the time
viOLet gets 1st or 2nd or 4th in WCS AM S3 Premier
This would change viOLet's Blizzcon chances
from ~ 12.44 % to ~ 42.77 %

~ 4.93 % of the time
viOLet gets 1st in WCS AM S3 Premier and
HerO loses their next match in WCS AM S3 Premier ro16
This would change viOLet's Blizzcon chances
from ~ 12.44 % to ~ 100 %

~ 0.18 % of the time
viOLet gets 1st in DreamHack Stockholm
This would change viOLet's Blizzcon chances
from ~ 12.44 % to ~ 86.41 %

~ 0.2 % of the time
viOLet gets 1st in Placeholder Tournament 1
This would change viOLet's Blizzcon chances
from ~ 12.44 % to ~ 85.64 %
0.0790232 This happens
~ 4.2 % of the time
viOLet gets 1st in WCS AM S3 Premier and
iaguz loses their next match in WCS AM S3 Premier ro16
This would change viOLet's Blizzcon chances
from ~ 12.44 % to ~ 100 %

HerO
~ 2.41 % of the time
HerO gets 1st in WCS AM S3 Premier
This would change HerO's Blizzcon chances
from ~ 2.55 % to ~ 100 %

~ 1.78 % of the time
HerO gets 1st in WCS AM S3 Premier and
viOLet loses their next match in WCS AM S3 Premier ro16
This would change HerO's Blizzcon chances
from ~ 2.55 % to ~ 100 %

~ 1.65 % of the time
HerO gets 1st in WCS AM S3 Premier and
iaguz loses their next match in WCS AM S3 Premier ro16
This would change HerO's Blizzcon chances
from ~ 2.55 % to ~ 100 %

~ 1.4 % of the time
HerO gets 1st in WCS AM S3 Premier and
Scarlett loses their next match in WCS AM S3 Premier ro16
This would change HerO's Blizzcon chances
from ~ 2.55 % to ~ 100 %

~ 1.32 % of the time
HerO gets 1st in WCS AM S3 Premier and
Bomber gets 8th in WCS AM S3 Premier
This would change HerO's Blizzcon chances
from ~ 2.55 % to ~ 100 %

~ 1.26 % of the time
HerO gets 1st in WCS AM S3 Premier and
Polt gets 8th in WCS AM S3 Premier
This would change HerO's Blizzcon chances
from ~ 2.55 % to ~ 100 %

~ 1.01 % of the time
HerO gets 1st in WCS AM S3 Premier and
Scarlett wins their next match in WCS AM S3 Premier ro16
This would change HerO's Blizzcon chances
from ~ 2.55 % to ~ 100 %

~ 0.76 % of the time
HerO gets 1st in WCS AM S3 Premier and
iaguz wins their next match in WCS AM S3 Premier ro16
This would change HerO's Blizzcon chances
from ~ 2.55 % to ~ 100 %



I don't understand that 'events' spoiler. It says that if Scarlett wins WCS AM her chances go up to 100%, and then goes on to list a bunch of situations in which "if Scarlett wins WCS AM and x happens, Scarlett's chances go up to 100%". This would seem obviously true as following from the first possibility, but I don't see the point of mentioning them.

I mean, if Scarlett gets 1st in WCS AM S3 Premier
I get killed by a SCV pull in my next ladder game
This would change Scarlett's Blizzcon chances
from ~ 10.59 % to ~ 100 %

Scarlett gets 1st in WCS AM S3 Premier
It rains tomorrow
This would change Scarlett's Blizzcon chances
from ~ 10.59 % to ~ 100 %

Scarlett gets 1st in WCS AM S3 Premier
Khaydarin Amulet gets reinstated
This would change Scarlett's Blizzcon chances
from ~ 10.59 % to ~ 100 %

Scarlett gets 1st in WCS AM S3 Premier
Scarlett switches races to Protoss
This would change Scarlett's Blizzcon chances
from ~ 10.59 % to ~ 100 %

Not that this is a problem, I can only greatly respect the effort that was put into bringing us these stats, I just thought it was funny.
I bear this sig to commemorate the loss of the team icon that commemorated Oversky's 2008-2009 Proleague Round 1 performance.
KingofdaHipHop
Profile Blog Joined October 2013
United States25602 Posts
September 16 2014 22:02 GMT
#43
On September 17 2014 07:01 The_Templar wrote:
Show nested quote +
On September 17 2014 06:59 KingofdaHipHop wrote:
Random question do we know the deal with Red Bull DC and WCS points?

Redbull is giving out WCS points. Some players have to advance at least one round to get points though.

Does Cure get WCS points if he loses immediately because he won the qualifier or does that not count as a direct qualifier?
Rain | herO | sOs | Dear | Neeb | ByuN | INnoVation | Dream | ForGG | Maru | ByuL | Golden | Solar | Soulkey | Scarlett!!!
Larkin
Profile Blog Joined January 2012
United Kingdom7161 Posts
September 16 2014 22:02 GMT
#44
Boom. Seamless transition.
https://www.twitch.tv/ttalarkin - streams random stuff, high level teamleague, maybe even heroleague
AWalker9
Profile Blog Joined August 2013
United Kingdom7229 Posts
Last Edited: 2014-09-16 22:03:19
September 16 2014 22:02 GMT
#45
On September 17 2014 07:00 Penev wrote:
Show nested quote +
On September 17 2014 06:58 AWalker9 wrote:
On September 17 2014 06:57 The_Templar wrote:
On September 17 2014 06:49 Yorkie wrote:
On September 17 2014 06:29 Shellshock wrote:
HerO Hype

I don't even know what players you actually like anymore. You just arbitrarily troll in every thread

He likes soO


The biggest problem with liking soO is the eternal disappointment you get every final

But the ownage displayed before the finals though. DELICIOUS


But that's what makes the heartbreak in the final even worse
soOjwa has returned to smite all that stand in his way
Scarlett`
Profile Joined April 2011
Canada2379 Posts
September 16 2014 22:03 GMT
#46
On September 17 2014 07:01 Fanatic-Templar wrote:
Scarlett gets 1st in WCS AM S3 Premier
Scarlett switches races to Protoss
This would change Scarlett's Blizzcon chances
from ~ 10.59 % to ~ 100 %

I'm sure it would
Progamer一条咸鱼
Circumstance
Profile Blog Joined March 2014
United States11403 Posts
September 16 2014 22:03 GMT
#47
On September 17 2014 07:02 KingofdaHipHop wrote:
Show nested quote +
On September 17 2014 07:01 The_Templar wrote:
On September 17 2014 06:59 KingofdaHipHop wrote:
Random question do we know the deal with Red Bull DC and WCS points?

Redbull is giving out WCS points. Some players have to advance at least one round to get points though.

Does Cure get WCS points if he loses immediately because he won the qualifier or does that not count as a direct qualifier?


Cure, Scarlett, and DRG get points automatically, because they got in through winning events that did not themselves offer WCS points.
The world is better when every background has a chance.
Topin
Profile Blog Joined December 2010
Peru10044 Posts
September 16 2014 22:03 GMT
#48
Scarlett Iaguz #thedream
i would define my style between a mix of ByuN, Maru and MKP
Shellshock
Profile Blog Joined March 2011
United States97276 Posts
September 16 2014 22:03 GMT
#49
On September 17 2014 07:01 The_Templar wrote:
Show nested quote +
On September 17 2014 06:59 KingofdaHipHop wrote:
Random question do we know the deal with Red Bull DC and WCS points?

Redbull is giving out WCS points. Some players have to advance at least one round to get points though.

ha. I figured they would. I remember there was some big argument about it in some LR thread a few weeks back
Moderatorhttp://i.imgur.com/U4xwqmD.png
TL+ Member
loft
Profile Joined July 2009
United States344 Posts
September 16 2014 22:04 GMT
#50
oh shiz is scarlett playing toss?
Penev
Profile Joined October 2012
28453 Posts
September 16 2014 22:04 GMT
#51
On September 17 2014 07:02 AWalker9 wrote:
Show nested quote +
On September 17 2014 07:00 Penev wrote:
On September 17 2014 06:58 AWalker9 wrote:
On September 17 2014 06:57 The_Templar wrote:
On September 17 2014 06:49 Yorkie wrote:
On September 17 2014 06:29 Shellshock wrote:
HerO Hype

I don't even know what players you actually like anymore. You just arbitrarily troll in every thread

He likes soO


The biggest problem with liking soO is the eternal disappointment you get every final

But the ownage displayed before the finals though. DELICIOUS


But that's what makes the heartbreak in the final even worse

I survived Bombers law. I'll live
I Protoss winner, could it be?
KingofdaHipHop
Profile Blog Joined October 2013
United States25602 Posts
September 16 2014 22:04 GMT
#52
On September 17 2014 07:03 Acer.Scarlett` wrote:
Show nested quote +
On September 17 2014 07:01 Fanatic-Templar wrote:
Scarlett gets 1st in WCS AM S3 Premier
Scarlett switches races to Protoss
This would change Scarlett's Blizzcon chances
from ~ 10.59 % to ~ 100 %

I'm sure it would

Teasing us for a PvZ against viOLet?
Rain | herO | sOs | Dear | Neeb | ByuN | INnoVation | Dream | ForGG | Maru | ByuL | Golden | Solar | Soulkey | Scarlett!!!
AWalker9
Profile Blog Joined August 2013
United Kingdom7229 Posts
September 16 2014 22:04 GMT
#53
On September 17 2014 07:03 Shellshock wrote:
Show nested quote +
On September 17 2014 07:01 The_Templar wrote:
On September 17 2014 06:59 KingofdaHipHop wrote:
Random question do we know the deal with Red Bull DC and WCS points?

Redbull is giving out WCS points. Some players have to advance at least one round to get points though.

ha. I figured they would. I remember there was some big argument about it in some LR thread a few weeks back


The race to stop sOs from getting points begins
soOjwa has returned to smite all that stand in his way
mikumegurine
Profile Joined May 2013
Canada3145 Posts
September 16 2014 22:05 GMT
#54
demoing newegg and CM storm products during the stream

advertisements is not enough, we need the actual hosts and commentors to demo and introduce our products!
stuchiu
Profile Blog Joined June 2010
Fiddler's Green42661 Posts
September 16 2014 22:05 GMT
#55
On September 17 2014 07:00 stuchiu wrote:
Show nested quote +
On September 17 2014 06:49 Yorkie wrote:
On September 17 2014 06:29 Shellshock wrote:
HerO Hype

I don't even know what players you actually like anymore. You just arbitrarily troll in every thread


He loves San. He likes soO. He hates Hyun and TSL Zergs. He mostly likes Taeja. He used to love MKP, but like fionn became disillusioned as MKP never grew up.

I think.


Oh and he likes Sniper. That's everyone I think.
Moderator
Circumstance
Profile Blog Joined March 2014
United States11403 Posts
September 16 2014 22:05 GMT
#56
It occurs to me that nobody has said "I dunno Kev" while casting with Qxc yet. I am disappointed by this fact.
The world is better when every background has a chance.
Shellshock
Profile Blog Joined March 2011
United States97276 Posts
September 16 2014 22:06 GMT
#57
On September 17 2014 07:05 stuchiu wrote:
Show nested quote +
On September 17 2014 07:00 stuchiu wrote:
On September 17 2014 06:49 Yorkie wrote:
On September 17 2014 06:29 Shellshock wrote:
HerO Hype

I don't even know what players you actually like anymore. You just arbitrarily troll in every thread


He loves San. He likes soO. He hates Hyun and TSL Zergs. He mostly likes Taeja. He used to love MKP, but like fionn became disillusioned as MKP never grew up.

I think.


Oh and he likes Sniper. That's everyone I think.

I like Maru and sOs too but the rest is pretty good
Moderatorhttp://i.imgur.com/U4xwqmD.png
TL+ Member
AWalker9
Profile Blog Joined August 2013
United Kingdom7229 Posts
September 16 2014 22:06 GMT
#58
On September 17 2014 07:05 stuchiu wrote:
Show nested quote +
On September 17 2014 07:00 stuchiu wrote:
On September 17 2014 06:49 Yorkie wrote:
On September 17 2014 06:29 Shellshock wrote:
HerO Hype

I don't even know what players you actually like anymore. You just arbitrarily troll in every thread


He loves San. He likes soO. He hates Hyun and TSL Zergs. He mostly likes Taeja. He used to love MKP, but like fionn became disillusioned as MKP never grew up.

I think.


Oh and he likes Sniper. That's everyone I think.


Does anyone actually hate Sniper anymore?
soOjwa has returned to smite all that stand in his way
Penev
Profile Joined October 2012
28453 Posts
September 16 2014 22:06 GMT
#59
On September 17 2014 07:06 AWalker9 wrote:
Show nested quote +
On September 17 2014 07:05 stuchiu wrote:
On September 17 2014 07:00 stuchiu wrote:
On September 17 2014 06:49 Yorkie wrote:
On September 17 2014 06:29 Shellshock wrote:
HerO Hype

I don't even know what players you actually like anymore. You just arbitrarily troll in every thread


He loves San. He likes soO. He hates Hyun and TSL Zergs. He mostly likes Taeja. He used to love MKP, but like fionn became disillusioned as MKP never grew up.

I think.


Oh and he likes Sniper. That's everyone I think.


Does anyone actually hate Sniper anymore?

Again; Who?
I Protoss winner, could it be?
Lorning *
Profile Blog Joined April 2011
Belgica34432 Posts
September 16 2014 22:07 GMT
#60
IAGUZ

YOU HAVE MY SWORD
Community News
TL+ Member
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