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wow tod so mean lol hope golden can't hear that :D
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On July 06 2014 00:33 Shellshock wrote:Show nested quote +On July 06 2014 00:32 jakethesnake wrote:On July 06 2014 00:31 Shellshock wrote:
Unfortunately I missed the games. Did MC play as passive/scared against San as he did when they met last season? No, he over corrected and got unnecessarily aggressive (classic MC style) and San had incredible engagements to MC's near A-move and just got outclassed. damn sounds like I missed some fun stuff
San's macro was on another level as well.
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VORTIX for the win. Show'em how it's done, man!
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practice for zvz? all you need is make roaches
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your Country52798 Posts
On July 06 2014 00:36 Noonius wrote:
practice for zvz? all you need is make roaches
Making roaches is hard T_T
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Its actually this season because the gsl is suppose to end on october 4th and kespa cup is september 12-14!!!
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On July 06 2014 00:36 Noonius wrote:
practice for zvz? all you need is make roaches
But you have to know when to make roaches and when to make drones.
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On July 05 2014 11:09 Die4Ever wrote:WCS Predictor says Starts in + Show Spoiler [MC, San in WCS EU S2 Premier] +WCS EU S2 Premier-   MC is at ~ 100 % chances to qualify for Blizzcon 2014 ~ 37.31 % of the time MC wins this match and their Blizzcon chances go up to ~ 100 %. ~ 62.69 % of the time MC loses this match and their Blizzcon chances go down to ~ 100 %. ------------------------------------------------- - San is at ~ 100 % chances to qualify for Blizzcon 2014 ~ 62.69 % of the time San wins this match and their Blizzcon chances go up to ~ 100 %. ~ 37.31 % of the time San loses this match and their Blizzcon chances go down to ~ 100 %. Starts in + Show Spoiler [VortiX, Golden in WCS EU S2 Premier] +WCS EU S2 Premier-   VortiX is at ~ 25.52 % chances to qualify for Blizzcon 2014 ~ 58.36 % of the time VortiX wins this match and their Blizzcon chances go up to ~ 37.44 %. ~ 41.64 % of the time VortiX loses this match and their Blizzcon chances go down to ~ 8.82 %. ------------------------------------------------- - Golden is at ~ 7.38 % chances to qualify for Blizzcon 2014 ~ 41.64 % of the time Golden wins this match and their Blizzcon chances go up to ~ 14.87 %. ~ 58.36 % of the time Golden loses this match and their Blizzcon chances go down to ~ 2.03 %. Starts in + Show Spoiler [ForGG, Welmu in WCS EU S2 Premier] +WCS EU S2 Premier-  ForGG is at ~ 39.18 % chances to qualify for Blizzcon 2014 ~ 62.22 % of the time ForGG wins this match and their Blizzcon chances go up to ~ 53.56 %. ~ 37.78 % of the time ForGG loses this match and their Blizzcon chances go down to ~ 15.48 %. ------------------------------------------------- -  Welmu is at ~ 12.27 % chances to qualify for Blizzcon 2014 ~ 37.78 % of the time Welmu wins this match and their Blizzcon chances go up to ~ 26.79 %. ~ 62.22 % of the time Welmu loses this match and their Blizzcon chances go down to ~ 3.45 %. Starts in + Show Spoiler [First, StarDust in WCS EU S2 Premier] +WCS EU S2 Premier- First is at ~ 21.01 % chances to qualify for Blizzcon 2014 ~ 51.36 % of the time First wins this match and their Blizzcon chances go up to ~ 35.23 %. ~ 48.64 % of the time First loses this match and their Blizzcon chances go down to ~ 5.98 %. ------------------------------------------------- - StarDust is at ~ 83.45 % chances to qualify for Blizzcon 2014 ~ 48.64 % of the time StarDust wins this match and their Blizzcon chances go up to ~ 96.61 %. ~ 51.36 % of the time StarDust loses this match and their Blizzcon chances go down to ~ 70.99 %. WCS EU S2 Premier San has a ~ 22.84 % chance to win. This would increase their Blizzcon chances from ~ 100 % to ~ 100 % ForGG has a ~ 16.05 % chance to win. This would increase their Blizzcon chances from ~ 39.18 % to ~ 99.99 % StarDust has a ~ 14.09 % chance to win. This would increase their Blizzcon chances from ~ 83.45 % to ~ 100 % First has a ~ 13.25 % chance to win. This would increase their Blizzcon chances from ~ 21.01 % to ~ 95.7 % VortiX has a ~ 13.23 % chance to win. This would increase their Blizzcon chances from ~ 25.52 % to ~ 99.69 % MC has a ~ 10.16 % chance to win. This would increase their Blizzcon chances from ~ 100 % to ~ 100 % Golden has a ~ 5.47 % chance to win. This would increase their Blizzcon chances from ~ 7.38 % to ~ 80.55 % Welmu has a ~ 4.91 % chance to win. This would increase their Blizzcon chances from ~ 12.27 % to ~ 99.99 % WCS EU Page http://sc2.4ever.tv/?page=tournament&tid=17http://sc2.4ever.tv/
How does Vortix start with a higher chance of going to blizzcon than Welmu, yet if Welmu wins his chances go up to higher than vortix's chance if he were win?
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United States11403 Posts
Heh, Vortix's picture is still the Mouz one.
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United Kingdom10443 Posts
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On July 06 2014 00:38 chipmonklord17 wrote:Show nested quote +On July 05 2014 11:09 Die4Ever wrote:WCS Predictor says Starts in + Show Spoiler [MC, San in WCS EU S2 Premier] +WCS EU S2 Premier- MC is at ~ 100 % chances to qualify for Blizzcon 2014 ~ 37.31 % of the time MC wins this match and their Blizzcon chances go up to ~ 100 %. ~ 62.69 % of the time MC loses this match and their Blizzcon chances go down to ~ 100 %. ------------------------------------------------- - San is at ~ 100 % chances to qualify for Blizzcon 2014 ~ 62.69 % of the time San wins this match and their Blizzcon chances go up to ~ 100 %. ~ 37.31 % of the time San loses this match and their Blizzcon chances go down to ~ 100 %. Starts in + Show Spoiler [VortiX, Golden in WCS EU S2 Premier] +WCS EU S2 Premier- VortiX is at ~ 25.52 % chances to qualify for Blizzcon 2014 ~ 58.36 % of the time VortiX wins this match and their Blizzcon chances go up to ~ 37.44 %. ~ 41.64 % of the time VortiX loses this match and their Blizzcon chances go down to ~ 8.82 %. ------------------------------------------------- - Golden is at ~ 7.38 % chances to qualify for Blizzcon 2014 ~ 41.64 % of the time Golden wins this match and their Blizzcon chances go up to ~ 14.87 %. ~ 58.36 % of the time Golden loses this match and their Blizzcon chances go down to ~ 2.03 %. Starts in + Show Spoiler [ForGG, Welmu in WCS EU S2 Premier] +WCS EU S2 Premier- ForGG is at ~ 39.18 % chances to qualify for Blizzcon 2014 ~ 62.22 % of the time ForGG wins this match and their Blizzcon chances go up to ~ 53.56 %. ~ 37.78 % of the time ForGG loses this match and their Blizzcon chances go down to ~ 15.48 %. ------------------------------------------------- - Welmu is at ~ 12.27 % chances to qualify for Blizzcon 2014 ~ 37.78 % of the time Welmu wins this match and their Blizzcon chances go up to ~ 26.79 %. ~ 62.22 % of the time Welmu loses this match and their Blizzcon chances go down to ~ 3.45 %. Starts in + Show Spoiler [First, StarDust in WCS EU S2 Premier] +WCS EU S2 Premier- First is at ~ 21.01 % chances to qualify for Blizzcon 2014 ~ 51.36 % of the time First wins this match and their Blizzcon chances go up to ~ 35.23 %. ~ 48.64 % of the time First loses this match and their Blizzcon chances go down to ~ 5.98 %. ------------------------------------------------- - StarDust is at ~ 83.45 % chances to qualify for Blizzcon 2014 ~ 48.64 % of the time StarDust wins this match and their Blizzcon chances go up to ~ 96.61 %. ~ 51.36 % of the time StarDust loses this match and their Blizzcon chances go down to ~ 70.99 %. WCS EU S2 Premier San has a ~ 22.84 % chance to win. This would increase their Blizzcon chances from ~ 100 % to ~ 100 % ForGG has a ~ 16.05 % chance to win. This would increase their Blizzcon chances from ~ 39.18 % to ~ 99.99 % StarDust has a ~ 14.09 % chance to win. This would increase their Blizzcon chances from ~ 83.45 % to ~ 100 % First has a ~ 13.25 % chance to win. This would increase their Blizzcon chances from ~ 21.01 % to ~ 95.7 % VortiX has a ~ 13.23 % chance to win. This would increase their Blizzcon chances from ~ 25.52 % to ~ 99.69 % MC has a ~ 10.16 % chance to win. This would increase their Blizzcon chances from ~ 100 % to ~ 100 % Golden has a ~ 5.47 % chance to win. This would increase their Blizzcon chances from ~ 7.38 % to ~ 80.55 % Welmu has a ~ 4.91 % chance to win. This would increase their Blizzcon chances from ~ 12.27 % to ~ 99.99 % WCS EU Page http://sc2.4ever.tv/?page=tournament&tid=17http://sc2.4ever.tv/ How does Vortix start with a higher chance of going to blizzcon than Welmu, yet if Welmu wins his chances go up to higher than vortix's chance if he were win?
um..... thats how math works.
welmu has lower points than vortix. vortix is already closer to the average points of top 16 than welmu.
Its the same as saying.
if soo won vs classic he would get from 90% to 100%
but if classic wins its ~1% -> 99.9%
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your Country52798 Posts
On July 06 2014 00:38 chipmonklord17 wrote:Show nested quote +On July 05 2014 11:09 Die4Ever wrote:WCS Predictor says Starts in + Show Spoiler [MC, San in WCS EU S2 Premier] +WCS EU S2 Premier- MC is at ~ 100 % chances to qualify for Blizzcon 2014 ~ 37.31 % of the time MC wins this match and their Blizzcon chances go up to ~ 100 %. ~ 62.69 % of the time MC loses this match and their Blizzcon chances go down to ~ 100 %. ------------------------------------------------- - San is at ~ 100 % chances to qualify for Blizzcon 2014 ~ 62.69 % of the time San wins this match and their Blizzcon chances go up to ~ 100 %. ~ 37.31 % of the time San loses this match and their Blizzcon chances go down to ~ 100 %. Starts in + Show Spoiler [VortiX, Golden in WCS EU S2 Premier] +WCS EU S2 Premier- VortiX is at ~ 25.52 % chances to qualify for Blizzcon 2014 ~ 58.36 % of the time VortiX wins this match and their Blizzcon chances go up to ~ 37.44 %. ~ 41.64 % of the time VortiX loses this match and their Blizzcon chances go down to ~ 8.82 %. ------------------------------------------------- - Golden is at ~ 7.38 % chances to qualify for Blizzcon 2014 ~ 41.64 % of the time Golden wins this match and their Blizzcon chances go up to ~ 14.87 %. ~ 58.36 % of the time Golden loses this match and their Blizzcon chances go down to ~ 2.03 %. Starts in + Show Spoiler [ForGG, Welmu in WCS EU S2 Premier] +WCS EU S2 Premier- ForGG is at ~ 39.18 % chances to qualify for Blizzcon 2014 ~ 62.22 % of the time ForGG wins this match and their Blizzcon chances go up to ~ 53.56 %. ~ 37.78 % of the time ForGG loses this match and their Blizzcon chances go down to ~ 15.48 %. ------------------------------------------------- - Welmu is at ~ 12.27 % chances to qualify for Blizzcon 2014 ~ 37.78 % of the time Welmu wins this match and their Blizzcon chances go up to ~ 26.79 %. ~ 62.22 % of the time Welmu loses this match and their Blizzcon chances go down to ~ 3.45 %. Starts in + Show Spoiler [First, StarDust in WCS EU S2 Premier] +WCS EU S2 Premier- First is at ~ 21.01 % chances to qualify for Blizzcon 2014 ~ 51.36 % of the time First wins this match and their Blizzcon chances go up to ~ 35.23 %. ~ 48.64 % of the time First loses this match and their Blizzcon chances go down to ~ 5.98 %. ------------------------------------------------- - StarDust is at ~ 83.45 % chances to qualify for Blizzcon 2014 ~ 48.64 % of the time StarDust wins this match and their Blizzcon chances go up to ~ 96.61 %. ~ 51.36 % of the time StarDust loses this match and their Blizzcon chances go down to ~ 70.99 %. WCS EU S2 Premier San has a ~ 22.84 % chance to win. This would increase their Blizzcon chances from ~ 100 % to ~ 100 % ForGG has a ~ 16.05 % chance to win. This would increase their Blizzcon chances from ~ 39.18 % to ~ 99.99 % StarDust has a ~ 14.09 % chance to win. This would increase their Blizzcon chances from ~ 83.45 % to ~ 100 % First has a ~ 13.25 % chance to win. This would increase their Blizzcon chances from ~ 21.01 % to ~ 95.7 % VortiX has a ~ 13.23 % chance to win. This would increase their Blizzcon chances from ~ 25.52 % to ~ 99.69 % MC has a ~ 10.16 % chance to win. This would increase their Blizzcon chances from ~ 100 % to ~ 100 % Golden has a ~ 5.47 % chance to win. This would increase their Blizzcon chances from ~ 7.38 % to ~ 80.55 % Welmu has a ~ 4.91 % chance to win. This would increase their Blizzcon chances from ~ 12.27 % to ~ 99.99 % WCS EU Page http://sc2.4ever.tv/?page=tournament&tid=17http://sc2.4ever.tv/ How does Vortix start with a higher chance of going to blizzcon than Welmu, yet if Welmu wins his chances go up to higher than vortix's chance if he were win?
Because ForGG and Stardust/First get knocked out probably.
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On July 06 2014 00:38 chipmonklord17 wrote:Show nested quote +On July 05 2014 11:09 Die4Ever wrote:WCS Predictor says Starts in + Show Spoiler [MC, San in WCS EU S2 Premier] +WCS EU S2 Premier- MC is at ~ 100 % chances to qualify for Blizzcon 2014 ~ 37.31 % of the time MC wins this match and their Blizzcon chances go up to ~ 100 %. ~ 62.69 % of the time MC loses this match and their Blizzcon chances go down to ~ 100 %. ------------------------------------------------- - San is at ~ 100 % chances to qualify for Blizzcon 2014 ~ 62.69 % of the time San wins this match and their Blizzcon chances go up to ~ 100 %. ~ 37.31 % of the time San loses this match and their Blizzcon chances go down to ~ 100 %. Starts in + Show Spoiler [VortiX, Golden in WCS EU S2 Premier] +WCS EU S2 Premier- VortiX is at ~ 25.52 % chances to qualify for Blizzcon 2014 ~ 58.36 % of the time VortiX wins this match and their Blizzcon chances go up to ~ 37.44 %. ~ 41.64 % of the time VortiX loses this match and their Blizzcon chances go down to ~ 8.82 %. ------------------------------------------------- - Golden is at ~ 7.38 % chances to qualify for Blizzcon 2014 ~ 41.64 % of the time Golden wins this match and their Blizzcon chances go up to ~ 14.87 %. ~ 58.36 % of the time Golden loses this match and their Blizzcon chances go down to ~ 2.03 %. Starts in + Show Spoiler [ForGG, Welmu in WCS EU S2 Premier] +WCS EU S2 Premier- ForGG is at ~ 39.18 % chances to qualify for Blizzcon 2014 ~ 62.22 % of the time ForGG wins this match and their Blizzcon chances go up to ~ 53.56 %. ~ 37.78 % of the time ForGG loses this match and their Blizzcon chances go down to ~ 15.48 %. ------------------------------------------------- - Welmu is at ~ 12.27 % chances to qualify for Blizzcon 2014 ~ 37.78 % of the time Welmu wins this match and their Blizzcon chances go up to ~ 26.79 %. ~ 62.22 % of the time Welmu loses this match and their Blizzcon chances go down to ~ 3.45 %. Starts in + Show Spoiler [First, StarDust in WCS EU S2 Premier] +WCS EU S2 Premier- First is at ~ 21.01 % chances to qualify for Blizzcon 2014 ~ 51.36 % of the time First wins this match and their Blizzcon chances go up to ~ 35.23 %. ~ 48.64 % of the time First loses this match and their Blizzcon chances go down to ~ 5.98 %. ------------------------------------------------- - StarDust is at ~ 83.45 % chances to qualify for Blizzcon 2014 ~ 48.64 % of the time StarDust wins this match and their Blizzcon chances go up to ~ 96.61 %. ~ 51.36 % of the time StarDust loses this match and their Blizzcon chances go down to ~ 70.99 %. WCS EU S2 Premier San has a ~ 22.84 % chance to win. This would increase their Blizzcon chances from ~ 100 % to ~ 100 % ForGG has a ~ 16.05 % chance to win. This would increase their Blizzcon chances from ~ 39.18 % to ~ 99.99 % StarDust has a ~ 14.09 % chance to win. This would increase their Blizzcon chances from ~ 83.45 % to ~ 100 % First has a ~ 13.25 % chance to win. This would increase their Blizzcon chances from ~ 21.01 % to ~ 95.7 % VortiX has a ~ 13.23 % chance to win. This would increase their Blizzcon chances from ~ 25.52 % to ~ 99.69 % MC has a ~ 10.16 % chance to win. This would increase their Blizzcon chances from ~ 100 % to ~ 100 % Golden has a ~ 5.47 % chance to win. This would increase their Blizzcon chances from ~ 7.38 % to ~ 80.55 % Welmu has a ~ 4.91 % chance to win. This would increase their Blizzcon chances from ~ 12.27 % to ~ 99.99 % WCS EU Page http://sc2.4ever.tv/?page=tournament&tid=17http://sc2.4ever.tv/ How does Vortix start with a higher chance of going to blizzcon than Welmu, yet if Welmu wins his chances go up to higher than vortix's chance if he were win?
I think it's because Vortix's next opponent, if he wins, is San, which is extremely favored for the latter, while Welmu would have a better chance in a PvP.
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United States11403 Posts
On July 06 2014 00:39 Xinzoe wrote:Show nested quote +On July 06 2014 00:38 chipmonklord17 wrote:On July 05 2014 11:09 Die4Ever wrote:WCS Predictor says Starts in + Show Spoiler [MC, San in WCS EU S2 Premier] +WCS EU S2 Premier- MC is at ~ 100 % chances to qualify for Blizzcon 2014 ~ 37.31 % of the time MC wins this match and their Blizzcon chances go up to ~ 100 %. ~ 62.69 % of the time MC loses this match and their Blizzcon chances go down to ~ 100 %. ------------------------------------------------- - San is at ~ 100 % chances to qualify for Blizzcon 2014 ~ 62.69 % of the time San wins this match and their Blizzcon chances go up to ~ 100 %. ~ 37.31 % of the time San loses this match and their Blizzcon chances go down to ~ 100 %. Starts in + Show Spoiler [VortiX, Golden in WCS EU S2 Premier] +WCS EU S2 Premier- VortiX is at ~ 25.52 % chances to qualify for Blizzcon 2014 ~ 58.36 % of the time VortiX wins this match and their Blizzcon chances go up to ~ 37.44 %. ~ 41.64 % of the time VortiX loses this match and their Blizzcon chances go down to ~ 8.82 %. ------------------------------------------------- - Golden is at ~ 7.38 % chances to qualify for Blizzcon 2014 ~ 41.64 % of the time Golden wins this match and their Blizzcon chances go up to ~ 14.87 %. ~ 58.36 % of the time Golden loses this match and their Blizzcon chances go down to ~ 2.03 %. Starts in + Show Spoiler [ForGG, Welmu in WCS EU S2 Premier] +WCS EU S2 Premier- ForGG is at ~ 39.18 % chances to qualify for Blizzcon 2014 ~ 62.22 % of the time ForGG wins this match and their Blizzcon chances go up to ~ 53.56 %. ~ 37.78 % of the time ForGG loses this match and their Blizzcon chances go down to ~ 15.48 %. ------------------------------------------------- - Welmu is at ~ 12.27 % chances to qualify for Blizzcon 2014 ~ 37.78 % of the time Welmu wins this match and their Blizzcon chances go up to ~ 26.79 %. ~ 62.22 % of the time Welmu loses this match and their Blizzcon chances go down to ~ 3.45 %. Starts in + Show Spoiler [First, StarDust in WCS EU S2 Premier] +WCS EU S2 Premier- First is at ~ 21.01 % chances to qualify for Blizzcon 2014 ~ 51.36 % of the time First wins this match and their Blizzcon chances go up to ~ 35.23 %. ~ 48.64 % of the time First loses this match and their Blizzcon chances go down to ~ 5.98 %. ------------------------------------------------- - StarDust is at ~ 83.45 % chances to qualify for Blizzcon 2014 ~ 48.64 % of the time StarDust wins this match and their Blizzcon chances go up to ~ 96.61 %. ~ 51.36 % of the time StarDust loses this match and their Blizzcon chances go down to ~ 70.99 %. WCS EU S2 Premier San has a ~ 22.84 % chance to win. This would increase their Blizzcon chances from ~ 100 % to ~ 100 % ForGG has a ~ 16.05 % chance to win. This would increase their Blizzcon chances from ~ 39.18 % to ~ 99.99 % StarDust has a ~ 14.09 % chance to win. This would increase their Blizzcon chances from ~ 83.45 % to ~ 100 % First has a ~ 13.25 % chance to win. This would increase their Blizzcon chances from ~ 21.01 % to ~ 95.7 % VortiX has a ~ 13.23 % chance to win. This would increase their Blizzcon chances from ~ 25.52 % to ~ 99.69 % MC has a ~ 10.16 % chance to win. This would increase their Blizzcon chances from ~ 100 % to ~ 100 % Golden has a ~ 5.47 % chance to win. This would increase their Blizzcon chances from ~ 7.38 % to ~ 80.55 % Welmu has a ~ 4.91 % chance to win. This would increase their Blizzcon chances from ~ 12.27 % to ~ 99.99 % WCS EU Page http://sc2.4ever.tv/?page=tournament&tid=17http://sc2.4ever.tv/ How does Vortix start with a higher chance of going to blizzcon than Welmu, yet if Welmu wins his chances go up to higher than vortix's chance if he were win? um..... thats how math works. welmu has lower points than vortix. vortix is already closer to the average points of top 16 than welmu.
I think he's referring to the fact that even though Vortix's odds are currently higher, he's at 99.69% if he wins and Welmu's at 99.99% if he wins.
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On July 06 2014 00:39 Xinzoe wrote:Show nested quote +On July 06 2014 00:38 chipmonklord17 wrote:On July 05 2014 11:09 Die4Ever wrote:WCS Predictor says Starts in + Show Spoiler [MC, San in WCS EU S2 Premier] +WCS EU S2 Premier- MC is at ~ 100 % chances to qualify for Blizzcon 2014 ~ 37.31 % of the time MC wins this match and their Blizzcon chances go up to ~ 100 %. ~ 62.69 % of the time MC loses this match and their Blizzcon chances go down to ~ 100 %. ------------------------------------------------- - San is at ~ 100 % chances to qualify for Blizzcon 2014 ~ 62.69 % of the time San wins this match and their Blizzcon chances go up to ~ 100 %. ~ 37.31 % of the time San loses this match and their Blizzcon chances go down to ~ 100 %. Starts in + Show Spoiler [VortiX, Golden in WCS EU S2 Premier] +WCS EU S2 Premier- VortiX is at ~ 25.52 % chances to qualify for Blizzcon 2014 ~ 58.36 % of the time VortiX wins this match and their Blizzcon chances go up to ~ 37.44 %. ~ 41.64 % of the time VortiX loses this match and their Blizzcon chances go down to ~ 8.82 %. ------------------------------------------------- - Golden is at ~ 7.38 % chances to qualify for Blizzcon 2014 ~ 41.64 % of the time Golden wins this match and their Blizzcon chances go up to ~ 14.87 %. ~ 58.36 % of the time Golden loses this match and their Blizzcon chances go down to ~ 2.03 %. Starts in + Show Spoiler [ForGG, Welmu in WCS EU S2 Premier] +WCS EU S2 Premier- ForGG is at ~ 39.18 % chances to qualify for Blizzcon 2014 ~ 62.22 % of the time ForGG wins this match and their Blizzcon chances go up to ~ 53.56 %. ~ 37.78 % of the time ForGG loses this match and their Blizzcon chances go down to ~ 15.48 %. ------------------------------------------------- - Welmu is at ~ 12.27 % chances to qualify for Blizzcon 2014 ~ 37.78 % of the time Welmu wins this match and their Blizzcon chances go up to ~ 26.79 %. ~ 62.22 % of the time Welmu loses this match and their Blizzcon chances go down to ~ 3.45 %. Starts in + Show Spoiler [First, StarDust in WCS EU S2 Premier] +WCS EU S2 Premier- First is at ~ 21.01 % chances to qualify for Blizzcon 2014 ~ 51.36 % of the time First wins this match and their Blizzcon chances go up to ~ 35.23 %. ~ 48.64 % of the time First loses this match and their Blizzcon chances go down to ~ 5.98 %. ------------------------------------------------- - StarDust is at ~ 83.45 % chances to qualify for Blizzcon 2014 ~ 48.64 % of the time StarDust wins this match and their Blizzcon chances go up to ~ 96.61 %. ~ 51.36 % of the time StarDust loses this match and their Blizzcon chances go down to ~ 70.99 %. WCS EU S2 Premier San has a ~ 22.84 % chance to win. This would increase their Blizzcon chances from ~ 100 % to ~ 100 % ForGG has a ~ 16.05 % chance to win. This would increase their Blizzcon chances from ~ 39.18 % to ~ 99.99 % StarDust has a ~ 14.09 % chance to win. This would increase their Blizzcon chances from ~ 83.45 % to ~ 100 % First has a ~ 13.25 % chance to win. This would increase their Blizzcon chances from ~ 21.01 % to ~ 95.7 % VortiX has a ~ 13.23 % chance to win. This would increase their Blizzcon chances from ~ 25.52 % to ~ 99.69 % MC has a ~ 10.16 % chance to win. This would increase their Blizzcon chances from ~ 100 % to ~ 100 % Golden has a ~ 5.47 % chance to win. This would increase their Blizzcon chances from ~ 7.38 % to ~ 80.55 % Welmu has a ~ 4.91 % chance to win. This would increase their Blizzcon chances from ~ 12.27 % to ~ 99.99 % WCS EU Page http://sc2.4ever.tv/?page=tournament&tid=17http://sc2.4ever.tv/ How does Vortix start with a higher chance of going to blizzcon than Welmu, yet if Welmu wins his chances go up to higher than vortix's chance if he were win? um..... thats how math works. welmu has lower points than vortix. vortix is already closer to the average points of top 16 than welmu.
If he's closer to already being in than him getting the same number of points puts him 'farther in' for a lack of a better term and should mean he has a higher chance of making blizzcon. Not lower
On July 06 2014 00:40 Circumstance wrote:Show nested quote +On July 06 2014 00:39 Xinzoe wrote:On July 06 2014 00:38 chipmonklord17 wrote:On July 05 2014 11:09 Die4Ever wrote:WCS Predictor says Starts in + Show Spoiler [MC, San in WCS EU S2 Premier] +WCS EU S2 Premier- MC is at ~ 100 % chances to qualify for Blizzcon 2014 ~ 37.31 % of the time MC wins this match and their Blizzcon chances go up to ~ 100 %. ~ 62.69 % of the time MC loses this match and their Blizzcon chances go down to ~ 100 %. ------------------------------------------------- - San is at ~ 100 % chances to qualify for Blizzcon 2014 ~ 62.69 % of the time San wins this match and their Blizzcon chances go up to ~ 100 %. ~ 37.31 % of the time San loses this match and their Blizzcon chances go down to ~ 100 %. Starts in + Show Spoiler [VortiX, Golden in WCS EU S2 Premier] +WCS EU S2 Premier- VortiX is at ~ 25.52 % chances to qualify for Blizzcon 2014 ~ 58.36 % of the time VortiX wins this match and their Blizzcon chances go up to ~ 37.44 %. ~ 41.64 % of the time VortiX loses this match and their Blizzcon chances go down to ~ 8.82 %. ------------------------------------------------- - Golden is at ~ 7.38 % chances to qualify for Blizzcon 2014 ~ 41.64 % of the time Golden wins this match and their Blizzcon chances go up to ~ 14.87 %. ~ 58.36 % of the time Golden loses this match and their Blizzcon chances go down to ~ 2.03 %. Starts in + Show Spoiler [ForGG, Welmu in WCS EU S2 Premier] +WCS EU S2 Premier- ForGG is at ~ 39.18 % chances to qualify for Blizzcon 2014 ~ 62.22 % of the time ForGG wins this match and their Blizzcon chances go up to ~ 53.56 %. ~ 37.78 % of the time ForGG loses this match and their Blizzcon chances go down to ~ 15.48 %. ------------------------------------------------- - Welmu is at ~ 12.27 % chances to qualify for Blizzcon 2014 ~ 37.78 % of the time Welmu wins this match and their Blizzcon chances go up to ~ 26.79 %. ~ 62.22 % of the time Welmu loses this match and their Blizzcon chances go down to ~ 3.45 %. Starts in + Show Spoiler [First, StarDust in WCS EU S2 Premier] +WCS EU S2 Premier- First is at ~ 21.01 % chances to qualify for Blizzcon 2014 ~ 51.36 % of the time First wins this match and their Blizzcon chances go up to ~ 35.23 %. ~ 48.64 % of the time First loses this match and their Blizzcon chances go down to ~ 5.98 %. ------------------------------------------------- - StarDust is at ~ 83.45 % chances to qualify for Blizzcon 2014 ~ 48.64 % of the time StarDust wins this match and their Blizzcon chances go up to ~ 96.61 %. ~ 51.36 % of the time StarDust loses this match and their Blizzcon chances go down to ~ 70.99 %. WCS EU S2 Premier San has a ~ 22.84 % chance to win. This would increase their Blizzcon chances from ~ 100 % to ~ 100 % ForGG has a ~ 16.05 % chance to win. This would increase their Blizzcon chances from ~ 39.18 % to ~ 99.99 % StarDust has a ~ 14.09 % chance to win. This would increase their Blizzcon chances from ~ 83.45 % to ~ 100 % First has a ~ 13.25 % chance to win. This would increase their Blizzcon chances from ~ 21.01 % to ~ 95.7 % VortiX has a ~ 13.23 % chance to win. This would increase their Blizzcon chances from ~ 25.52 % to ~ 99.69 % MC has a ~ 10.16 % chance to win. This would increase their Blizzcon chances from ~ 100 % to ~ 100 % Golden has a ~ 5.47 % chance to win. This would increase their Blizzcon chances from ~ 7.38 % to ~ 80.55 % Welmu has a ~ 4.91 % chance to win. This would increase their Blizzcon chances from ~ 12.27 % to ~ 99.99 % WCS EU Page http://sc2.4ever.tv/?page=tournament&tid=17http://sc2.4ever.tv/ How does Vortix start with a higher chance of going to blizzcon than Welmu, yet if Welmu wins his chances go up to higher than vortix's chance if he were win? um..... thats how math works. welmu has lower points than vortix. vortix is already closer to the average points of top 16 than welmu. I think he's referring to the fact that even though Vortix's odds are currently higher, he's at 99.69% if he wins and Welmu's at 99.99% if he wins.
Yea that's what I'm referring to for reference
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United States97276 Posts
On July 06 2014 00:41 Yorkie wrote:
Let's go Golden!
Let's go Vortix!
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your Country52798 Posts
On July 06 2014 00:41 chipmonklord17 wrote:Show nested quote +On July 06 2014 00:39 Xinzoe wrote:On July 06 2014 00:38 chipmonklord17 wrote:On July 05 2014 11:09 Die4Ever wrote:WCS Predictor says Starts in + Show Spoiler [MC, San in WCS EU S2 Premier] +WCS EU S2 Premier- MC is at ~ 100 % chances to qualify for Blizzcon 2014 ~ 37.31 % of the time MC wins this match and their Blizzcon chances go up to ~ 100 %. ~ 62.69 % of the time MC loses this match and their Blizzcon chances go down to ~ 100 %. ------------------------------------------------- - San is at ~ 100 % chances to qualify for Blizzcon 2014 ~ 62.69 % of the time San wins this match and their Blizzcon chances go up to ~ 100 %. ~ 37.31 % of the time San loses this match and their Blizzcon chances go down to ~ 100 %. Starts in + Show Spoiler [VortiX, Golden in WCS EU S2 Premier] +WCS EU S2 Premier- VortiX is at ~ 25.52 % chances to qualify for Blizzcon 2014 ~ 58.36 % of the time VortiX wins this match and their Blizzcon chances go up to ~ 37.44 %. ~ 41.64 % of the time VortiX loses this match and their Blizzcon chances go down to ~ 8.82 %. ------------------------------------------------- - Golden is at ~ 7.38 % chances to qualify for Blizzcon 2014 ~ 41.64 % of the time Golden wins this match and their Blizzcon chances go up to ~ 14.87 %. ~ 58.36 % of the time Golden loses this match and their Blizzcon chances go down to ~ 2.03 %. Starts in + Show Spoiler [ForGG, Welmu in WCS EU S2 Premier] +WCS EU S2 Premier- ForGG is at ~ 39.18 % chances to qualify for Blizzcon 2014 ~ 62.22 % of the time ForGG wins this match and their Blizzcon chances go up to ~ 53.56 %. ~ 37.78 % of the time ForGG loses this match and their Blizzcon chances go down to ~ 15.48 %. ------------------------------------------------- - Welmu is at ~ 12.27 % chances to qualify for Blizzcon 2014 ~ 37.78 % of the time Welmu wins this match and their Blizzcon chances go up to ~ 26.79 %. ~ 62.22 % of the time Welmu loses this match and their Blizzcon chances go down to ~ 3.45 %. Starts in + Show Spoiler [First, StarDust in WCS EU S2 Premier] +WCS EU S2 Premier- First is at ~ 21.01 % chances to qualify for Blizzcon 2014 ~ 51.36 % of the time First wins this match and their Blizzcon chances go up to ~ 35.23 %. ~ 48.64 % of the time First loses this match and their Blizzcon chances go down to ~ 5.98 %. ------------------------------------------------- - StarDust is at ~ 83.45 % chances to qualify for Blizzcon 2014 ~ 48.64 % of the time StarDust wins this match and their Blizzcon chances go up to ~ 96.61 %. ~ 51.36 % of the time StarDust loses this match and their Blizzcon chances go down to ~ 70.99 %. WCS EU S2 Premier San has a ~ 22.84 % chance to win. This would increase their Blizzcon chances from ~ 100 % to ~ 100 % ForGG has a ~ 16.05 % chance to win. This would increase their Blizzcon chances from ~ 39.18 % to ~ 99.99 % StarDust has a ~ 14.09 % chance to win. This would increase their Blizzcon chances from ~ 83.45 % to ~ 100 % First has a ~ 13.25 % chance to win. This would increase their Blizzcon chances from ~ 21.01 % to ~ 95.7 % VortiX has a ~ 13.23 % chance to win. This would increase their Blizzcon chances from ~ 25.52 % to ~ 99.69 % MC has a ~ 10.16 % chance to win. This would increase their Blizzcon chances from ~ 100 % to ~ 100 % Golden has a ~ 5.47 % chance to win. This would increase their Blizzcon chances from ~ 7.38 % to ~ 80.55 % Welmu has a ~ 4.91 % chance to win. This would increase their Blizzcon chances from ~ 12.27 % to ~ 99.99 % WCS EU Page http://sc2.4ever.tv/?page=tournament&tid=17http://sc2.4ever.tv/ How does Vortix start with a higher chance of going to blizzcon than Welmu, yet if Welmu wins his chances go up to higher than vortix's chance if he were win? um..... thats how math works. welmu has lower points than vortix. vortix is already closer to the average points of top 16 than welmu. If he's closer to already being in than him getting the same number of points puts him 'farther in' for a lack of a better term and should mean he has a higher chance of making blizzcon. Not lower Show nested quote +On July 06 2014 00:40 Circumstance wrote:On July 06 2014 00:39 Xinzoe wrote:On July 06 2014 00:38 chipmonklord17 wrote:On July 05 2014 11:09 Die4Ever wrote:WCS Predictor says Starts in + Show Spoiler [MC, San in WCS EU S2 Premier] +WCS EU S2 Premier- MC is at ~ 100 % chances to qualify for Blizzcon 2014 ~ 37.31 % of the time MC wins this match and their Blizzcon chances go up to ~ 100 %. ~ 62.69 % of the time MC loses this match and their Blizzcon chances go down to ~ 100 %. ------------------------------------------------- - San is at ~ 100 % chances to qualify for Blizzcon 2014 ~ 62.69 % of the time San wins this match and their Blizzcon chances go up to ~ 100 %. ~ 37.31 % of the time San loses this match and their Blizzcon chances go down to ~ 100 %. Starts in + Show Spoiler [VortiX, Golden in WCS EU S2 Premier] +WCS EU S2 Premier- VortiX is at ~ 25.52 % chances to qualify for Blizzcon 2014 ~ 58.36 % of the time VortiX wins this match and their Blizzcon chances go up to ~ 37.44 %. ~ 41.64 % of the time VortiX loses this match and their Blizzcon chances go down to ~ 8.82 %. ------------------------------------------------- - Golden is at ~ 7.38 % chances to qualify for Blizzcon 2014 ~ 41.64 % of the time Golden wins this match and their Blizzcon chances go up to ~ 14.87 %. ~ 58.36 % of the time Golden loses this match and their Blizzcon chances go down to ~ 2.03 %. Starts in + Show Spoiler [ForGG, Welmu in WCS EU S2 Premier] +WCS EU S2 Premier- ForGG is at ~ 39.18 % chances to qualify for Blizzcon 2014 ~ 62.22 % of the time ForGG wins this match and their Blizzcon chances go up to ~ 53.56 %. ~ 37.78 % of the time ForGG loses this match and their Blizzcon chances go down to ~ 15.48 %. ------------------------------------------------- - Welmu is at ~ 12.27 % chances to qualify for Blizzcon 2014 ~ 37.78 % of the time Welmu wins this match and their Blizzcon chances go up to ~ 26.79 %. ~ 62.22 % of the time Welmu loses this match and their Blizzcon chances go down to ~ 3.45 %. Starts in + Show Spoiler [First, StarDust in WCS EU S2 Premier] +WCS EU S2 Premier- First is at ~ 21.01 % chances to qualify for Blizzcon 2014 ~ 51.36 % of the time First wins this match and their Blizzcon chances go up to ~ 35.23 %. ~ 48.64 % of the time First loses this match and their Blizzcon chances go down to ~ 5.98 %. ------------------------------------------------- - StarDust is at ~ 83.45 % chances to qualify for Blizzcon 2014 ~ 48.64 % of the time StarDust wins this match and their Blizzcon chances go up to ~ 96.61 %. ~ 51.36 % of the time StarDust loses this match and their Blizzcon chances go down to ~ 70.99 %. WCS EU S2 Premier San has a ~ 22.84 % chance to win. This would increase their Blizzcon chances from ~ 100 % to ~ 100 % ForGG has a ~ 16.05 % chance to win. This would increase their Blizzcon chances from ~ 39.18 % to ~ 99.99 % StarDust has a ~ 14.09 % chance to win. This would increase their Blizzcon chances from ~ 83.45 % to ~ 100 % First has a ~ 13.25 % chance to win. This would increase their Blizzcon chances from ~ 21.01 % to ~ 95.7 % VortiX has a ~ 13.23 % chance to win. This would increase their Blizzcon chances from ~ 25.52 % to ~ 99.69 % MC has a ~ 10.16 % chance to win. This would increase their Blizzcon chances from ~ 100 % to ~ 100 % Golden has a ~ 5.47 % chance to win. This would increase their Blizzcon chances from ~ 7.38 % to ~ 80.55 % Welmu has a ~ 4.91 % chance to win. This would increase their Blizzcon chances from ~ 12.27 % to ~ 99.99 % WCS EU Page http://sc2.4ever.tv/?page=tournament&tid=17http://sc2.4ever.tv/ How does Vortix start with a higher chance of going to blizzcon than Welmu, yet if Welmu wins his chances go up to higher than vortix's chance if he were win? um..... thats how math works. welmu has lower points than vortix. vortix is already closer to the average points of top 16 than welmu. I think he's referring to the fact that even though Vortix's odds are currently higher, he's at 99.69% if he wins and Welmu's at 99.99% if he wins. Yea that's what I'm referring to for reference
On July 06 2014 00:39 The_Templar wrote:Show nested quote +On July 06 2014 00:38 chipmonklord17 wrote:On July 05 2014 11:09 Die4Ever wrote:WCS Predictor says Starts in + Show Spoiler [MC, San in WCS EU S2 Premier] +WCS EU S2 Premier- MC is at ~ 100 % chances to qualify for Blizzcon 2014 ~ 37.31 % of the time MC wins this match and their Blizzcon chances go up to ~ 100 %. ~ 62.69 % of the time MC loses this match and their Blizzcon chances go down to ~ 100 %. ------------------------------------------------- - San is at ~ 100 % chances to qualify for Blizzcon 2014 ~ 62.69 % of the time San wins this match and their Blizzcon chances go up to ~ 100 %. ~ 37.31 % of the time San loses this match and their Blizzcon chances go down to ~ 100 %. Starts in + Show Spoiler [VortiX, Golden in WCS EU S2 Premier] +WCS EU S2 Premier- VortiX is at ~ 25.52 % chances to qualify for Blizzcon 2014 ~ 58.36 % of the time VortiX wins this match and their Blizzcon chances go up to ~ 37.44 %. ~ 41.64 % of the time VortiX loses this match and their Blizzcon chances go down to ~ 8.82 %. ------------------------------------------------- - Golden is at ~ 7.38 % chances to qualify for Blizzcon 2014 ~ 41.64 % of the time Golden wins this match and their Blizzcon chances go up to ~ 14.87 %. ~ 58.36 % of the time Golden loses this match and their Blizzcon chances go down to ~ 2.03 %. Starts in + Show Spoiler [ForGG, Welmu in WCS EU S2 Premier] +WCS EU S2 Premier- ForGG is at ~ 39.18 % chances to qualify for Blizzcon 2014 ~ 62.22 % of the time ForGG wins this match and their Blizzcon chances go up to ~ 53.56 %. ~ 37.78 % of the time ForGG loses this match and their Blizzcon chances go down to ~ 15.48 %. ------------------------------------------------- - Welmu is at ~ 12.27 % chances to qualify for Blizzcon 2014 ~ 37.78 % of the time Welmu wins this match and their Blizzcon chances go up to ~ 26.79 %. ~ 62.22 % of the time Welmu loses this match and their Blizzcon chances go down to ~ 3.45 %. Starts in + Show Spoiler [First, StarDust in WCS EU S2 Premier] +WCS EU S2 Premier- First is at ~ 21.01 % chances to qualify for Blizzcon 2014 ~ 51.36 % of the time First wins this match and their Blizzcon chances go up to ~ 35.23 %. ~ 48.64 % of the time First loses this match and their Blizzcon chances go down to ~ 5.98 %. ------------------------------------------------- - StarDust is at ~ 83.45 % chances to qualify for Blizzcon 2014 ~ 48.64 % of the time StarDust wins this match and their Blizzcon chances go up to ~ 96.61 %. ~ 51.36 % of the time StarDust loses this match and their Blizzcon chances go down to ~ 70.99 %. WCS EU S2 Premier San has a ~ 22.84 % chance to win. This would increase their Blizzcon chances from ~ 100 % to ~ 100 % ForGG has a ~ 16.05 % chance to win. This would increase their Blizzcon chances from ~ 39.18 % to ~ 99.99 % StarDust has a ~ 14.09 % chance to win. This would increase their Blizzcon chances from ~ 83.45 % to ~ 100 % First has a ~ 13.25 % chance to win. This would increase their Blizzcon chances from ~ 21.01 % to ~ 95.7 % VortiX has a ~ 13.23 % chance to win. This would increase their Blizzcon chances from ~ 25.52 % to ~ 99.69 % MC has a ~ 10.16 % chance to win. This would increase their Blizzcon chances from ~ 100 % to ~ 100 % Golden has a ~ 5.47 % chance to win. This would increase their Blizzcon chances from ~ 7.38 % to ~ 80.55 % Welmu has a ~ 4.91 % chance to win. This would increase their Blizzcon chances from ~ 12.27 % to ~ 99.99 % WCS EU Page http://sc2.4ever.tv/?page=tournament&tid=17http://sc2.4ever.tv/ How does Vortix start with a higher chance of going to blizzcon than Welmu, yet if Welmu wins his chances go up to higher than vortix's chance if he were win? Because ForGG and Stardust/First get knocked out probably.
To clarify, ForGG and Stardust/First are less likely to challenge for a spot if Welmu makes the finals/wins.
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EPT
