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[N] TL Mafia LXXV - Page 13

Forum Index > TL Mafia
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Chezitwo
Profile Joined January 2015
United States553 Posts
June 23 2017 13:10 GMT
#5086
On June 23 2017 22:07 raynpelikoneet wrote:
Show nested quote +
On June 23 2017 15:55 Chezitwo wrote:
On June 23 2017 15:50 disformation wrote:
i dont believr va didnt shoot xata n1

voting va when i get to a pc

Nonono.

Why would he make that play? We can lynch him if he is still alive in LYLO. And if he is telling the truth then night3 was really good. The protective role can just claim whenever they are about to be lynched.

Makes me think BH either unnecessarily acted yesterday or he was just excited town.

Still want to murder rayn.

What an ungrateful basterd.

Chill dude. I am currently in the process of reading your filter and sadly it is a lot better than I thought.
Chezitwo
Profile Joined January 2015
United States553 Posts
June 23 2017 13:14 GMT
#5091
On June 23 2017 22:10 beentheredonethat wrote:
I'm currently filter Chezitwo and on page 12, no read, page 11, no read. Page 10, no read. Page 9, no read. Page 8, no read. Page 7, townread on Rels.

When he's in thread, he's always discussing stuff but never reaches a solid conclusion. He's not giving much information about where he stands and it is super hard to even identify who he reads how.

I fully retract my townread right now, especially given that sicklucker claimed a red check on Chez (although as parity cop, this is only possible if he checked Xata N1 which is super possible and super likely, too)


You Sir are once again talking straight out of your ass.
Chezitwo
Profile Joined January 2015
United States553 Posts
June 23 2017 13:23 GMT
#5103
On June 23 2017 22:18 raynpelikoneet wrote:
Also also i am glad i still have good reads. <3

You apparently do if you are town. I have to apologize - I lost my interest in lynching you while reading your filter. The really good posts happened mostly in the part of the game I still haven't read it seems.
Chezitwo
Profile Joined January 2015
United States553 Posts
June 23 2017 13:39 GMT
#5114
Yeah, seems we are in a pretty good position actually. Whoever is town in the questionable bunch needs to step the fuck up though.
Chezitwo
Profile Joined January 2015
United States553 Posts
June 23 2017 14:10 GMT
#5134
On June 23 2017 23:06 ruXxar wrote:
Show nested quote +
On June 23 2017 23:05 raynpelikoneet wrote:
On June 23 2017 23:02 ruXxar wrote:
On June 23 2017 22:55 beentheredonethat wrote:
On June 23 2017 22:46 ruXxar wrote:
On June 23 2017 22:45 beentheredonethat wrote:
On June 23 2017 22:44 ruXxar wrote:
as for btdt, I think he's just not reading the game at all.

He's just looking at a score sheet without follwing the game.

I can't trust any of his reads or theories.

Is that coming from the guy who does the weird things that don't make sense all the time ever since D1 happened?

Yeah that's exactly the guy.


Sure, but this is beyond bad:

On June 22 2017 18:48 beentheredonethat wrote:
On June 22 2017 08:01 Half the Sky wrote:
Final Vote Count - Day 3


Grackaroni (9): ruXxar, Fecalfeast, Chezitwo, beentheredonethat, VayneAuthority, Tumblewood, sicklucker, Blazinghand, raynpelikoneet, disformation, Palmar, Eversince
sicklucker (3): disformation, Palmar, Grackaroni, Rels, Skynx, Chezitwo, Grackaroni
Palmar (2): disformation, Grackaroni, disformation, Fecalfeast
VayneAuthority (1): Grackaroni
disformation (0): disformation
Rels (0): sicklucker, raynpelikoneet, Skynx
Fecalfeast (0): Tumblewood
Skynx (0): Palmar, Skynx
raynpelikoneet (0): Rels
ruXxar (0): Blazinghand
beentheredonethat (0): disformation

Half the Sky is throwing Grackaroni out of her whiskey bar.


Observations:
1 Pretty much uncontested Grack wagon
2 Votes in hammer range on town: Tumblewood, sicklucker, Blazinghand
3 Irrelevant votes: raynpelikoneet, Palmar (starting with Rayn as hammer because Fecalfeast was originally part of the Grack wagon)
4 "Counter wagon" votes: Rels, Skynx, Chezitwo
5 Wasted votes: disformation, (Fecalfeast)

re: 1)

Having an uncontested wagon where no big discussion is revolving around pretty much means it's a town wagon. However, I think there was actually a lot of discussion in the past day, especially started by Rels. I am town reading Rels right now; he came out of the lurker shadows to actually talk. I also like his fighting with rayn and I'm super worried about rayn not being the town super hero that pushes people around. So Rels up, rayn down, although I gotta admit I haven't looked too deeply into the fight these two have.

My association between Skynx and Grack was obviously wrong. Nevertheless I find it super suspicious that Skynx chimed in, threw around some shade, later on pissed off, let the Grack lynch happen without really putting in work to push the sicklucker lynch. I am sure that there is scum on the Grack wagon and I am fairly certain that not all scummers are on that wagon; and Skynx' vote feels off. We have two mislynches as someone pointed out; so a vig shot (if available) gets more and more risky - but Skynx is a decent target. But I'm super super super afraid here.

Scum pool: Skynx, Eversince (voted super late each time)
Town should be: disformation (mehhhhhhhh, and only if he doesn't die this night lol, and town rage), Chezitwo (mainly based on D2), Rels (based on D3)
Meh: Palmar, Tumblewood, Blazinghand, ruxxar, Fecalfeast, VayneAuthority, sicklucker, rayn

I hope I didn't forget anyone.

re: 2)

These three players were basically the ones who sealed the Grack lynch: Tumblewood, sicklucker, Blazinghand. All of them will be moved to the scum pool for that:

Scum pool: Skynx, Eversince, Tumblewood, sicklucker, Blazinghand
Town should be: disformation, Chezitwo, Rels
Meh: Palmar, ruxxar, Fecalfeast, VayneAuthority, rayn

So without further ado, they come into the scum pool.

re: 3)

Same as 2), can just be scum chiming in.

Scum pool: Skynx, Eversince, Tumblewood, sicklucker, Blazinghand, Palmar, rayn
Town should be: disformation, Chezitwo, Rels
Meh: ruxxar, Fecalfeast, VayneAuthority

re: 4)

Rels pushing sicklucker matches what he did all D2. I don't think that this is scum pushing a second town wagon here. So if Rels would be scum, then sicklucker would most likely also be scum and we have a bus attempt to get town cred, which IMHO is a rather bad and useless bus because there's no way Rels gains towncred from this vote if sicklucker flips scum at any point. Skynx' vote on the other hand isn't as solid als Rels' vote. He not voting Grack (although he did say something about voting Grack, or am I wrong there?) is actually scum indicative here as he pretty much wasted his vote, putting it on unflipped instead of townflip. I'm certain Skynx is scum.

Chezitwo voting sicklucker - mehhhhhhhhhhhhh. Given how super eager he was to lynch Xata over Xata's cop claim, I don't know why he voted sicklucker here and kinda wasted his vote. I need to check the context of that vote as well as the reasoning. NAI imho but I'm not too sure. I don't have too many townreads so I'll keep him on the list "just cause" but I am indeed a bit paranoid.

re: 5) The only thing that comes to my mind is that disfo said early D3 that he'd end up voting Grackaroni anyways. Not sure what to make out of that but it striked me as weird.


That's actually a decent piece of work which is flawed. And so we talked about it. There is that slight difference in "hey, that's false, let's discuss" and "this is a piece of shit"


Well it didn't seem like you would change your mind when three people told you that it was incorrect:

On June 22 2017 19:06 beentheredonethat wrote:
On June 22 2017 18:55 Blazinghand wrote:
I was the hammer. Rayn made in hammering Impoasbkle. Everything else is window dressing. TW and SL didn't hammer. I did. Get the facts straight


"votes in hammer range on town: Tumblewood, sicklucker, Blazinghand"
Tumblewood provided the hammer, sicklucker lifted it, you banged it on the table.

I think I have my facts straight here and you're trying to misrepresent my case. Why do you do this?


On June 22 2017 21:00 beentheredonethat wrote:
On June 22 2017 20:35 raynpelikoneet wrote:
On June 22 2017 19:06 beentheredonethat wrote:
On June 22 2017 18:55 Blazinghand wrote:
I was the hammer. Rayn made in hammering Impoasbkle. Everything else is window dressing. TW and SL didn't hammer. I did. Get the facts straight


"votes in hammer range on town: Tumblewood, sicklucker, Blazinghand"
Tumblewood provided the hammer, sicklucker lifted it, you banged it on the table.

I think I have my facts straight here and you're trying to misrepresent my case. Why do you do this?

You don't have your facts straight.

Take my face and ram it onto how it is correctly as town!rayn would do it

and also call me bad as town!rayn would


On June 22 2017 23:18 beentheredonethat wrote:
On June 22 2017 23:15 ruXxar wrote:
On June 22 2017 23:09 beentheredonethat wrote:
On June 22 2017 21:57 ruXxar wrote:
On June 22 2017 21:00 beentheredonethat wrote:
On June 22 2017 20:35 raynpelikoneet wrote:
On June 22 2017 19:06 beentheredonethat wrote:
[quote]

"votes in hammer range on town: Tumblewood, sicklucker, Blazinghand"
Tumblewood provided the hammer, sicklucker lifted it, you banged it on the table.

I think I have my facts straight here and you're trying to misrepresent my case. Why do you do this?

You don't have your facts straight.

Take my face and ram it onto how it is correctly as town!rayn would do it

and also call me bad as town!rayn would


Rayn and BH are right. You are misrepresenting how the voting went down, and final vote count is absolutely not represenatitve of what the situation looked like.

Therefore your analysis is pretty much void.

The ones who put the deciding votes on a wagon are hammer votes. This is what I am analyzing. And I put all three of them into possible scum range. Do you disagree?


The hammer votes was BH and Rayn.

Anyone who was reading the thread at the time can confirm that.

Well then BH

Who's all defensive about himself voting Grack, like "I did it and I stand by having done so" and who's pointing to himself as being the hammer. Is that scum being aware of how bad he looks who's trying to bring up points before town can bring it up?


Dude you really think that makes him mafia?
Because i think the opposite. He is pushing insane shit and basically begging to be lynched. Thats not how mafia plays. Idk if you have played with him before but thats always how btdt gets lynched.


I'm saying I can't trust any of his reads, not that he is mafia.

Chezitwo
Profile Joined January 2015
United States553 Posts
June 23 2017 14:11 GMT
#5135
Fail.

Post was supposed to say: then who is mafia and why? Unreasoned lists do not count as an answer.
Chezitwo
Profile Joined January 2015
United States553 Posts
June 23 2017 14:34 GMT
#5144
On June 23 2017 23:32 Palmar wrote:
oh we're voting me today?

could we rather do it next cycle so it doesn't happen on a weekend?

You already had more than enough time to start playing the game.
Chezitwo
Profile Joined January 2015
United States553 Posts
June 23 2017 15:07 GMT
#5162
On June 23 2017 23:59 Palmar wrote:
Show nested quote +
On June 23 2017 20:49 Chezitwo wrote:
Pull yourself together man. It is getting slightly annoying how much you pity yourself.

We can create a wagon on Palmar and see what happens. Sure. But I do not think he has the highest chance of being mafia.


It's harder to apply the possible TMI vs insight to Chezitwo than Rels. He agrees with Rels that I am not mafia. He doesn't really think I'm one all, but wants to start a train on me for policy reasons. It is a good policy, I'm a total scumbag for not doing anything, although my Damdred townread was great.

Thing is, Chezitwo sounds like someone who knows what he is doing. His posts are readable and concise and I have an easy time following his train of thought in general.

So yeah, he fully admits to pressure voting me. I think his reaction and followup today will reveal much more about him than

The only thing that gives me pause is that for someone who is good enough to realize that I am much more likely to do this as town than mafia, it feels weird that he made this post:

Show nested quote +
On June 20 2017 07:40 Chezitwo wrote:
On June 20 2017 06:43 Palmar wrote:
Rels is evil!

I have no idea, I haven't read much lately.

I saw darthfoley thinks btdt is mafia, that is an interesting development as I've previously mentioned suspecting both of them. I also should catch up on what sicklucker is doing.

Chezitwo is probably mafia because marv not playing is like 99% because he rolled mafia. Sucks, but replacements are always more likely to be mafia, and in this case it's especially prevalent.

So, are you claiming it is normal for marv to completely vanish from TL due to rolling mafia? Because if you are not you don't have a leg to stand on.


You see, if he is good enough and knows me and TL meta well enough to realize I don't do what I'm doing this game as scum, it's weird that he doesn't know that marv tends to go a bit mad when rolling mafia.

I don't know. It's weak and I'm not sure he deserves to be lynched, it's not a bad reason for voting me. I think I'll give his vote 7/10

I do know how marv acts as mafia. But it simply isn't applicable this game which I have explained multiple times by now which you would know if you would have read the game.
Chezitwo
Profile Joined January 2015
United States553 Posts
June 23 2017 15:09 GMT
#5164
On June 24 2017 00:04 Eversince wrote:
Ok I can't make sense of SL's crumbs/reads.

FF/Chez town is general consensus. That's fine and all, I already read both of them town anyway.
Problem that I'm having here is SL's read on TW was 100% confirmed town.
But SL didn't check FF/Chez. SL visited TW N1, Chez N2.
SL also was very sure Marv's slot is mafia. Never gave this any other chance. Which is why if he got a return of different TW is the town and Chez is the scum. I don't know why he implied FF got included in that at all. Not sure why he would lie about his checks as town. And if TW/Chez came back as same I have a hard time putting TW as town.

I visited Rels N3. He was a total shut in.

Before it gets mentioned, I obviously have no reason to claim right now as mafia. But town needs the info because everyone seems to be having just about as much trouble as I am. I'm obviously not much use right now other than being lynch bait on everyone's mind. So let's kill two birds with one stone.

You visited SL 2 times in a row? Why?
Chezitwo
Profile Joined January 2015
United States553 Posts
June 23 2017 15:11 GMT
#5167
When did SL state his tumble read then? Because if he was 100 % sure TW is town because he thought I am mafia then Tumblewood is mafia.
Chezitwo
Profile Joined January 2015
United States553 Posts
June 23 2017 15:14 GMT
#5173
If rayn is town then I guess it is somewhat likely that Rels is mafia too. I have a weak spot for Rels logic which is why I always have trouble reading him mafia. He just thinks very similarly to me and is very good at emulating his town thoughts as mafia.
But I had the feeling he was just repeating the things I said during last night today when he caught up with the thread.
Chezitwo
Profile Joined January 2015
United States553 Posts
June 23 2017 15:15 GMT
#5175
On June 24 2017 00:14 raynpelikoneet wrote:
Show nested quote +
On June 24 2017 00:11 Chezitwo wrote:
When did SL state his tumble read then? Because if he was 100 % sure TW is town because he thought I am mafia then Tumblewood is mafia.

Wait you and Tumble are same if eversince is town? Am i getting this right?

I understood it like SL thought Tumble is town and I am mafia. Which would indicate a different check.
Chezitwo
Profile Joined January 2015
United States553 Posts
June 23 2017 15:18 GMT
#5182
On June 24 2017 00:17 raynpelikoneet wrote:
Show nested quote +
On June 24 2017 00:15 Chezitwo wrote:
On June 24 2017 00:14 raynpelikoneet wrote:
On June 24 2017 00:11 Chezitwo wrote:
When did SL state his tumble read then? Because if he was 100 % sure TW is town because he thought I am mafia then Tumblewood is mafia.

Wait you and Tumble are same if eversince is town? Am i getting this right?

I understood it like SL thought Tumble is town and I am mafia. Which would indicate a different check.

That doesnt make any sense. If he thinks you are toen strongly why doesnt he push tumble d3?

SL thought I am mafia all game. Because of marvs absence.
Chezitwo
Profile Joined January 2015
United States553 Posts
June 23 2017 15:19 GMT
#5184
So when he saw the different result he thought TW is town because he is just this bad at the game.
Chezitwo
Profile Joined January 2015
United States553 Posts
June 23 2017 15:24 GMT
#5193
Yep, tumbleboy is going down then. Palmar gets his chance during the week.
Chezitwo
Profile Joined January 2015
United States553 Posts
June 23 2017 15:33 GMT
#5199
On June 24 2017 00:27 Eversince wrote:
Show nested quote +
On June 24 2017 00:24 raynpelikoneet wrote:
On June 24 2017 00:22 disformation wrote:
thats it?

Yes he calls one of his checks town and one scum.
Assuming ES is town one of them is mafia or miller and i dont think chez is scum, and one miller has flipped.

This is not lylo right?


Well that should be relatively easy. I can keep being the nosy neighbor girl til scum kills me. They will have to kill me.

Good job.

Really goes to show how terrible SL played though. Basically all our roles were used on him and all dead townies thought he is mafia.

Never play differently as a blue role folks.
Chezitwo
Profile Joined January 2015
United States553 Posts
June 23 2017 16:23 GMT
#5249
On June 24 2017 01:11 Rels wrote:
So. Tumble and Chez got back as different alignemnts. A miller has flipped. That means that mechanically speaking:

It's very, very unlikely they're both town. It would mean unlikely stuff like: a second milller, or a framer that offensively framed Chez, when usually framer protects the team.

It's highly likely one of them is scum.

It's kiiiinda possible that both are scum: if one of them is GF, or if they have a framer who defensively framed Chez. But much less likely than much one of them.

How come you always assume I am the one framed in your scenarios? Why can't tumble be framed?
Chezitwo
Profile Joined January 2015
United States553 Posts
June 23 2017 16:25 GMT
#5251
On June 24 2017 01:15 raynpelikoneet wrote:
Chez youre actually kitaman? Please say if you are.

If I comment on this I will have to react to every idea of who I am and I'd rather not.
Chezitwo
Profile Joined January 2015
United States553 Posts
June 23 2017 16:28 GMT
#5256
On June 24 2017 01:25 Rels wrote:
Show nested quote +
On June 24 2017 01:23 Chezitwo wrote:
On June 24 2017 01:11 Rels wrote:
So. Tumble and Chez got back as different alignemnts. A miller has flipped. That means that mechanically speaking:

It's very, very unlikely they're both town. It would mean unlikely stuff like: a second milller, or a framer that offensively framed Chez, when usually framer protects the team.

It's highly likely one of them is scum.

It's kiiiinda possible that both are scum: if one of them is GF, or if they have a framer who defensively framed Chez. But much less likely than much one of them.

How come you always assume I am the one framed in your scenarios? Why can't tumble be framed?

dunno. Probably 'cause marv would be a perfect frame target

meh, I'll allow it.
Chezitwo
Profile Joined January 2015
United States553 Posts
June 23 2017 16:49 GMT
#5270
On June 24 2017 01:42 Rels wrote:
Leaving work, see you in a few hours. (= Chezkita, if you could bring up the townie posts you found in rayn's filter it would be great

I don't know if I can really be bothered to do this. Just read his filter yourself. The good stuff is basically almost everything that comes before he starts nitpicking your ES stuff.
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