sandroba's push on HF made me pause for a little bit as well, but ultimately it was just unbelievable as a genuine push. No way would be suddenly divine HF "fabricating" everything with barely having arrived in the thread...

Xatalos

Finland9675 Posts

April 28 2015 10:27 GMT

#2040

Not to mention that HF's post didn't even seem fabricated

Xatalos

Finland9675 Posts

April 28 2015 11:05 GMT

#2061

This deadline was really nice information-wise. So many sketchy votes and overall playstyles before the lynch...

Vivax and Javert might be the most sketchy ones.

Xatalos

Finland9675 Posts

April 28 2015 11:09 GMT

#2064

Sepu not so good either. Unsure about Jean since he seems to be kind of doing his own thing (much like sandroba) but his thought process is far more transparent and scumhunting-focused.

Xatalos

Finland9675 Posts

April 28 2015 11:10 GMT

#2065

So Jean basically looks much better than sandroba but I'd still hope for more participation in hot topics over his own pursuits.

Xatalos

Finland9675 Posts

April 28 2015 11:20 GMT

#2069

Breshke is kind of "meh" but I haven't been convinced of him being scum so far. In any case there seem to be higher priority targets for damage/lynch for the time being.

Xatalos

Finland9675 Posts

April 28 2015 11:41 GMT

#2071

On April 28 2015 20:13 marvellosity wrote:
Be warned, mafia. I know there's probably at least 1 of you who managed to angle yourself well on that lynch.

And given time I WILL FIND YOU AND I WILL KILL YOU

You're secretly a masochist or something? :D

Xatalos

Finland9675 Posts

April 28 2015 13:46 GMT

#2117

If we assume that yamato is town (kind of likely), then Damdred looks a decent amount better for his critical vote on sandroba.

Xatalos

Finland9675 Posts

April 28 2015 13:49 GMT

#2121

On April 28 2015 22:47 marvellosity wrote:

Show nested quote +

thought experiment: what were Damdred's options?

Largely increasing the chances of sandroba getting lynched while looking a bit better himself
or
largely decrease the chances of sandroba getting lynched while looking pretty greatly worse himself.

Hm... I guess I'd go for the former option myself most of the time. So it's not really that indicative maybe... Only slightly.

Xatalos

Finland9675 Posts

April 28 2015 13:51 GMT

#2125

That's assuming him being scum btw

Xatalos

Finland9675 Posts

April 28 2015 13:54 GMT

#2131

What 3P? It isn't even guaranteed that there's a 3P or what kind?

Xatalos

Finland9675 Posts

April 28 2015 13:55 GMT

#2133

Oh nvm, there *are* 3P but no info what kind.

Xatalos

Finland9675 Posts

April 28 2015 13:57 GMT

#2139

Oh yeah, a malicious 3P would want to avoid getting blue visits...

So did you agree with my take on Damdred's options?

Xatalos

Finland9675 Posts

April 28 2015 14:04 GMT

#2155

On April 28 2015 22:59 marvellosity wrote:

Show nested quote +

I would add it wasn't obvious how much his vote would or would not affect the outcome, as votes came in thick and fast. sand was leading the whole way until a quick flurry of yamato votes brought him up level

so i don't know that damdred would know his vote would *largely* increase sand's chances of getting lynched

Looking at the vote thread Damdred vote sandroba just after yamato got that huge amount of votes though. If I'm not mistaken yamato was even with sandroba when Damdred voted, or at least like -1/+1 vote away and basically everyone had already expressed their preference (though indignant and Jean ninjavoted sandroba at practically the same time making the difference bigger). Something in Damdred's favor I'd say.