Not really sure what this means?

"I don't see how it's a gamble when he did those things on n1 and d2??? How on earth is he supposed to know what bats and chezinu are going to do in 3 or 4 cycles time??"

Xatalos

Finland9675 Posts

May 11 2015 17:15 GMT

#6903

I meant that it'd be a gamble to lynch Breshke when he has a reasonable chance of being town over people who are very likely not-town IMO (Javert / Chezinu).

Xatalos

Finland9675 Posts

May 11 2015 17:17 GMT

#6905

We'd be basically screwed if Breshke was scum and Javert+Chezinu 3P haha... I think we'd probably just be lost already when we've all taken so much dmg already?

Xatalos

Finland9675 Posts

May 11 2015 17:18 GMT

#6907

I think me, you and Damdred are all on pretty low HP while they're still quite high or something? Yeah :/

Xatalos

Finland9675 Posts

May 11 2015 17:25 GMT

#6908

Well there's still quite a bit of time. Now I gotta check out the other game finally.

Xatalos

Finland9675 Posts

May 11 2015 19:10 GMT

#6939

Hm... I don't see why he'd resort to claiming 3P as scum here. Could be a very, very desperate attempt but... If he's just something closer to a Survivor it would explain Damdred's RB not doing anything as well... I think it'd be safe to assume he's 3P here, the problem is if he really can win with town and doesn't do anything anti-town as a 3P.

Currently still leaning towards lynching him. He might well be the one dealing the random small damages or something.

Xatalos

Finland9675 Posts

May 11 2015 19:11 GMT

#6940

Maybe not. It'd make less sense for Damdred's ability to fail in blocking a specific ability like that compared to a factional KP.

Xatalos

Finland9675 Posts

May 11 2015 19:13 GMT

#6941

Still he could well have a 6 dmg KP that doesn't get blocked. I think it's a bit hard not to lynch a confirmed not-town....

Xatalos

Finland9675 Posts

May 11 2015 20:39 GMT

#6982

I still think we should probably just lynch Javert but we can decide that tomorrow.

I'll go check the other game again and then to sleep. glhf

Xatalos

Finland9675 Posts

May 11 2015 21:00 GMT

#6989

It's currently Javert vs Chezinu. Convince me quickly that it should be Breshke vs Chezinu. (IMO Breshke could still well be town and damaging him now could lead to losing the game... there's no way Javert is town and Chezinu is pretty likely 3P at this point)

Xatalos

Finland9675 Posts

May 11 2015 21:03 GMT

#6992

Really? Wasn't the deadline like 24h from the day start?

Xatalos

Finland9675 Posts

May 11 2015 21:05 GMT

#6995

Hm... Well it's fine anyway. Anything else before I go?

Xatalos

Finland9675 Posts

May 11 2015 21:13 GMT

#6996

Well night

Xatalos

Finland9675 Posts

May 12 2015 15:02 GMT

#7048

HF: I've just been way too busy during the last couple of days. This can be seen by the fact that I've been AFK for long periods of time also in my other Mafia game and even in a Diplomacy game that's running at the same time... Frankly I've taken too much to chew with all these games + IRL stuff at the moment. I even skipped an IRL event I had promised to go to this evening (a Resistance board game party) so that I could get some time to catch up with all this stuff :/

I still think Javert is the better lynch. He's confirmed to be scum/3P and I think it's pretty likely he's anti-town (as shown by his anti-town play, especially targeting townie posters with dmg and not wanting to lynch scum specifically at D1 deadline). Someone also said that it wouldn't make much sense to have a (at least purely) town-sided 3P. In all likelihood he's pro-scum (scum/3P) or alignment-neutral (SK/Survivor-type 3P). In both cases we want to lynch him now. There's also the fact that he only claimed when you said that a 3P claim could save him. It's not too far-fetched that he would take that chance as scum when the votes were piling on him.

Breshke, on the other hand, *could* be scum/3P (still not sold on that) but there's at least a reasonable chance of him being town. Even you must see that. So I really just don't think we should lynch someone with a chance to be not-town when there's someone confirmed not-town with perhaps a small chance of being able to win with town.