EPT
[ASL10] Ro24 Group B
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BLinD-RawR
ALLEYCAT BLUES51730 Posts
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BLinD-RawR
ALLEYCAT BLUES51730 Posts
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AttackZerg
United States7705 Posts
Zero isn't my zerg hero of this age, the one zerg I feel can peak beyond anyone except Flash is Soulkey. Snow is soo good that I imagine he will win and qualify. The world is cray-zay these days so I don't feel comfortable that any of my favorites will win. Go Soulkey! Go Snow! | ||
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QOGQOG
834 Posts
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TornadoSteve
1149 Posts
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Avi-Love
Denmark423 Posts
I'll also include some misc. spon stats that may or may not be at all relevant to this group; this is all based on the last 3 months (IE since June 2020). Soulkey is ranked 4th overall, he has, rather surprisingly, a winning record against all top terrans: 3-0 Flash, 12-11 Light, 20-18 Rush, 13-9 Sorry, 12-5 Sharp, 13-4 JyJ) and a 3-1 record vs Ssak. Zvp-wise (for a potential match against Snow) he looks a little less impressive with a 3-3 record against Bisu, 9-10 vs Snow and 9-11 against Best. Lastly he doesn't have a lot of zvz matches, and the ones he has are mostly against lower rated players outside of being 9-9 against Zero, 0-2 against Larva, 4-2 vs Soma and 7-6 vs hero. He has no games against Yoon. Snow is ranked 6th overall, and looking at his pvz I cannot help but feel that the most remarkable thing appears to be that he performs well against the absolute top, but then there is a decline in his performance against what I consider the 2nd tier of zerg players; 10-9 against Soulkey as mentioned, 15-17 vs Zero, 17-15 vs Larva. Those are all fairly close to 50-50, which is pretty much the best you can hope for; however he is 15-34 against Soma and 27-43 against hero. He is 3-0 against Yoon. His PvT is the exact opposite of his PvZ, as he is 5-11 vs Flash and 12-15 vs Light. For the next tier, he is 23-19 vs Rush, 41-27 vs Sorry, 19-16 vs Sharp and lastly 6-0 against Ssak. Ssak is overall ranked 18th, he is fairly close to 50% win rate in all of his matchups and while I do think his tvz is slightly better, I don't think it's by a large margin. He is just not a solid top player anymore, whereas he used to be good enough to consistently get to the top 8 of big tournaments; 1-3 vs SK, 3-6 vs Zero, 6-7 vs Larva, 26-33 vs Soma, 34-43 vs Hero. His TvP records are not too dissimilar; 8-10 vs Bisu, 0-6 vs Snow, 2-6 vs Best, 8-8 vs Stork, 4-6 vs Mini, 4-4 vs Free, 7-5 vs Shuttle. He has no games against Yoon. Lastly, Yoon is overall ranked 32nd, He doesn't have that many spon games, which is presumably because he is still rather unknown and as such probably doesn't get a lot of viewers / people wanting to sponsor showmatches. The only familiar names on his list in ZvP are Snow (0-3) and Shuttle (0-2). For ZvT they are Rush (1-1) and Sharp (3-8). The 3 highest rated zergs on his zvz list are Killer (1-0), Beast (1-2) and Hyuk (1-1). Not a lot to see here honestly, he has so few games and overall it is just the lower end of progamers and top amateurs. Map-wise the first two games are on Ringing Bloom, a map that still has not been super popular in spon games despite being in the ASL. With only 419 games played, TvZ is at 57.4% and PvZ is at 54.7%. A rare sight to have a map where Z is losing both matchups, but the sample size is tiny, and the map has already had some updates since it was first posted as an ASL map. The next two matches will be played on Eclipse, which is a lot more popular in spon games with an overall sample size of 2370. TvP is at 49.9% (217-218 games, wow). TvZ is at 53.6% and PvZ is at 45%. The final game is played on Polypoid, which is actually the most played spon map in the last 3 months, sample size of 3162. TvP 55.7%, TvZ 57.2% and PvZ at 45.5%. | ||
thedeadhaji
39489 Posts
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psyCrowe
Scotland197 Posts
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TornadoSteve
1149 Posts
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whaski
Finland577 Posts
On September 12 2020 17:59 TornadoSteve wrote: Yeah nice read Avi, except for the ssak best match up is tvz http://sponbbang.com/profile/?month1=2017-05&month2=2020-09&map_id=0&bj_id=28 Ssucks best matchup both online and offline is by far tvp. Tvz is by far his worst matchup both online and offline (if you go + Show Spoiler + 2-7 Then again, Soulkey is prone to underperform and Snow could be vulnerable against Ssacks harassive highrisk tvp. | ||
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TornadoSteve
1149 Posts
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BLinD-RawR
ALLEYCAT BLUES51730 Posts
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whaski
Finland577 Posts
On September 12 2020 18:11 TornadoSteve wrote: Looks like ssak is massively under rated in here._. Ssak was never impressive online. His proves in tvp and tvt made him dangerious in offline tournaments where he had great results against top players (for example Last and Snow). Now Ssak was the original 1-1-1 master, but nowdays struggles a lot because his trademark has been figured out. | ||
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AttackZerg
United States7705 Posts
He is like all Terrans. A damn threat. | ||
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M3t4PhYzX
Poland4300 Posts
hope for some good games | ||
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BLinD-RawR
ALLEYCAT BLUES51730 Posts
![[image loading]](https://cdn.discordapp.com/attachments/618460623478456320/754279877389320219/unknown.png) Looks like tomorrow is Group E not C | ||
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prosatan
Romania9438 Posts
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prosatan
Romania9438 Posts
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NoS-Craig
Australia3174 Posts
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BLinD-RawR
ALLEYCAT BLUES51730 Posts
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