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If anything term limits are undemocratic, unless your definition of democracy has less to do with achieving the goals of the people and more to do with having a fair shot for the opposition every so often. And if this is what democracy is, I will happily declare myself an opponent of democracy. That the will and welfare of the people should fall second to the rules or nominal multiparty politics is absurdity there just like it's absurdity here.
"The United States is also a one-party state, but with typical American extravagance, they have two of them" - Julius Nyerere
Anyway if you're hung up on the process at this point...I dunno, if rigid adherence to the principles of liberal democracy leads to people being shot in the street that seems like proof positive that that rigid adherence is misguided.
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On November 17 2019 12:39 Aquanim wrote:Show nested quote +On November 17 2019 12:33 Nebuchad wrote:... When you take into account that Morales agreed to new democratic elections with oversight and that the opposition decided within hours that new elections wouldn't cut it and they needed to remove him instead, it starts becoming a lot clearer. If one takes the OAS report that had been recently released at face value (or close to it), being disinclined to accept elections carried out with Morales remaining in control doesn't seem totally unreasonable. Who knows what "oversight" is going to turn out to mean?
That's a good point, we don't know what the oversight would have been. If the oversight turned out to be shit, then definitely the opposition would have had a good point, and definitely they would have been on the side of democracy. But we aren't going to get to that stage. Because the opposition didn't want us to.
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On November 17 2019 12:46 des wrote: If anything term limits are undemocratic, unless your definition of democracy has less to do with achieving the goals of the people and more to do with having a fair shot for the opposition every so often. And if this is what democracy is, I will happily declare myself an opponent of democracy. That the will and welfare of the people should fall second to the rules or nominal multiparty politics is absurdity there just like it's absurdity here.
"The United States is also a one-party state, but with typical American extravagance, they have two of them" - Julius Nyerere
Anyway if you're hung up on the process at this point...I dunno, if rigid adherence to the principles of liberal democracy leads to people being shot in the street that seems like proof positive that that rigid adherence is misguided.
I personally find any system that generates a cult of personality is wrong. So any system that picks a strong leader is inherently flawed (outside war times).
The basic discourse being about this person or that person instead of their ideas and policies means that you have a high chance of picking bad leaders. Of course the opposite doesn't promise perfect leaders either but you at least have a goal post to try for.
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On November 17 2019 12:46 des wrote:... Anyway if you're hung up on the process at this point...I dunno, if rigid adherence to the principles of liberal democracy leads to people being shot in the street that seems like proof positive that that rigid adherence is misguided. Why are the people who attempt to enforce the principles of liberal democracy more at fault for the consequences than the people who tried to break those principles in the first place?
On November 17 2019 12:47 Nebuchad wrote:... That's a good point, we don't know what the oversight would have been. If the oversight turned out to be shit, then definitely the opposition would have had a good point, and definitely they would have been on the side of democracy. But we aren't going to get to that stage. Because the opposition didn't want us to. We could argue about how much the opposition/people/police/whoever else should have to bend over and take what they see as the erosion of their country's democratic principles before they are justified in taking actions X/Y/Z in response but I don't think I'd find that conversation very pleasant. As such I think I'll leave it here.
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On November 17 2019 12:58 Aquanim wrote:
We could argue about how much the opposition/people/police/whoever else should have to bend over and take what they see as the erosion of their country's democratic principles before they are justified in taking actions X/Y/Z in response but I don't think I'd find that conversation very pleasant. As such I think I'll leave it here.
That one's probably more at home in the US politics thread anyway
Time will tell where we go from here but the current situation doesn't bode well for indigenous populations in Bolivia
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On November 17 2019 12:58 Aquanim wrote: We could argue about how much the opposition/people/police/whoever else should have to bend over and take what they see as the erosion of their country's democratic principles before they are justified in taking actions X/Y/Z in response but I don't think I'd find that conversation very pleasant. As such I think I'll leave it here.
It's fine if you don't want to have the conversation but then you can't draw conclusions based on a certain answer being reached in this conversation that you don't want to have.
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On November 17 2019 13:21 Nebuchad wrote:Show nested quote +On November 17 2019 12:58 Aquanim wrote: We could argue about how much the opposition/people/police/whoever else should have to bend over and take what they see as the erosion of their country's democratic principles before they are justified in taking actions X/Y/Z in response but I don't think I'd find that conversation very pleasant. As such I think I'll leave it here. It's fine if you don't want to have the conversation but then you can't draw conclusions based on a certain answer being reached in this conversation that you don't want to have. It has not been my intention to do such a thing. I do however reserve the right to object to other people drawing conclusions based on their belief that their answer to that question is unambiguously correct.
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On November 17 2019 13:49 Aquanim wrote:Show nested quote +On November 17 2019 13:21 Nebuchad wrote:On November 17 2019 12:58 Aquanim wrote: We could argue about how much the opposition/people/police/whoever else should have to bend over and take what they see as the erosion of their country's democratic principles before they are justified in taking actions X/Y/Z in response but I don't think I'd find that conversation very pleasant. As such I think I'll leave it here. It's fine if you don't want to have the conversation but then you can't draw conclusions based on a certain answer being reached in this conversation that you don't want to have. It has not been my intention to do such a thing. I do however reserve the right to object to other people drawing conclusions based on their belief that their answer to that question is unambiguously correct.
You can only say that what happened is unclear if you reach a specific conclusion on this question. Any answer to that question other than "They were right" makes it very clear that their action was wrong.
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On November 17 2019 14:08 Nebuchad wrote:Show nested quote +On November 17 2019 13:49 Aquanim wrote:On November 17 2019 13:21 Nebuchad wrote:On November 17 2019 12:58 Aquanim wrote: We could argue about how much the opposition/people/police/whoever else should have to bend over and take what they see as the erosion of their country's democratic principles before they are justified in taking actions X/Y/Z in response but I don't think I'd find that conversation very pleasant. As such I think I'll leave it here. It's fine if you don't want to have the conversation but then you can't draw conclusions based on a certain answer being reached in this conversation that you don't want to have. It has not been my intention to do such a thing. I do however reserve the right to object to other people drawing conclusions based on their belief that their answer to that question is unambiguously correct. You can only say that what happened is unclear if you reach a specific conclusion on this question. Any answer to that question other than "They were right" makes it very clear that their action was wrong. + Show Spoiler +I don't really wish to debate the validity of this argument with someone who is so immovably convinced that the protestors/oppposition/whoever are unambiguously in the wrong, either. Seems like a total waste of time. EDIT: Ok I'll clarify a little bit more. I don't see anything that you or I would say in this conversation that doesn't just boil down to "My opinion is right and your opinion is wrong". I don't see any point in having such a conversation. That does not mean that I think your opinion is right, or that you trying to browbeat me into "If you're not willing to have that conversation you must acknowledge my opinion is right and/or proceed with future conversation on the basis that my opinion is right" is in any way reasonable.
As it is I have already hedged almost everything I have said today + Show Spoiler +replying to des' hypothetical statement in kind doesn't count beyond my initial comments about the Bolivian Supreme Court ruling (which I am certain raises red flags). I am already not "draw[ing] conclusions based on certain answers being reached". I am finding your insinuations to the contrary tiresome.
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On November 17 2019 17:42 Aquanim wrote:Show nested quote +On November 17 2019 14:08 Nebuchad wrote:On November 17 2019 13:49 Aquanim wrote:On November 17 2019 13:21 Nebuchad wrote:On November 17 2019 12:58 Aquanim wrote: We could argue about how much the opposition/people/police/whoever else should have to bend over and take what they see as the erosion of their country's democratic principles before they are justified in taking actions X/Y/Z in response but I don't think I'd find that conversation very pleasant. As such I think I'll leave it here. It's fine if you don't want to have the conversation but then you can't draw conclusions based on a certain answer being reached in this conversation that you don't want to have. It has not been my intention to do such a thing. I do however reserve the right to object to other people drawing conclusions based on their belief that their answer to that question is unambiguously correct. You can only say that what happened is unclear if you reach a specific conclusion on this question. Any answer to that question other than "They were right" makes it very clear that their action was wrong. + Show Spoiler +I don't really wish to debate the validity of this argument with someone who is so immovably convinced that the protestors/oppposition/whoever are unambiguously in the wrong, either. Seems like a total waste of time. EDIT: Ok I'll clarify a little bit more. I don't see anything that you or I would say in this conversation that doesn't just boil down to "My opinion is right and your opinion is wrong". I don't see any point in having such a conversation. That does not mean that I think your opinion is right, or that you trying to browbeat me into "If you're not willing to have that conversation you must acknowledge my opinion is right and/or proceed with future conversation on the basis that my opinion is right" is in any way reasonable. As it is I have already hedged almost everything I have said today + Show Spoiler +replying to des' hypothetical statement in kind doesn't count beyond my initial comments about the Bolivian Supreme Court ruling (which I am certain raises red flags). I am already not "draw[ing] conclusions based on certain answers being reached". I am finding your insinuations to the contrary tiresome.
Could be a coup completely undermining democracy or freedom fighters heralding democracy (or anywhere in between), but you can't take a position (not interested in discussing it) or draw conclusions about which or about the governments/people that do other than they should be more unsure.
Is that accurate?
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On November 17 2019 17:42 Aquanim wrote:Show nested quote +On November 17 2019 14:08 Nebuchad wrote:On November 17 2019 13:49 Aquanim wrote:On November 17 2019 13:21 Nebuchad wrote:On November 17 2019 12:58 Aquanim wrote: We could argue about how much the opposition/people/police/whoever else should have to bend over and take what they see as the erosion of their country's democratic principles before they are justified in taking actions X/Y/Z in response but I don't think I'd find that conversation very pleasant. As such I think I'll leave it here. It's fine if you don't want to have the conversation but then you can't draw conclusions based on a certain answer being reached in this conversation that you don't want to have. It has not been my intention to do such a thing. I do however reserve the right to object to other people drawing conclusions based on their belief that their answer to that question is unambiguously correct. You can only say that what happened is unclear if you reach a specific conclusion on this question. Any answer to that question other than "They were right" makes it very clear that their action was wrong. + Show Spoiler +I don't really wish to debate the validity of this argument with someone who is so immovably convinced that the protestors/oppposition/whoever are unambiguously in the wrong, either. Seems like a total waste of time. EDIT: Ok I'll clarify a little bit more. I don't see anything that you or I would say in this conversation that doesn't just boil down to "My opinion is right and your opinion is wrong". I don't see any point in having such a conversation. That does not mean that I think your opinion is right, or that you trying to browbeat me into "If you're not willing to have that conversation you must acknowledge my opinion is right and/or proceed with future conversation on the basis that my opinion is right" is in any way reasonable. As it is I have already hedged almost everything I have said today + Show Spoiler +replying to des' hypothetical statement in kind doesn't count beyond my initial comments about the Bolivian Supreme Court ruling (which I am certain raises red flags). I am already not "draw[ing] conclusions based on certain answers being reached". I am finding your insinuations to the contrary tiresome.
I think you're reading too much into what I answered. I'm objecting to you saying both that "it's unclear whether they were justified in going for a coup" and "I don't want to get into whether democracy was sufficiently threatened to merit the intervention of the military". In order to answer that it's unclear whether or not they are justified, you have to posit that democracy was sufficiently threatened. If it wasn't, then the coup would obviously not be justified in those terms. So you say you're unwilling to go into the discussion of a specific point, but your overall position requires having reached some form of conclusion on that specific point. It's impossible for me to argue against your point without going into that discussion. It's okay if we don't argue, we don't have to, but I still had to point it out.
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On November 17 2019 11:22 GreenHorizons wrote:Show nested quote +On November 17 2019 11:12 Aquanim wrote:The Supreme Court ruling not only overruled the referendum but also the current state of the Bolivian constitution: doesn't really leave much room for ambiguity. I am not a lawyer much less familiar with Bolivia's judicial system and maybe in their system it is kosher for the Supreme Court to blatantly contradict the constitution based on a reading of the American Convention on Human Rights which does not seem to be shared by several of the other signatories, which do have term limits. It's difficult to discuss with the nuance it deserves (see chuchuchu's post on misconceptions on the Chinese government for example) but like I said, the same court is legitimizing Áñez so it's a bit more complicated than them being Morales cronies who don't care about democracy/the constitution. EDIT: TY for the info though, I had no idea Canada had no set term limits for their Monarch, Prime Minister, or Premier. A popular one could lead indefinitely.
EDIT2: Australia doesn't either. Genuinely surprised neither of your countries have term limits for their leaders.
If you understood the differences between a parliamentary system and a presidential system you probably wouldn't be as surprised.
This is the best article I've read yet on the situation and how it is unfolding. It is by the Gaurdian so a pretty unbiased source. I hope people read the whole thing without their confirmation biased lenses on but basically it says that we don't know if this was a coup or not, that depends on whether the person holds the elections or not. Coups don't remove leaders and hand power back democracy. I'll pull some quotes but it would be best if people read the whole article.
On one side of Bolivia’s political chasm people and leaders are denouncing a “coup”. On the other, they are welcoming the “return of democracy”. The dispute over what is happening in Bolivia has spilled far beyond the country’s borders, fought over by allies and critics around the world.
After weeks of escalating demonstrations over contested election results, which saw police mutiny, trade union allies desert him and then the military call for his departure, President Evo Morales submitted his resignation and fled the country.
ut his departure, far from resolving Bolivia’s crisis, has only deepened it. After his allies in the legislature resigned, the next in the line of succession was a rightwing Christian who served as deputy president of the senate, Jeanine Áñez.
She seized the position of interim president with alacrity, naming a new cabinet, declaring “the Bible has re-entered the palace” while brandishing a hefty copy of the book, and warning Morales he could face prosecution if he returned to Bolivia.
“Is this [situation] troubling? Yes, it’s always bad when the military put their thumbs on the scale, but it’s really misleading to call it a coup,” said Jim Shultz, executive director of the Bolivia-based Democracy Center. “But there’s too much rhetoric from the right wing, speaking as if they’ve been returned to power [in democratic elections]. That is concerning.”
“If he’d had a graceful transition from power, we’d probably have a new leader [from his Movement for Socialism], and people would be writing about the legacy of Morales. He would be considered like a Nelson Mandela for Latin America.”
He is charismatic and respected for the careful stewardship of the economy, the greater social equality he created, and the championing of indigenous rights. But he had also lost supporters over his apparent failure to move on environmental protection and women’s rights, including combating domestic violence and murders of women. “He passed laws but did nothing to reform the system which perpetuates impunity,” said María Galindo, founder of Mujeres Creando, a feminist movement.
He also appeared to embrace, or at least accept, a growing cult of personality and expensive trappings of leadership – from a museum dedicated to him in his home town, to a new government skyscraper fitted with a helipad and luxury presidential suite.
“There had never been a complaint about any of the electoral processes. It was an unprecedented track record of democratic legitimacy, until you get to 2016,” said Goodale.
“As Bolivians it has cost us a lot to get back democracy and we won’t allow any government – be it from the left or the right – to take it away again,” said Fernando Velarde, a 39-year-old university worker.
The greatest controversy stemmed from a near 24-hour-long halt to the vote count, when electricity, internet and the phone supply to election headquarters were cut off. When the count resumed there had been a “drastic and hard-to-explain change in the trend”, handing victory to the incumbent, according to the head of the Organisation of American States election observation team.
“This is a dangerous moment,” said Shultz. “The country is divided almost in half … and it’s unclear who will mediate, unclear how this gets down to a place of dialogue where we can move forward.”
https://www.theguardian.com/world/2019/nov/17/bolivia-more-volatile-than-ever-as-president-flees-and-leaders-denounce-a-coup
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I think you missed the key one regarding whether it is a coup or not
Her chief responsibility as temporary leader though is organising new elections within 90 days, and for this she has shown only limited enthusiasm. On Thursday, politicians from Morales’s party and the interim government said they had struck a deal to pave the way for a new vote in 90 days. But on Friday Áñez said that deal had failed, without providing further explanation
If folks want to wait till there's a questionable election (or no election at all) to make a determination of what happened I get it. If there's not an indisputably legitimate election though, it's a coup, and the people that supported the coup (supported/celebrated Morales ousting) were cheering against democracy is the point.
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On November 18 2019 01:17 GreenHorizons wrote:I think you missed the key one regarding whether it is a coup or not Show nested quote +Her chief responsibility as temporary leader though is organising new elections within 90 days, and for this she has shown only limited enthusiasm. On Thursday, politicians from Morales’s party and the interim government said they had struck a deal to pave the way for a new vote in 90 days. But on Friday Áñez said that deal had failed, without providing further explanation If folks want to wait till there's a questionable election (or no election at all) to make a determination of what happened I get it. If there's not an indisputably legitimate election though, it's a coup, and the people that supported the coup (supported/celebrated Morales ousting) were cheering against democracy is the point. Correct, we are unsure at this point. That is why I posted the article and what it says and what we have been saying and you have been arguing against.
It is really sad Morales made this situation happen, at least from his statements it now sounds like he is trying to clean it up. It is really a mess.
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On November 18 2019 01:56 JimmiC wrote:Show nested quote +On November 18 2019 01:17 GreenHorizons wrote:I think you missed the key one regarding whether it is a coup or not Her chief responsibility as temporary leader though is organising new elections within 90 days, and for this she has shown only limited enthusiasm. On Thursday, politicians from Morales’s party and the interim government said they had struck a deal to pave the way for a new vote in 90 days. But on Friday Áñez said that deal had failed, without providing further explanation If folks want to wait till there's a questionable election (or no election at all) to make a determination of what happened I get it. If there's not an indisputably legitimate election though, it's a coup, and the people that supported the coup (supported/celebrated Morales ousting) were cheering against democracy is the point. Correct, we are unsure at this point. That is why I posted the article and what it says and what we have been saying and you have been arguing against.
I'm not arguing against being "unsure". No one is sure about anything, everything is probability.
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Then perhaps make statements like "this seems like a... " instead of "this is a..." That is what tells people it is a presumption and not a fact.
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On November 18 2019 03:20 JimmiC wrote: Then perhaps make statements like "this seems like a... " instead of "this is a..." That is what tells people it is a presumption and not a fact.
I thought we were all operating with that basic understanding of phenomena?
Should be obvious that we're all always arguing what we believe to be the most probably correct assessment (unless it's a joke or whatever).
"We don't know" is always accurate (even after we experience and study something) and comparably unavailing.
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So their first acts since taking power have been a religiously fanatic swearing themselves in, cops cutting and burning indigenous symbols, cops attacking a reporter and killing protesters, refusing a deal for elections without explanation, and hunting down the opposition.
Sounds like people that should have been condemned rather than portrayed as fighting for democracy or freedom (which doesn't seem to be their concern at all now that they have power). Seems clear to me that it was a ruse for people gullible enough to buy it.
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This is the part where the western media stops reporting.
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