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On January 19 2013 14:30 GGzerG wrote: I really didn't expect Zergs to do so well in this , i'm really surprised by these stats.
We're letting them have a false sense of security so when the main event happens we will just crush them ezpz.
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On January 19 2013 21:23 stevewch wrote: z is dominating in foreign scene...
Z in 2012 is like P was in 2007 - 2009. I wonder why
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10387 Posts
Updated up to Q3. Thank you all for pointing out errors so far, they have been corrected .. though I can't guarantee there won't be new ones :p lol
Also, i'd like to point out that Electric Circuit initially seemed pretty Zerg favored in ZvT, it's just as time went on Terrans adapted and figured out the correct way to play the map and shifted the map balance (same with PvZ). Perhaps Terrans just need to learn some new builds? Or/and do a better latemech switch lol
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in determining the top12, how are players chosen of the same points? For example lets say # 11, 12, 13, 14 etc all had 80points, what happens then?
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On January 21 2013 02:25 ArvickHero wrote: Updated up to Q3. Thank you all for pointing out errors so far, they have been corrected .. though I can't guarantee there won't be new ones :p lol
Also, i'd like to point out that Electric Circuit initially seemed pretty Zerg favored in ZvT, it's just as time went on Terrans adapted and figured out the correct way to play the map and shifted the map balance (same with PvZ). Perhaps Terrans just need to learn some new builds? Or/and do a better latemech switch lol
thanks a lot
Also @ FS, I PvZ southpark once and you have it double posted as PvT.
Time to be a dick NSFW! + Show Spoiler +Protoss vs Zerg is almost at a normal expectancy of 45-46%. I watched today's games and looked at the results and saw barely any protoss beating zergs, then I started to tabulate (as I am a bored arrogant bastard). We'll call this, the draw factor.
PvZ Overall: 47-61 43.5% Draw: 14-7 67% Overall-Draw: 33-54 38%
@Jade Overall: 15-15 50% Draw: 4-1 80% O-D: 11-14 44%
@EC Overall: 9-17 34.6% Draw: 3-3 50% O-D: 7-14 33%
@FS Overall: 23-29 44% Draw: 7-2 78% O-D: 16-27 37%
So the overall PvZ was bumped 5.5% from my matches alone, and I happened to throw a game vs JimBG in a troll fashion. Jade PvZ was bumped 6%, EC was the lowest win% and only bumped 1.6% [with only a 50% win rate, I can see why it wasn't increased that much]. Finally, FS was bumped a whole 7%, seems like Protoss are not too comfortable on this map in the match-up.
Conclusion, The Draw Factor or TDF is a real thing, we need more Protosses to start using it to increase our win-rates against these zerg scums. Ultimately, if anyone happens to have similar conclusions or statistics (i.e Terror is the only terran winning on X map) let me know.
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Canada5154 Posts
draw is to Protoss as savior is to Zerg?
Does this mean draw is match fixing?????????
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United States22154 Posts
I would like to point out that ArvickHero is a scholar and a gentleman on top of a hero, so heap praise on him if you get the chance.
(Also updated for Q4)
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Thanks for this! Can't wait for the actual event. Hopefully a Zerg doesn't win that too. :-P
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On January 21 2013 13:12 HawaiianPig wrote: draw is to Protoss as savior is to Zerg?
Does this mean draw is match fixing?????????
no... he's like Savior between end of 2005 and 2007, a badass winning when no other guy using his same race does. Savior didn't match fixed in his era of dominance, it was a couple of years later
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If the next qualifier is also Zerg dominated as well I'll punch a pillow really hard!
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On January 21 2013 05:02 FyRe_DragOn wrote: in determining the top12, how are players chosen of the same points? For example lets say # 11, 12, 13, 14 etc all had 80points, what happens then?
was this ever answered?
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Sorry to nitpick, but it should be "Points Table as of Qualifier 4" if my understanding is correct.
On January 21 2013 05:02 FyRe_DragOn wrote: in determining the top12, how are players chosen of the same points? For example lets say # 11, 12, 13, 14 etc all had 80points, what happens then? Looking at the wiki, I thought the ties would be resolved through playoffs.
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United States22154 Posts
On January 22 2013 12:26 Hesmyrr wrote: Sorry to nitpick, but it should be "Points Table as of Qualifier 4" if my understanding is correct.
Fixed, thanks for pointing it out.
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Must should really try a little harder to qualify because he could do it easily...
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On January 22 2013 15:29 thezanursic wrote: Must should really try a little harder to qualify because he could do it easily...
he should have tried all the qualifiers because he is inconsistent and I can see him qualifying and also not qualifying.
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Top 12 Current Qualifying Candidates statistical break-down:
#1 Terror + Show Spoiler +Overall: 16-6 (72.3%) vs 6-5 (54.5%) vs 6-1 (85.6%) vs 4-0 (100%) By MapECOverall: 5-2 (71.4%) vs 2-2 (50%) vs 1-0 (100%) vs 2-0 (100%) JadeOverall: 5-2 (71.4%) vs 1-2 (33%) vs 2-0 (100%) vs 2-0 (100%) FSOverall: 6-2 (75%) vs 3-1 (75%) vs 3-1 (75%) vs 0-0 AchievementsQ1: Ro4 -> 0-2 vs Eonzerg Q2: Ro8 -> 0-2 vs Bakuryu Q3: Ro16 -> 0-1 vs Julia Q4: Ro16 -> 0-1 vs Dredre /
#2 Voddy + Show Spoiler +Overall: 13-5 (72.2%) vs 3-1 (75%) vs 8-4 (67%) vs 4-0 (100%) By MapECOverall: 5-0 (100%) vs 1-0 (100%) vs 4-0 (100%) vs 0-0 JadeOverall: 4-1 (80%) vs 1-0 (100%) vs 1-1 (50%) vs 1-0 (100%) FSOverall: 5-4 (55.6%) vs 1-1 (50%) vs 3-3 (50%) vs 1-0 (100%) AchievementsQ1: Ro16 -> 0-1 vs Draw Q2: Ro8 -> 1-2 vs Draw Q3: Ro16 -> 0-1 vs Dewalt Q4: Ro16 -> 0-1 vs Drone
#3 Jim[BG] + Show Spoiler +Overall: 12-6 (67%) vs 4-1 (80%) vs 4-4 (50%) vs 4-1 (80%) By MapECOverall: 3-2 (60%) vs 1-0 (100%) vs 2-1 (67%) vs 0-1 (0%) JadeOverall: 3-1 (75%) vs 1-0 (100%) vs 1-1 (50%) vs 1-0 (100%) FSOverall: 6-3 (67%) vs 2-1 (67%) vs 1-2 (33%) vs 3-0 (100%) AchievementsQ1: Ro16 -> 0-1 vs Eonzerg Q2: Ro128 -> 0-1 vs LancerX Q3: Ro4 -> 1-2 vs Draw Q4: Ro32-> 0-1 vs Drone
#4 TTF + Show Spoiler +Overall: 8-5 (61.5%) vs 1-1 (50%) vs 5-2 (71.4%) vs 2-2 (50%) By MapECOverall: 2-2 (50%) vs 0-0 vs 2-1 (67%) vs 0-1 (0%) JadeOverall: 2-3 (40%) vs 0-1 (0%) vs 1-1 (50%) vs 1-1 (50%) FSOverall: 4-0 (100%) vs 1-0 (100%) vs 2-0 (100%) vs 1-0 (100%) AchievementsQ1: Ro8-> 0-2 vs Terror Q2: Ro64 -> 0-1 vs Julia Q3: Ro8 -> 0-2 vs Draw Q4: -> Didn't Participate
#5 Enjoyme + Show Spoiler +Overall: 13-5 (72.2%) vs 2-3 (40%) vs 6-1 (85.7%) vs 3-1 (75%) By MapECOverall: 3-1 (75%) vs 1-1 (50%) vs 2-0 (100%) vs 0-0 JadeOverall: 3-2 (60%) vs 1-1 (50%) vs 1-1 (50%) vs 1-0 (100%) FSOverall: 5-2 (71.4%) vs 0-1 (0%) vs 3-0 (100%) vs 2-1 (67%) AchievementsQ1: Ro8 -> 1-2 vs Bakuryu Q2: Ro64 -> 0-1 vs Dienmax Q3: Ro16 -> 0-1 vs TTF Q4: Ro132 -> 0-1 vs Dashwriter
#6 Nemu + Show Spoiler +Overall: 9-4 (69.2%) vs 5-2 (71.4%) vs 3-2 (60%) vs 1-0 (100%) By MapECOverall: 2-2 (50%) vs 2-1 (67%) vs 0-1 (0%) vs 0-0 JadeOverall: 3-1 (80%) vs 1-1 (50%) vs 2-0 (100%) vs 0-0 FSOverall: 4-1 (8%) vs 2-0 (100%) vs 1-1 (50%) vs 1-0 (100%) AchievementsQ1: Ro32-> 0-1 vs Draw Q2: Ro8 -> 0-2 vs Trutacz Q3:-> Didn't ParticipateQ4: Ro16 -> 0-1 vs Hellerine
#7 ZZZero + Show Spoiler +Overall: 8-3 (72.7%) vs 5-3 (62.5%) vs 1-0 (100%) vs 2-0 (100%) By MapECOverall: 2-1 (67%) vs 1-1 (50%) vs 1-0 (100%) vs 0-0 JadeOverall: 3-2 (60%) vs 1-2 (50%) vs 0-0 vs 2-0 (100%) FSOverall: 3-0 (100%) vs 3-0 (100%) vs 0-0 vs 0-0 AchievementsQ1: -> Didn't ParticipateQ2: -> Didn't ParticipateQ3: Ro4 -> 0-2 vs SouthPark Q4: -> Didn't Participate
#7 Drone + Show Spoiler +Overall: 7-4 (63.6%) vs 3-4 (42.9%) vs 1-0 (100%) vs 3-0 (100%) By MapECOverall: 2-1 (67%) vs 2-1 (67%) vs 0-0 vs 0-0 JadeOverall: 1-3 (25%) vs 0-3 (0%) vs 0-0 vs 1-0 (100%) FSOverall: 4-0 (100%) vs 1-0 (100%) vs 1-0 (100%) vs 2-0 (100%) AchievementsQ1: -> Didn't ParticipateQ2: -> Didn't ParticipateQ3: Ro64 -> 0-1 vs Naugrim Q4: Ro4 -> 0-2 vs Julia
#7 Hellerine + Show Spoiler +Overall: 7-3 (70%) vs 4-1 (80%) vs 1-0 (100%) vs 2-2 (50%) By MapECOverall: 1-2 (33%) vs 0-1 (0%) vs 1-0 (100%) vs 0-1 (0%) JadeOverall: 3-0 (100%) vs 1-0 (100%) vs 0-0 vs 2-0 (100%) FSOverall: 3-1 (75%) vs 3-0 (100%) vs 0-0 vs 0-1 (0%) AchievementsQ1: -> Didn't ParticipateQ2: -> Didn't ParticipateQ3: -> Didn't ParticipateQ4: Ro4 -> 1-2 vs Dredre
#10 Dewalt + Show Spoiler +Overall: 7-3 (70%) vs 3-0 (100%) vs 2-2 (50%) vs 2-1 (67%) By MapECOverall: 2-0 (100%) vs 1-0 (100%) vs 1-0 (100%) vs 0-0 (100%) JadeOverall: 2-1 (67%) vs 1-0 (100%) vs 1-0 (100%) vs 0-1 (0%) FSOverall: 3-2 (60%) vs 1-0 (100%) vs 1-2 (33%) vs 1-0 (100%) AchievementsQ1: Ro16 -> 0-1 vs Enjoyme Q2: Didn't ParticipateQ3: Ro8 -> 0-2 vs Southpark Q4: Didn't Participate
#10 Octzerg + Show Spoiler +Overall: 8-4 (67%) vs 3-3 (50%) vs 1-1 (50%) vs 4-0 (100%) By MapECOverall: 3-0 (100%) vs 1-0 (50%) vs 0-0 vs 2-0 (100%) JadeOverall: 2-1 (67%) vs 0-1 (0%) vs 0-0 vs 2-0 (100%) FSOverall: 3-3 (50%) vs 2-2 (50%) vs 1-1 (50%) vs 0-0 AchievementsQ1: Ro128 -> 0-1 vs Flip Q2: Ro16 -> 0-1 vs Draw Q3: -> Didn't ParticipateQ4: Ro8 -> 1-2 vs Hellerine
#12 Pike + Show Spoiler +Overall: 8-1 (88.9%) vs 3-0 (100%) vs 4-1 (80%) vs 1-0 (100%) By MapECOverall: 2-1 (67%) vs 0-0 vs 2-1 (67%) vs 0-0 JadeOverall: 3-0 (100%) vs 1-0 (100%) vs 2-0 (100%) vs 0-0 FSOverall: 3-0 (100%) vs 2-0 (100%) vs 0-0 vs 1-0 (100%) AchievementsQ1: Ro16 -> WO loss vs LancerX Q2: -> Didn't ParticipateQ3: Ro16 -> WO loss vs ZZZero Q4: Ro32 -> 0-1 vs Voddy
#12 Ace + Show Spoiler +Overall: 10-3 (76.9%) vs 4-2 (67%) vs 5-1 (83%) vs 1-0 (100%) By MapECOverall: 3-1 (75%) vs 1-1 (50%) vs 1-0 (100%) vs 1-0 (100%) JadeOverall: 3-0 (100%) vs 1-0 (100%) vs 2-0 (100%) vs 0-0 FSOverall: 4-2 (67%) vs 2-1 (67%) vs 2-1 (67%) vs 0-0 AchievementsQ1: Ro64 -> WO loss vs Voddy Q2: Ro16 -> 0-1 vs NemuQ3: Ro16 -> 0-1 vs Draw Q4: Ro32 -> 0-1 vs Cosy
Looking at the people below top 12, I am starting to expect the cut off to be around 60 points. I would be surprised by this point, for instance, if Hellerine didn't qualify even if he doesn't show up this weekend.
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of course Pike has best win ratio - he is madness
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On January 23 2013 05:02 PiKe wrote: of course Pike has best win ratio - he is madness You better qualify^^ And I want to see you play Draw !
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On January 23 2013 05:02 PiKe wrote: of course Pike has best win ratio - he is madness LOL How u have the face to post here!!!!!!!!!!
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On January 23 2013 05:28 [sc1f]eonzerg wrote:Show nested quote +On January 23 2013 05:02 PiKe wrote: of course Pike has best win ratio - he is madness LOL How u have the face to post here!!!!!!!!!!
Pike definitely needs points this weekend :kidca:
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