On August 26 2010 04:04 LSB wrote:(I’ll make a long post on incentives!)
So here are the people and their claims so far
Chaoser,
Subverion
Me
Hesmyrr: Claims to have RNGed CV and failed
Zeks
SouthRawrea: Claims to have Picked Traitor and failed
Let’s take a look at specific people
SouthRawreaAssuming SouthRawrea is town:
As town, SouthRawrea would have incentive to immediately tell what
happened. It would be perfectly natural. So if he’s town, he’s telling
the truth.
Assuming SouthRawrea is mafia:
This could be a mafia disruption tactic. (see Penalty Mafia, how Bill
Murray goes in and acts completely scummy). By sending SouthRawrea,
immediately a witchhunt goes on, trying to lynch random people, buying
the Mafia valuable time.
For example SouthRawrea drafts Prince of Darkness. He’d end up
vanilla. He then claims that he drafted traitor but failed. The town
would proceed to kill Subverion, Me, Hesmyrr, Chaoser (maybe even Zeks
too). And SouthRawrea wouldn’t have trouble persuading the town to
kill these “useless anti-town roles”.
Boom. That’s a lot of people dead. It would take us 4-5 innocent
lynches to take down SouthRawrea, a very good trade off. Like citi.zen
said
Citi.zen:
What worries me here is that if we screw up 3-4 lynches it’s quite
possible we lost.
HesmyrrOut of the top 5, Hesmyrr is the most likely to want to pick Traitor.
Because, his role is boring. He is supposed to check to see if
Me/Sub/Chao picked the correct role. Probably getting a vanilla role.
There is a very small chance that he might make a discovery.
On the other hand, he could take traitor, probably won’t be caught,
because really, no one will check him. Perfect position.
The fact that Hesmyrr could be an undetectable traitor is very troubling.
Chaoser, confirmed by Hesmyrr. The chances that Subverion/zeks took
his role and Chaoser took traitor is very slim.
Subverion: Bad Santa is defiantly an interesting role
Zeks: idk
Me: PoD ftw! I haz cool role that the mafia wants badly. Muhhahahahaha!
What happens if we lynch…SouthRawrea:
He flips Mafia, we know that there isn’t a traitor. (Or,
there is a traitor, but the mafia doesn’t know about it, and the
traitor could be anywhere)
Flips town, we know that there is a traitor.
Hesmyrr
He flips traitor: :D!
Flips town: We know that Chaoser is town.
Confirming Chaoser: It’s quiet easy to confirm Chaoser, we simply tell the CV
“IF you are Chaoser, kill SouthRawrea. IF you are not Chaoser, kill
someone else”
Confirming Me/Zeks/Subverion. It’s a bad idea to tell us to use our
roles. Well, Sub can’t. I’m not dumb, and Zeks should remain hidden.
We could have the role cop check on people’s roles.
That seems good at a glance, but I don’t know if we want to trade our
role cop, for someone that isn’t yet a mafia member and might not
count as a mafia member.